IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-01: expected range $37.00 to $43.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $37.79: direction called incorrectly, score 15.9.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.27 |
| Price the model reported | $40.03 |
| Expected range | $37.00 to $43.50 |
| Confidence | 40% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $37.79 |
| Traded range in the window | $37.59 to $39.25 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 15.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Monday 31 Aug 2026 close approximately $40.03 (up ~2.1% from Friday’s $39.20), day range $38.43-$40.55, per StockAnalysis, Stocknear, EODData, StockScan and Robinhood quotes dated 31 Aug. Prior closes: 28 Aug $39.20 (down 7.7%), 27 Aug $42.46. 52-week range $25.89-$84.64. High beta (~3.3) and recent daily swings of $2-4+.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Speculative quantum-computing growth stock showing recovery after Friday’s sharp drop. Monday’s rebound occurred amid broader equity softness tied to geopolitical and rate-hike concerns. Sector remains event-driven with elevated volatility; company fundamentals include strong Q2 revenue growth and raised guidance, but valuation and losses keep price action sensitive to risk sentiment.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the ~$40.03 Monday close. Recent true ranges and high beta support potential 1-day moves of 5-10%. Lower bound near $37 allows for extension of the Friday/Monday lows; upper bound near $43.50 covers a continuation of the rebound toward recent $42-$44 levels. Range is modestly wider on the downside given residual momentum from the prior selloff.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No company-specific events or earnings for Tuesday 1 Sep. Broader market data (JOLTS and ISM Manufacturing) can influence risk appetite for high-beta names; next earnings estimated early November.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Positive broader risk-on move or quantum-sector news could push IONQ above $43.50; weaker macro data or renewed selling pressure could drive a break below $37. Sustained trade outside the stated range on volume would overturn the forecast.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Single-day forecasts for high-volatility speculative names are noise-dominated; live Monday close is confirmed but absence of stock-specific catalysts and sensitivity to macro data keep conviction moderate.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $37.00 to $41.50 | 68% | No directional call | 52.3 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $37.80 to $41.10 | 65% | Direction called incorrectly | 10.8 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $36.00 to $44.00 | 50% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.6 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $36.00 to $42.20 | 43% | Direction called correctly | 78.8 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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