IONQ 7-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 7-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-08-29: expected range $34.50 to $44.00 at 28% confidence. Settled at $40.46: direction called correctly, score 76.9.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 7-day (Existing Mode 1 horizon rules apply; the stored expiry is authoritative.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.18 |
| Expected range | $34.50 to $44.00 |
| Confidence | 28% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $40.46 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.79 to $44.42 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 76.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Company IR, Stocknear, MarketWatch and others confirm IONQ closed Aug 28 at $39.20 (exactly the baseline), down 7.68% on the day with a range of $38.64-$41.92 and volume near 20M. After-hours traded slightly higher near $39.40. Recent company news from IonQ IR includes Q2 2026 results (Aug 5) showing record revenue of ~$80M (+287% YoY) and raised full-year guidance to $280-290M, plus SkyWater acquisition close, DARPA work, board appointments and partnerships.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: High-beta quantum-computing name in a short-term pullback after a multi-week chop. Positive fundamental updates from earlier in August have been overtaken by broader risk-off pressure and profit-taking, leaving the near-term tape range-bound and volatile.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Range is measured from the $39.2 baseline and kept relatively balanced-to-mildly lower to reflect the recent downside session and typical daily swings of several dollars. The bounds accommodate ordinary mean-reversion within recent trading zones without assuming a decisive breakout or breakdown over seven days.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No major company-specific earnings or product events appear scheduled for the immediate 7 days; macro labor data and residual sector sentiment are the more likely near-term drivers.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A renewed bid in high-growth tech or quantum names could push the upper end of the range, while continued selling pressure or weak macro data could test the lower bound; either move outside the stated band would simply confirm the high-volatility nature of the name dominating any short-window view.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence is low because IONQ exhibits large daily percentage moves and the 7-day window lacks a clear catalyst edge; weekend pricing and mixed post-earnings digestion further limit directional conviction.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | $32.20 to $44.70 | 48% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.1 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $36.50 to $45.00 | 55% | Direction called correctly | 82.0 |
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $31.00 to $46.00 | 72% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.9 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $33.50 to $42.50 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 32.3 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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