ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 44 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $35.80 to $42.10 at 40% confidence. Settled at $39.28: direction called incorrectly. Score 49.2.
(1) What I found, and where: The window start (2026-08-31 02:50 UTC) falls on a Sunday evening ET, so the last printed price is Friday's close. StockAnalysis.com quotes IONQ at $39.20 as of Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT, down 7.68% on the day from a $42.46 previous close, with a day…
Forecast made : expected range $33.50 to $42.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $40.46: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.3.
(1) What I found, and where: Using live search data from August 28-29, 2026, IONQ closed Friday at the $39.20 baseline, falling 7.7% for the day (GuruFocus). Despite a blowout Q2 earnings report on August 5 showing 287% YoY revenue growth to $80.1M and raised full-year guidance…
Forecast made : expected range $31.00 to $46.00 at 72% confidence. Settled at $40.46: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What I found: Live market data shows IONQ closed August 28 at $39.20, exactly matching the supplied baseline. Investing.com reports August 28 opened at $41.73, reached $41.83, fell to $38.64 and closed down 7.68% on 17.45 million shares; the preceding session had gained…
Forecast made : expected range $36.50 to $45.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $40.46: direction called correctly. Score 82.0.
(1) What I found, and where: As of the baseline timestamp (2026-08-29 22:29 UTC), I have current price and news data. The baseline of $39.20 aligns closely with the closing price of $39.20 on August 28, 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance . During the trading session on August 29,…
Forecast made : expected range $34.50 to $44.00 at 28% confidence. Settled at $40.46: direction called correctly. Score 76.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Company IR, Stocknear, MarketWatch and others confirm IONQ closed Aug 28 at $39.20 (exactly the baseline), down 7.68% on the day with a range of $38.64-$41.92 and volume near 20M. After-hours traded slightly higher near $39.40. Recent company news…
Forecast made : expected range $32.20 to $44.70 at 48% confidence. Settled at $40.46: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found, and where: The baseline is exact. StockAnalysis and MacroTrends both show IONQ closing Friday, August 28 at $39.20, down $3.26 or -7.68%, with an after-hours print of $39.42 (+0.56%) at 7:59 PM EDT. That -7.68% was not idiosyncratic - Yahoo Finance's comparison…
Forecast made : expected range $98.00 to $118.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 81.5.
(1) What I found, and where: Live market data from BNN Bloomberg, Barchart, and The Motley Fool as of August 28-29, 2026, confirms SOXL closed Friday at $111.34 after dropping 9.5%. The broader semiconductor sector sold off aggressively following a hawkish Jackson Hole speech by…
Forecast made : expected range $115.00 to $135.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 81.7.
(1) What I found, and where: I accessed current news and price data, but live streaming quotes were not directly available. The baseline is $111.34 as of 2026-08-29 22:21 UTC. News from August 24-28 indicates SOXL closed at $111.16 on August 24 and $120.63 on August 29 ,…
Forecast made : expected range $90.50 to $129.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 80.1.
(1) What I found, and where: The baseline is exact. StockAnalysis shows SOXL closing Friday, August 28 at $111.34, down $11.71 or -9.52%, with an after-hours print of $111.51 at 4:49 PM EDT. Investing.com corroborates the prior close at $123.05 and gives a 52-week range of…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $125.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 78.3.
(1) What you found, and where: MarketWatch, YCharts, FT, Investing.com and ChartExchange confirm SOXL closed Aug 28 at $111.34 (exactly the baseline), down 9.52% on the day with a range of $110.21-$121.20 and volume near 61M. The sharp drop followed a prior rebound after Nvidia’s…
Forecast made : expected range $98.00 to $120.00 at 74% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 82.9.
(1) What I found: Live market data through August 29 confirms SOXL closed August 28 at exactly the supplied $111.34 baseline. Investing.com reports an August 28 open of $119.92, high of $121.20, low of $110.21, volume of 61.0M and a 9.52% decline; StockAnalysis independently…
Forecast made : expected range $746.30 to $785.50 at 52% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 80.5.
(1) What I found, and where: The baseline reconciles cleanly. Vista Partners' August 28 weekly summary and CNBC both put the S&P 500's Friday close at 7,711.76, down 0.25%, with the Dow at 53,559.99 (-0.02%), the Nasdaq Composite at 26,402.42 (-0.52%), the Russell 2000 at…
Forecast made : expected range $755.00 to $782.00 at 28% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 77.3.
(1) What you found, and where: MarketWatch, Macroaxis, FRED and ADVFN confirm SPY closed Aug 28 at $769.35-$769.38 (day range $768.31-$775.30), matching the baseline. S&P 500 finished at 7,711.76. Coverage from MUFG Research, InvestmentNews, Realtor.com, NYT and Reuters shows Fed…
Forecast made : expected range $752.00 to $785.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 79.2.
(1) What I found and where: As of the 16:36 UTC baseline on Aug 29, I retrieved live market data from multiple sources. SPY closed at $769.35 on Aug 28, down 0.23% on the day. In after-hours trading, SPY was quoted at $773.96, up 0.11%. The primary catalyst was Fed Chair Kevin…
Forecast made : expected range $750.00 to $775.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 83.5.
(1) What I found, and where: Using live Google Search data (Fidelity, The Eastern Herald) from August 28-29, 2026, SPY closed Friday at $769.35, nearly identical to the $769.38 baseline. News indicates that while tech earnings (notably Nvidia's $96.22 billion revenue) supported…
Forecast made : expected range $744.00 to $782.00 at 69% confidence. Settled at $766.99: direction called correctly. Score 83.2.
(1) What I found: Live information through August 28 shows SPY finishing the week under pressure after a late-week shift in rate expectations. The S&P 500 fell 0.25% on August 28 to 7,711.76, while the Nasdaq fell 0.52%; for the week, however, the S&P 500 still gained about 0.5%.…
Forecast made : expected range $0.9500 to $1.05 at 25% confidence. Settled at $767.33: direction called correctly. Score 78.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Quotes from YCharts, Investing.com, MarketWatch and Macroaxis show SPY closed Aug 28 at approximately $769.35 (range roughly $768-$775). This is materially different from the $1 baseline. Post-Jackson Hole coverage from Eastern Herald, Bloomberg,…
Forecast made : expected range $749.00 to $785.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $767.33: direction called correctly. Score 79.5.
(1) What I found and where: The baseline of $1 is a clear input error-SPY has never traded at that level. Live sources show SPY closed at $769.35 on Aug 28, down 0.23%, with S&P 500 at 7,711.76 (-0.25%). The primary catalyst was Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech on Aug…
Forecast made : expected range $0.9750 to $1.02 at 67% confidence. Settled at $767.33: direction called correctly. Score 82.7.
(1) What I found: Live information dated August 28-29 shows the supplied $1.00 baseline is materially different from the actual SPY market price, so I do not substitute the real quote for the required scoring anchor. The S&P 500 fell 0.25% on August 28 to 7,711.76, while SPY also…
Forecast made : expected range $0.9800 to $1.03 at 55% confidence. Settled at $767.33: direction called correctly. Score 81.5.
(1) What I found, and where: Search results from Investing.com and StockInvest.us on August 28, 2026, show SPY actually closed the week at $769.35, which is materially different from the $1.00 baseline provided in the prompt. (2) Market regime: The broader market is in a mild…
Forecast made : expected range $746.00 to $785.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $767.33: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) Baseline problem, stated up front: The $1 baseline is not a SPY price - it is a broken or placeholder field, and I am flagging it rather than pretending otherwise. Anchoring a range to $1 would produce bounds like $0.97-$1.02, which are arithmetically obedient and…
Forecast made : expected range $114.50 to $124.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $113.51: no directional call. Score 50.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from CNBC, Zacks, ETF.com, ChartExchange and others show SOXL trading near $120-122 on 2026-08-27 (prior close ~$116.60, day range roughly $117.69-$124.88). Baseline $119.59 sits inside that band. Reuters/Politico (27 Aug) report Trump…
Forecast made : expected range $114.20 to $123.30 at 56% confidence. Settled at $113.51: direction called correctly. Score 79.9.
(1) What I found, and where: Investing.com's SOXL page, dated Aug 27, shows the fund at $119.37 against a previous close of $116.60, with a day range of $117.69-$124.88 and a last premarket print of $123.31. That reconciles cleanly with the $119.59 baseline - no anchor dispute -…
Forecast made : expected range $123.50 to $132.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $113.51: direction called incorrectly. Score 37.1.
(1) What I found and where: As of baseline (18:30 UTC on Aug 27), I retrieved live market data from multiple sources. WSJ shows SOXL at $130.00 as of the prior regular session close, with a 1-day range of $130.00-$143.45. However, the baseline of $119.59 is materially lower than…
Forecast made : expected range $114.50 to $122.50 at 50% confidence. Settled at $113.51: direction called correctly. Score 79.3.
(1) What I found and where: As the baseline timestamp is set in August 2026, my real-time search tools could not retrieve corresponding forward-dated live market data. Therefore, this analysis is based on the structural mechanics of the ETF and historical late-August…
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