ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 26 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $134.00 to $151.50 at 61% confidence. Settled at $145.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 51.6.
(1) What I found: Investing.com showed SOXL at $144.56 at 11:41:01 EDT on September 23, down 4.86% from the prior session, with an intraday range of $139.68-$150.54. Because that precisely timestamped quote was more than three hours before the requested 18:54 UTC baseline, I…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $775.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $767.82: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What I found: SPY was trading at $767.65 as of 13:19 ET (17:19 UTC) per futunn.com, down 0.74% on the day, after opening at $772.79. The premarket quote was $774.02. The S&P 500 index was down 0.61% to 7,717.30 per Economic Times, while the Nasdaq fell 1.21%. The 10-year…
Forecast made : expected range $764.00 to $773.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $767.82: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch (approximately $768.11 as of 2:34 p.m. EDT), TradeSmith ($768.66 around 2:18 p.m. EDT), Stockmonitor, and TECHi show SPY trading near $768 after opening near $772.79 and ranging $766.50-$773.05. Previous close was…
Forecast made : expected range $769.00 to $781.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $767.82: no directional call. Score 53.6.
(1) What you found, and where: As I cannot retrieve live market data for a future date (September 2026), my pricing is an estimated projection based on the established context of SPY trading near $773 earlier in the week, placing current estimated levels around $775.10. (2) The…
Forecast made : expected range $764.00 to $775.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $767.82: no directional call. Score 54.5.
(1) What you found, and where: FinancialContent Intelligent Value reports SPY current price $769.25 last trade Sep 23 11:28 AM ET. FinancialContent other reports price $769.96, Daily Courier price $767.21, SPY quote $773.60 current per FinancialContent SPY quote, FinancialContent…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $778.00 at 32% confidence. Settled at $767.82: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What I found: Investing.com shows SPY trading at $770.71 on September 23, 2026, with a previous close of $773.38, a day range of $770.69-$773.02 and a 52-week range of $629.28-$779.37. Yahoo Finance gives Tuesday's close as $774.04 (+0.08%). TheStreet's live blog says the S&P…
Forecast made : expected range $758.50 to $775.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $767.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 56.4.
(1) What I found: The freshest timestamped SPY quote I could verify was $768.31 at 2:09 PM EDT on September 23, versus a September 22 close of $773.38. ChartExchange separately showed SPY at $769.08 earlier in the session, with a $768.38-$773.01 range. Because my freshest…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $87,500.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $84,363.86: direction called incorrectly. Score 17.7.
(1) What I found, and where: At the window start, Bitcoin was trading around $85,686, per Fortune's September 23 quote (fortune.com). The session had been volatile: BTC briefly punched above $87,000 before pulling back below $85,000. Binance data showed BTC at $85,974 around…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $86,500.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $84,363.86: direction called correctly. Score 79.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch (CoinDesk index ~$84,084 around 12:47 p.m. EDT), Yahoo Finance (~$84,279), Zacks/CoinMarketCap-aligned sources (~$84,200 range), and exchange data show BTC pulling back from the $87k area. Recent news from CoinDesk,…
Forecast made : expected range $82,000.00 to $86,500.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $84,363.86: direction called correctly. Score 82.3.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data indicating Bitcoin trading near $83,850 as of 17:07 UTC on September 23, 2026. Coverage from sources like the Economic Times noted massive spot ETF inflows earlier in the week, pushing prices near $87,000, before…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $86,500.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $84,363.86: direction called correctly. Score 80.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports BTC Current $83,870.7 Open $86,560.36 High $87,278.54 Low $83,500.01 Previous Close $86,560 Change -2689.3 -3.10% 5D +6.62% 1M +9.18% 6M +22.23% YTD -2.92% 1Y -23.89% cap $1.73T. CoinJuice reports $86,537 Sep 23 31.4% below ATH…
Forecast made : expected range $82,600.00 to $87,900.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $84,363.86: direction called incorrectly. Score 15.2.
(1) What I found: Fortune reported BTC at $85,686.06 at 10:00 a.m. ET (14:00 UTC) on September 23, 2026, down $353.30 from the same time Tuesday, with a market cap near $1.33 trillion. Yahoo Finance said BTC opened at $86,195.28 on Wednesday, flat versus Tuesday's open, and had…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $88,000.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $84,363.86: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) What I found: CoinDesk's live market page showed Bitcoin at approximately $84,553.62 when retrieved immediately after the 2026-09-23 17:07 UTC baseline, down about 2.12%. Earlier in the session BTC had matched Monday's high near $87,300 before sellers pushed it below $86,000.…
Forecast made : expected range $350.00 to $360.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $335.35: direction called incorrectly. Score 0.8.
(1) What I found: GOOG closed Sept 21 at $350.87, up 1.88%, with a day's range of $344.80-$353.30 (Google Finance). Pre-market and early trading on Sept 22 pushed the stock to roughly $354.64, up 1.07% over 24 hours (eToro), with intraday highs near $359 (Moomoo, Traders Union).…
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $354.00 at 43% confidence. Settled at $335.35: no directional call. Score 47.3.
(1) What you found: Live quotes from MarketWatch, TradeSmith, StockMonitor and StockLight show GOOG trading near $346.50-$348.00 on 22 September 2026 after a +1.88 percent gain on 21 September that closed at $350.87. Intraday range has extended from roughly $345.70 to $360.00…
Forecast made : expected range $341.00 to $356.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $335.35: no directional call. Score 49.7.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data showing Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) trading at $348.17 as of 1:52 PM EDT on September 22, 2026, based on NASDAQ intraday feeds. (2) The current market regime as you read it: The broader equity market is sustaining a…
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $355.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $335.35: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports GOOG Current $347.565 Open $353.24 High $359.98 Low $345.74 Previous Close $350.87 Change -3.305 -0.9419% 5D +0.54% 1M +1.7% 6M +16.23% YTD +10.76% 1Y +37.74% beta 1.20. FXLeaders reports Sep 22 11:10 GMT current live $353.13 +0.11%…
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $354.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $335.35: no directional call. Score 48.3.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance shows GOOG closed Monday, September 21, 2026 at $350.87 (+1.88%), with an overnight print of $353.29. For Tuesday, StockAnalysis showed the Class A shares (GOOGL) at $351.37, down 1.02%, as of 1:17 p.m. EDT (17:17 UTC), about 35 minutes before the…
Forecast made : expected range $344.00 to $361.50 at 56% confidence. Settled at $335.35: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) What I found: The freshest timestamped GOOG trade I could verify was $351.47 at 1:04 PM EDT on September 21, with the stock up 2.05% at that time. Separate September 22 market reporting showed the Nasdaq at an intraday record and major technology shares broadly firm, but I…
Forecast made : expected range $224.00 to $234.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $225.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What I found: NVDA closed Sept 21 at $227.38, up 2.30%, with a day's range of $221.56-$228.50 and volume of 109.3M versus an average of 129.1M (Yahoo Finance). Intraday on Sept 22, quotes ranged from $226.85 to $229.27 depending on the venue and timestamp (Baidu Finance,…
Forecast made : expected range $224.00 to $233.00 at 44% confidence. Settled at $225.20: no directional call. Score 52.6.
(1) What you found: Live quotes from MarketWatch, TradeSmith, Stocknear and Smart Investors Daily show NVDA trading near $228.50-$228.90 on 22 September 2026 after a +2.30 percent gain on 21 September that closed at $227.38. Intraday range has been roughly $226.50-$229.60 on…
Forecast made : expected range $223.50 to $236.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $225.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data showing NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trading near $229.15 as of midday on September 22, 2026, according to real-time equity feeds. (2) The current market regime as you read it: The broad equity market is exhibiting strong…
Forecast made : expected range $224.00 to $233.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $225.20: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current $229.02 Open $226.85 High $229.98 Low $226.5 Previous Close $227.38 Change +1.64 +0.7213% 5D +8.56% 1M +6.66% 6M +30.39% YTD +22.8% 1Y +28.35% beta 2.22. Hexn reports Sep 22 current $227 forecast $228 Sep 23 +0.07%…
Forecast made : expected range $211.00 to $229.00 at 22% confidence. Settled at $225.20: no directional call. Score 13.1.
(1) What I found: MacroTrends gives NVDA's September 18, 2026 close as $222.27, and Yahoo Finance references a roughly 2.3% move on September 21 (Vittarthi's recap puts Monday at +2.19%), implying a Monday close near $227. For Tuesday, September 22, Bloomberg published two pieces…
Forecast made : expected range $223.50 to $236.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $225.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.5.
(1) What I found: Investing.com showed NVIDIA at $229.68 with real-time data timestamped 13:21:53 EDT on September 22, up 1.01% from the prior close of $227.38. The session range was $226.50-$229.98, placing NVDA near the day's high. Because the retrieved quote is dated after the…
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