IONQ 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-02: expected range $36.20 to $39.30 at 65% confidence. Settled at $39.05: no directional call, score 52.5.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $37.79 |
| Price the model reported | $37.78 |
| Expected range | $36.20 to $39.30 |
| Confidence | 65% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $39.05 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.79 to $39.78 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 52.5 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Data sourced from financial platforms including GuruFocus and StockInvest.us confirms that IONQ closed at $37.78 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, dropping 3.89% on the day. The stock reached an intraday high of $39.25 and a low of $37.59 amidst a broader market pullback.
(2) The current market regime for this asset is characterized by a high-volatility short-term downtrend. Since peaking near $46.84 in mid-August, IONQ has been subjected to persistent selling pressure and is currently trading below its short-term moving averages, reflecting cautious sentiment and a near-term distribution phase.
(3) The price range of $36.20-$39.30 accounts for the stock's recent daily average volatility of approximately 5.7%. The downside boundary targets the accumulated volume support level near $35.92-$36.00, while the upside is capped by immediate overhead resistance around $39.31 (the previous day's close).
(4) Inside this 24-hour window, the primary catalyst will be early-September institutional portfolio repositioning and broader market beta following Tuesday's weak US manufacturing data. There are no scheduled company-specific earnings releases within the next 24 hours to independently override sector sentiment.
(5) The strongest counter-argument is that the stock is rapidly approaching an oversold technical state following its steep two-week correction. A broader market short-covering rally or an unexpected influx of tech dip-buyers could prompt a swift mean-reversion bounce toward the $40.00 psychological level, invalidating the near-term bearish bias.
(6) My confidence is 65%. While the prevailing technical trend clearly favors the downside, predicting a single-day directional move for a speculative, high-beta equity immediately following a multi-day decline carries inherent risks of unpredictable intraday whiplash.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $35.50 to $40.25 | 77% | Direction called correctly | 82.0 |
| Grok 4.5 | $35.00 to $40.50 | 40% | Direction called correctly | 78.4 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $35.00 to $41.00 | 45% | Direction called correctly | 79.1 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $34.70 to $40.50 | 44% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.3 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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