ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 43 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $37.00 to $41.50 at 68% confidence. Settled at $37.79: no directional call. Score 52.3.
(1) Market regime: The latest available after-hours quote at 11:08 p.m. EDT on August 31 was $39.27, which is after the requested 02:36 UTC September 1 timestamp. IONQ closed the regular August 31 session at about $39.31, up only 0.28%, after trading between $38.43 and $40.55.…
Forecast made : expected range $104.00 to $121.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $105.78: direction called correctly. Score 78.8.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-01 02:32 UTC - 10:32 PM ET Monday - so Monday's session is complete and only futures trade between my data and the baseline. StockAnalysis.com quotes SOXL at $112.79 as of Aug 31, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT, up $1.45 (+1.30%) from…
Forecast made : expected range $100.00 to $128.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $105.78: direction called correctly. Score 47.4.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from WSJ as of July 31, 2026 closing at $114.72, with an after-hours quote of $112.6587. StockAnalysis.com shows an Aug 28 close of $111.34, down -9.52%. ChartExchange quotes $116.38 as of Aug 25. Multiple sources converge on a…
Forecast made : expected range $100.00 to $124.00 at 36% confidence. Settled at $105.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Monday 31 Aug 2026 close was $111.82 (up ~0.4% from Friday’s $111.34), day range $110.33-$115.05, volume ~23M, per FT.com historical quotes, StockScan, MarketWatch intraday and Robinhood snapshots dated 31 Aug. Prior closes: 28 Aug $111.34 (down…
Forecast made : expected range $108.00 to $117.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $105.78: direction called correctly. Score 77.9.
(1) Data sourced from Investing.com and Robinhood confirms SOXL closed at $112.79 on Monday, August 31, 2026. The 3X leveraged ETF posted a modest gain of 1.30% on the day, reaching an intraday high of $115.05 on lighter volume of approximately 15 million shares. (2) The current…
Forecast made : expected range $106.00 to $119.00 at 66% confidence. Settled at $105.78: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) Market regime: At 22:31 UTC on August 31, a live SOXL-linked market quote was $112.80, up 0.56% over 24 hours. The regular August 31 SOXL session closed at $112.85 after trading from $110.34 to $114.99, up 1.36%, following the severe 9.52% decline on August 28. The live quote…
Forecast made : expected range $757.00 to $773.50 at 47% confidence. Settled at $761.64: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-01 02:27 UTC - 10:27 PM ET Monday - so Monday's regular session is complete and only overnight futures trade between my data and the window start. StockAnalysis.com quotes SPY at $767.05 as of Aug 31, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT, down…
Forecast made : expected range $755.00 to $780.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $761.64: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from Stats Edge Evening Note as of September 1, 2026 close: $767.05, down -0.30% from the prior session, with volume of 38.5M matching the 20-day average of 38.7M. Multiple sources on August 31, 2026 quoted SPY in the…
Forecast made : expected range $759.50 to $773.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $761.64: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Monday 31 Aug 2026 close was $766.21 (down ~0.41% from Friday’s $769.35), day range $764.72-$767.62, volume ~14M, per FT.com, Investing.com, CNBC, Yahoo Finance and MarketWatch data dated 31 Aug. Prior closes: 28 Aug $769.35, 27 Aug $771.10. 52-week…
Forecast made : expected range $762.50 to $771.50 at 70% confidence. Settled at $761.64: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) Data sourced from Google Finance and Investing.com confirms SPY ended the August 31, 2026 session at $767.05. The ETF drifted slightly lower on the day, respecting a tight intraday range with a low of $764.72 and a high of $767.99. (2) The current market regime is…
Forecast made : expected range $761.00 to $771.50 at 70% confidence. Settled at $761.64: direction called correctly. Score 82.8.
(1) Market regime: SPY closed August 31 at $767.05, down 0.30%, after trading between $764.72 and $768.00. The latest available overnight quote was $767.57 at 7:41 p.m. EDT, so the forecast is anchored to the current overnight price rather than the regular-session close.…
Forecast made : expected range $99.50 to $120.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $112.85: direction called incorrectly. Score 52.3.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-08-31 03:36 UTC - 11:36 PM ET Sunday - so Friday's close is the last regular print. StockAnalysis.com quotes SOXL at $111.34 as of Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT, down $11.71 (-9.52%), on 61.0M shares, with a day range of…
Forecast made : expected range $100.00 to $125.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $112.85: direction called correctly. Score 79.2.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from StockAnalysis.com real-time data as of Aug 28, 2026 close: $111.34, down -9.52% on volume of 59.8M. After-hours Aug 28 traded $111.16, -0.16%. Pre-market Aug 31 indications show SOXL at $112.81, up 1.27% from after-hours…
Forecast made : expected range $98.00 to $125.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $112.85: direction called correctly. Score 77.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Friday 28 Aug 2026 close was $111.34 (down ~9.5% from prior close ~$123.05), day range $110.21-$121.20, volume ~61M, per MarketWatch, Zacks, ETF.com, YCharts and Bloomberg Linea quotes dated 28-30 Aug. After-hours held near $111.30. Prior closes: 27…
Forecast made : expected range $103.00 to $118.50 at 65% confidence. Settled at $112.85: direction called incorrectly. Score 37.3.
(1) Data sourced from Investing.com and Robinhood confirms that SOXL closed at $111.34 on Friday, August 28, 2026. The 3X leveraged ETF tumbled 9.52% on heavy volume of approximately 61 million shares, hitting an intraday low of $110.21. (2) The current market regime for…
Forecast made : expected range $101.00 to $116.50 at 72% confidence. Settled at $112.85: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.7.
(1) Market regime: The latest available overnight SOXL quote was $109.21 at 8:58 p.m. ET on August 28, while the August 28 regular-session close was $111.34. Because the requested timestamp is 11:36 p.m. ET Sunday, August 30, I could not retrieve a quote stamped exactly at or…
Forecast made : expected range $759.00 to $775.50 at 52% confidence. Settled at $766.95: direction called correctly. Score 81.0.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-08-31 03:30 UTC - 11:30 PM ET Sunday - so the last regular-session print is Friday's close. StockAnalysis.com quotes SPY at $769.35 as of Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT, down $1.75 (-0.23%) from a $771.10 previous close, on 36.7M…
Forecast made : expected range $759.00 to $785.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $766.95: direction called correctly. Score 79.8.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from Investing.com real-time data as of 2026-08-31 pre-market / early session: $773.10 (prior close), with after-hours trading at $773.96 (+0.11%). Friday Aug 28 close was $769.41, while Aug 7 close was $773.26. The S&P 500 index…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $776.50 at 48% confidence. Settled at $766.95: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Friday 28 Aug 2026 regular close was $769.35 (down 0.23% from $771.10 prior close), day range $768.31-$775.30, volume ~36.7M, per CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Motley Fool, GuruFocus and Zacks quotes dated 28-30 Aug. After-hours held near…
Forecast made : expected range $763.50 to $775.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $766.95: no directional call. Score 55.3.
(1) Data sourced from Google Finance and StockAnalysis.com confirms SPY closed at $769.35 on Friday, August 28, 2026, pulling back slightly by 0.23%. The session saw an intraday high of $775.30 before fading into the close on moderate volume of 36.7 million shares. (2) The…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $773.50 at 68% confidence. Settled at $766.95: direction called correctly. Score 83.4.
(1) Market regime: The latest completed SPY session, August 28, closed at $769.35 after trading between $768.31 and $775.30, down 0.23%. The S&P 500 itself closed at 7,711.76, down 0.25%, although it still gained about 0.5% for the week. SPY was also only about 1.3% below its…
Forecast made : expected range $35.50 to $43.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $39.28: direction called correctly. Score 80.1.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price sourced from Robinhood real-time quote as of 2026-08-30 trading session: $39.35, with intraday high $42.04 and low $38.64 on volume of 20.11M vs average 16.03M. Motley Fool shows last close $39.20 from Aug 28. After-hours Aug 28 traded…
Forecast made : expected range $36.50 to $42.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $39.28: direction called correctly. Score 79.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Last regular-session close on 2026-08-28 was $39.20 (down 7.68% from prior close $42.46), with day range $38.64-$41.92 and volume ~20.1M, per IonQ investor site, Motley Fool, Morningstar, StockAnalysis, CNBC, and Yahoo Finance quotes dated 28-29 Aug…
Forecast made : expected range $37.50 to $40.80 at 55% confidence. Settled at $39.28: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.3.
(1) Data sourced from financial platforms including GuruFocus and StockInvest.us confirms IONQ closed at $39.20 on Friday, August 28, 2026, dropping 7.68% on the day. Trading volume surged to approximately 20 million shares, highlighting aggressive distribution. (2) The current…
Forecast made : expected range $37.00 to $42.50 at 63% confidence. Settled at $39.28: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) Market regime: At the forecast timestamp, U.S. markets are closed; the latest available IONQ quote was $39.42 in after-hours trading on August 28, versus a $39.20 regular-session close. The regular session fell 7.68%, from $41.73 open to $39.20 close, on roughly 20.1 million…
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