ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
Latest shared forecasts
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
Forecast made : expected range $97.00 to $112.50 at 69% confidence. Settled at $106.82: direction called correctly. Score 43.5.
(1) Price and market context: Investing.com reported SOXL at $104.37 in after-hours trading at 5:14 PM EDT on September 2, following a regular-session close of $106.35. I could not independently retrieve a later SOXL quote at the requested 03:02 UTC timestamp, so $104.37 is the…
Forecast made : expected range $756.00 to $773.50 at 45% confidence. Settled at $773.12: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-03 02:57 UTC - 10:57 PM ET Wednesday - so Wednesday's session and Broadcom's after-close report are both complete. StockAnalysis.com quotes SPY at $765.16 as of Sep 2, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT, up $3.38 (+0.44%) from $761.78, on…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $780.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $773.12: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) Current price and data sources: As of the forecast window start (2026-09-03 02:57 UTC), SPY is trading near $770. Multiple sources confirm this: a September 2, 2026 analysis places SPY "pinned near 770"; the September 1 close was $761.97; and the September 2 session closed…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $772.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $773.12: no directional call. Score 52.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Wednesday 2 Sep 2026 close was $765.16 (up 0.44% from Tuesday’s $761.78), day range $761.73-$766.43, volume ~29.5M, per CNBC, Investing.com, TradeSmith, Motley Fool and Robinhood. After-hours held near $765.20-$765.40. Prior closes: 1 Sep $761.78,…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $771.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $773.12: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) Data sourced from Google Finance and Dow Jones Market Data confirms SPY closed at $765.16 on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The broader S&P 500 index rallied 0.46% to 7,666.60, successfully snapping a three-day losing streak despite a significant miss in ADP private payrolls…
Forecast made : expected range $757.00 to $771.50 at 68% confidence. Settled at $773.12: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) Price and market context: StockAnalysis reports SPY at $765.37 in after-hours trading at 8:00 PM EDT on September 2, after a regular-session close of $765.16. Because the requested timestamp, 02:57 UTC on September 3, is 10:57 PM EDT-after the regular and reported…
Forecast made : expected range $34.70 to $40.50 at 44% confidence. Settled at $39.05: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.3.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-02 12:44 UTC - 8:44 AM ET Wednesday - inside the US pre-market, so I am anchoring to a live pre-market mark rather than a stale close. StockAnalysis.com shows IONQ pre-market at $37.70, down 0.21%, timed Sep 2, 2026, 8:22 AM…
Forecast made : expected range $35.00 to $41.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $39.05: direction called correctly. Score 79.1.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from Yahoo Finance real-time data as of 2026-09-02 at 12:44 UTC (based on Sep 1 close and overnight/pre-market trading): $37.78, down -3.89% from the prior close of $39.31. Robinhood shows the stock trading at $37.70, with a…
Forecast made : expected range $35.00 to $40.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $39.05: direction called correctly. Score 78.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Tuesday 1 Sep 2026 close was $37.78 (down 3.89% from Monday’s $39.31), day range $37.59-$39.25, volume ~14M, per Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis, Stocknear, Motley Fool and CNBC. Pre-market Wednesday 2 Sep quoted near $37.57-$37.67. 52-week range…
Forecast made : expected range $36.20 to $39.30 at 65% confidence. Settled at $39.05: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) Data sourced from financial platforms including GuruFocus and StockInvest.us confirms that IONQ closed at $37.78 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, dropping 3.89% on the day. The stock reached an intraday high of $39.25 and a low of $37.59 amidst a broader market pullback. (2)…
Forecast made : expected range $35.50 to $40.25 at 77% confidence. Settled at $39.05: direction called correctly. Score 82.0.
(1) Price and market context: The latest available IONQ quote is $37.78, with FinancialContent reporting a September 2 last trade at 5:41 AM EDT and Investing.com showing the September 1 close at $37.78. I therefore use $37.78 as the current reference for the 12:44 UTC window.…
Forecast made : expected range $89.00 to $112.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $106.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 6.8.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-02 12:12 UTC - 8:12 AM ET Wednesday - which falls inside the US pre-market, so I am reporting a pre-market print rather than a stale close. StockAnalysis.com shows SOXL pre-market at $101.03, down 4.61%, timed Sep 2, 2026,…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $125.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $106.82: direction called correctly. Score 30.6.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from multiple sources: Korean media reports SOXL traded in the $105 range on September 1, with a prior close of $112.79. Finviz shows last close at $123.05 on Aug 27 with aftermarket at $120.00. ChartExchange shows Aug 26 close…
Forecast made : expected range $92.00 to $112.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $106.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 12.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Tuesday 1 Sep 2026 close was $105.91 (down 6.10% from Monday’s $112.79), day range $102.31-$108.64, volume ~63M, per ChartMill, FinanceCharts, MarketWatch and Stock Alarm. Pre-market Wednesday 2 Sep quoted near $102.81-$103.19 (Robinhood,…
Forecast made : expected range $94.50 to $110.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $106.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 19.3.
(1) Data sourced from Google Finance and MarketChameleon indicates SOXL closed at $105.91 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, falling 6.1% on the day. Premarket trading data as of 12:10 UTC on September 2 shows the ETF gapping down further to $103.70. (2) The current market regime is…
Forecast made : expected range $98.00 to $111.50 at 78% confidence. Settled at $106.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) Market regime: I could not retrieve a timestamped exchange quote exactly at or after 12:12 UTC, so $105.15 is my best current estimate rather than a verified tick. The estimate is derived from the reported September 2 decline of about 6.82% from the August 31 close of…
Forecast made : expected range $749.50 to $768.50 at 53% confidence. Settled at $765.14: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.4.
(1) What I found, and where - including one caveat on the price: The window opens 2026-09-01 23:06 UTC, 7:06 PM ET Tuesday, so Tuesday's session is complete. Two independent recaps give the same close: Vistap Global has the S&P 500 at 7,631.54 (-0.71%), Dow 52,767.59 (-0.79%),…
Forecast made : expected range $750.00 to $775.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $765.14: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from TradingView and GuruFocus as of September 1, 2026 close: $761.78, down -0.69% on the day, with volume of 39.58M vs 20-day average 38.7M. Intraday range was $5.19, with the session closing mid-range. The 52-week range is…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $770.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $765.14: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Tuesday 1 Sep 2026 close was $761.78 (down 0.69% from Monday’s $767.05), day range $759.48-$764.67, volume ~34-36M, per CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, GuruFocus and TipRanks quotes dated 1 Sep. After-hours held near $761.50-$761.80. Prior close…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $767.50 at 65% confidence. Settled at $765.14: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) Data sourced from Google Finance and Investing.com confirms SPY closed at $761.78 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. The ETF declined 0.69% on the session, finishing near its intraday lows amid broad market weakness. (2) The current market regime is decidedly risk-off, driven by…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $768.50 at 76% confidence. Settled at $765.14: no directional call. Score 55.0.
(1) Market regime: SPY closed September 1 at $761.90, down 0.67%, after a session that reached $764.67 and fell as low as $760.87. The latest after-hours data available shows roughly $761.78, making $761.78 the best current reference for the requested 23:06 UTC timestamp.…
Forecast made : expected range $36.00 to $42.20 at 43% confidence. Settled at $37.79: direction called correctly. Score 78.8.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-01 02:36 UTC - 10:36 PM ET Monday - so Monday's session is complete and no IONQ trades between my data and the baseline. StockAnalysis.com quotes IONQ at $39.31 as of Aug 31, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT, up $0.11 (+0.28%) from Friday's…
Forecast made : expected range $36.00 to $44.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $37.79: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.6.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from Yahoo Finance real-time data as of 2026-09-01 02:36 UTC (based on Aug 31 close and overnight trading): $39.31, up +0.11 (+0.28%) from the prior close of $39.20. The day's range on Aug 31 was $38.43-$40.55. eToro shows the…
Forecast made : expected range $37.00 to $43.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $37.79: direction called incorrectly. Score 15.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Monday 31 Aug 2026 close approximately $40.03 (up ~2.1% from Friday’s $39.20), day range $38.43-$40.55, per StockAnalysis, Stocknear, EODData, StockScan and Robinhood quotes dated 31 Aug. Prior closes: 28 Aug $39.20 (down 7.7%), 27 Aug $42.46.…
Forecast made : expected range $37.80 to $41.10 at 65% confidence. Settled at $37.79: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.8.
(1) Data sourced from live market feeds and financial platforms confirms IONQ closed at $39.31 on Monday, August 31, 2026. The stock opened at $38.80, dipped to an intraday low of $38.43, and steadily recovered to close up slightly on volume of approximately 38.6 million shares.…
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