NVDA 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-22: expected range $224.00 to $233.00 at 44% confidence. Settled at $225.20: no directional call, score 52.6.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $228.87 |
| Price the model reported | $228.70 |
| Expected range | $224.00 to $233.00 |
| Confidence | 44% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $225.20 |
| Traded range in the window | $224.02 to $229.92 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 52.6 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found: Live quotes from MarketWatch, TradeSmith, Stocknear and Smart Investors Daily show NVDA trading near $228.50-$228.90 on 22 September 2026 after a +2.30 percent gain on 21 September that closed at $227.38. Intraday range has been roughly $226.50-$229.60 on lighter volume.
(2) Market regime: Constructive consolidation near recent highs within a multi-week uptrend. The prior session’s advance left the stock testing the upper end of its recent range while remaining below the early-September peak near $234-$236.
(3) Price range: The $224-$233 band reflects typical one-day realized volatility of about 1.5-2 percent around the current level, allowing for a modest pullback toward the $224-$225 zone or a limited extension toward the $230-$233 resistance area.
(4) Catalysts: No major scheduled earnings or semiconductor-specific events identified inside the next 24 hours; price action is expected to track residual momentum from the prior session and broader equity risk tone.
(5) Counter-argument: A decisive break below $225 on expanding volume would signal fading short-term momentum and open the door to a deeper retracement toward the mid-$220s, invalidating the mild constructive bias.
(6) Confidence: 44 percent reflects the short one-day horizon, mixed intraday signals after a solid prior gain, and the absence of a dominant near-term catalyst capable of driving a clear directional move.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $223.50 to $236.50 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.5 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $211.00 to $229.00 | 22% | No directional call | 13.1 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $224.00 to $233.00 | 60% | Direction called correctly | 80.9 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $223.50 to $236.00 | 70% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.9 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | $224.00 to $234.00 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.0 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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