IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-02: expected range $35.00 to $40.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $39.05: direction called correctly, score 78.4.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $37.79 |
| Price the model reported | $37.60 |
| Expected range | $35.00 to $40.50 |
| Confidence | 40% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $39.05 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.79 to $39.78 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 78.4 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Tuesday 1 Sep 2026 close was $37.78 (down 3.89% from Monday’s $39.31), day range $37.59-$39.25, volume ~14M, per Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis, Stocknear, Motley Fool and CNBC. Pre-market Wednesday 2 Sep quoted near $37.57-$37.67. 52-week range $25.89-$84.64.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: High-beta quantum-computing name continuing to soften after Monday’s modest rebound. Tuesday’s decline aligned with broader equity weakness and semiconductor pressure; pre-market remains slightly lower. Speculative growth stocks remain sensitive to risk sentiment and rate/geopolitical headlines.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the ~$37.60 pre-market level (last close $37.78). Recent daily ranges of $1.5-$3+ and beta ~3.3 support potential 1-day moves of 5-8%. Lower bound near $35 allows for extension of the selloff; upper bound near $40.50 covers a rebound toward the prior close and recent highs. Range is modestly wider on the downside reflecting short-term momentum.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No company-specific events or earnings for Wednesday 2 Sep. Broader market follow-through and any overnight macro or geopolitical developments remain the primary potential drivers; next earnings estimated early November.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-on rebound in growth/tech could push IONQ above $40.50; accelerated selling or weaker risk appetite could drive a break below $35. Sustained trade outside the stated range would overturn the mild bearish lean.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Live Tuesday close and pre-market quotes confirm the recent direction, yet single-day forecasts for high-volatility speculative names remain noise-dominated; absence of stock-specific catalysts keeps conviction moderate.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $35.50 to $40.25 | 77% | Direction called correctly | 82.0 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $36.20 to $39.30 | 65% | No directional call | 52.5 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $35.00 to $41.00 | 45% | Direction called correctly | 79.1 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $34.70 to $40.50 | 44% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.3 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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