NVDA 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-22: expected range $224.00 to $233.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $225.20: direction called correctly, score 80.9.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $228.87 |
| Price the model reported | $229.02 |
| Expected range | $224.00 to $233.00 |
| Confidence | 60% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $225.20 |
| Traded range in the window | $224.02 to $229.92 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 80.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current $229.02 Open $226.85 High $229.98 Low $226.5 Previous Close $227.38 Change +1.64 +0.7213% 5D +8.56% 1M +6.66% 6M +30.39% YTD +22.8% 1Y +28.35% beta 2.22. Hexn reports Sep 22 current $227 forecast $228 Sep 23 +0.07% strong bullish 90% sentiment fear greed 65 neutral 22/7 green 0.59% vol. Finimize closed Sep 22 13:15 US/Eastern. Stockstotrade reports $228.46 target $0. TradersUnion current $227 4.96 +2.23%. FinancialContent reports $227.38 high $228.50 PE 46.40. Stockwatch 12:23 EDT reports NVDA Q 0.3 $228.33 bid ask $228.33/$228.35 +0.96 +0.4% vol 38,444 $8.4M range 226.91 229.60 226.50 236.54 164.27.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Continued AI momentum Sep 22. From $228.1475 open $226.85 high $229.6 low $226.5 prev $227.38 +0.33% 5D +8.15% earlier to $229.02 +0.72% high $229.98 new high above $229.6 prior high. SOXL $145.83 open $137.67 high $148.705 low $137.46 prev $141.93 5D +44.2% per Finnhub Sep 22 supports semis. BTC $85,896 Sep 22 open $85,745 high $87,395 low $85,114 +0.17% 5D +11.82% per Finnhub. Regime mildly bullish with 90% bullish sentiment per Hexn.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to $229.02 Finnhub current Sep 22 same window 17:50 UTC. Using day $226.5-$229.98 Finnhub and $227 Hexn forecast $228 Sep 23 +0.07% and $228.33 Stockwatch 12:23 EDT range $226.91-$229.60 and $228.46 Stockstotrade. Daily vol ~2% ~$4.6 due beta 2.22. Lower $224 -2.1% near $226.5 low and $226.85 open if profit taking, upper $233 +1.7% toward $236.54 52W high per Stockwatch above $229.98 high captures momentum. Slight upside skew due to +0.72% and bullish 90% per Hexn.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Window Sep 22 17:50 UTC 24h covers Sep 22 close and Sep 23 open. Fed speeches Sep 21-27 per HappyCoinNews, US-China negotiations, SOXL $145 high $148 supports, no NVDA earnings until Nov 17 2026 per Yahoo Finance day range 221.56-228.50 earnings date Nov 17 ex-div Sep 10.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bear case: +0.72% +8.56% 5D overbought high $229.98 could retrace to $226.5 low $224 if SOXL $145 fades to $137 low. Bull case: above $229.98 high to $233 if SOXL $148.7 holds. Invalidation: close below $223 or above $235 would negate mild bullish.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 60% reflects live $229.02 open $226.85 high $229.98 low $226.5 prev $227.38 Sep 22 same day as window start 17:50 UTC, plus Hexn $227 Sep 22 forecast $228 Sep 23 +0.07% same day, plus Stockwatch 12:23 EDT $228.33 bid ask $228.33/$228.35 +0.96 range $226.91-$229.60 same day. Multiple same-day live sources at or after baseline. Labeling live because quotes dated Sep 22 at or after window start.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $223.50 to $236.50 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.5 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $211.00 to $229.00 | 22% | No directional call | 13.1 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $223.50 to $236.00 | 70% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.9 |
| Grok 4.5 | $224.00 to $233.00 | 44% | No directional call | 52.6 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | $224.00 to $234.00 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.0 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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