IONQ 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-08-31: expected range $37.50 to $40.80 at 55% confidence. Settled at $39.28: direction called incorrectly, score 30.3.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.18 |
| Price the model reported | $39.20 |
| Expected range | $37.50 to $40.80 |
| Confidence | 55% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $39.28 |
| Traded range in the window | $38.43 to $40.55 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.3 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Data sourced from financial platforms including GuruFocus and StockInvest.us confirms IONQ closed at $39.20 on Friday, August 28, 2026, dropping 7.68% on the day. Trading volume surged to approximately 20 million shares, highlighting aggressive distribution.
(2) The current market regime is characterized by short-term bearish momentum following a rejection at the mid-$40s earlier in the month. The stock is navigating a steep pullback phase, trading below key short-term moving averages with sellers firmly in control.
(3) The price range of $37.50-$40.80 reflects the stock's recent daily average volatility of approximately 5.8% to 8.5%. The lower bound respects immediate structural support levels identified near $37.89, while the upper bound accounts for a potential technical relief bounce toward Friday's intraday resistance.
(4) There are no scheduled company-specific catalysts (such as earnings or major product launches) inside this immediate 24-hour window, as the most recent earnings event already passed on August 5, 2026. Price action will likely be dictated by momentum follow-through and broader market beta.
(5) The strongest counter-argument is that Friday's sharp capitulation may have exhausted immediate selling pressure, setting up a mean-reversion bounce. A swift reclamation of the $40.00 to $41.00 level in early trading would invalidate the near-term bearish bias and signal a relief rally.
(6) My confidence sits at 55% because forecasting a 1-day directional move immediately following a high-volume breakdown is highly vulnerable to noise. While the prevailing trend is down, extreme short-term oversold conditions often trigger unpredictable intraday volatility.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | $35.80 to $42.10 | 40% | Direction called incorrectly | 49.2 |
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $37.00 to $42.50 | 63% | Direction called correctly | 81.2 |
| Grok 4.5 | $36.50 to $42.50 | 42% | Direction called correctly | 79.0 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $35.50 to $43.50 | 58% | Direction called correctly | 80.1 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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