NVDA 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-22: expected range $223.50 to $236.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $225.20: direction called incorrectly, score 30.9.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $228.87 |
| Price the model reported | $229.15 |
| Expected range | $223.50 to $236.00 |
| Confidence | 70% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $225.20 |
| Traded range in the window | $224.02 to $229.92 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data showing NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trading near $229.15 as of midday on September 22, 2026, according to real-time equity feeds.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: The broad equity market is exhibiting strong risk-on momentum, led by a sustained rotation back into mega-cap technology and artificial intelligence leaders. Falling Treasury yields and stabilization in energy markets are further bolstering high-beta growth equities.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: I project a 24-hour range of $223.50-$236.00. Immediate intraday support is firmly established around the $223.50 zone, while the $236.00 upper bound accommodates continued momentum-driven buying pressure into Wednesday's session.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Price action over the next 24 hours will be governed by late-day institutional portfolio adjustments, broader semiconductor sector sentiment, and ongoing macro data interpretations regarding interest rate trajectories.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: The primary risk to this bullish setup is the stock's recent rapid ascent, which leaves it vulnerable to sudden intraday profit-taking. If tech sellers aggressively step in near current highs, NVDA could easily reverse and break below its $223.50 support level.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: My confidence is 70%. The fundamental AI tailwinds and technical breakout are robust, but short-term overbought conditions introduce standard intraday volatility that counsels against absolute certainty.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $223.50 to $236.50 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.5 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $211.00 to $229.00 | 22% | No directional call | 13.1 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $224.00 to $233.00 | 60% | Direction called correctly | 80.9 |
| Grok 4.5 | $224.00 to $233.00 | 44% | No directional call | 52.6 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | $224.00 to $234.00 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.0 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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