ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
Latest shared forecasts
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
Forecast made : expected range $39.00 to $42.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $43.32: no directional call. Score 47.7.
(1) What I found: IONQ closed at $40.51 on Sept 21, up 3.53% on the day, with a 52-week range of $25.89-$84.64 and a beta of 2.98 (Robinhood, Yahoo Finance, eToro). Pre-market trading on Sept 22 showed the stock around $40.14-$40.17, down roughly 0.9% from the prior close (CNYES,…
Forecast made : expected range $38.50 to $42.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $43.32: direction called correctly. Score 73.8.
(1) What you found: Live quotes from StockAnalysis, Benzinga, CoinGlass and Finviz show IONQ trading near $40.15-$40.25 on 22 September 2026 after a +3.5 percent gain on 21 September that closed at $40.51. Intraday range has been roughly $39.90-$40.80 on lighter-than-average…
Forecast made : expected range $11.80 to $13.10 at 50% confidence. Settled at $43.32: no directional call. Score 0.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Without live browsing tools accessible in this turn, estimated pricing is synthesized from general quarterly context for IonQ Inc. (IONQ) around mid-2026 levels, reflecting typical high-beta quantum computing volatility and recent capital market…
Forecast made : expected range $38.50 to $42.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $43.32: direction called correctly. Score 75.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports IONQ Current $40.17 Open $40.51 High $40.8 Low $39.92 Previous Close $40.51 6M +21.32% YTD -10.47% 1Y -46.54% beta 3.35. Motley Fool Sep 22 reports Today's Change -0.85% -$0.34 Current $40.17 and IonQ boosted 2026 revenue…
Forecast made : expected range $38.40 to $43.50 at 25% confidence. Settled at $43.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 44.1.
(1) What I found: Morningstar shows IONQ closed Monday, September 21, 2026 at $40.51 (delayed close as of 8:00 p.m.). A GuruFocus article on Yahoo Finance, published 8:25 a.m. EDT Tuesday, showed IONQ +0.31% and reported a multi-year agreement with South Korea's SDT to bring…
Forecast made : expected range $38.20 to $43.80 at 56% confidence. Settled at $43.32: direction called correctly. Score 79.1.
(1) What I found: Investing.com lists IONQ at $40.51 for September 22, with a prior regular-session range of $39.83-$40.93 and a September 21 close of $40.51. The page is current-dated but does not expose a verifiable September 22 trade timestamp, so I use $40.51 as the freshest…
Forecast made : expected range $138.00 to $150.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $145.08: no directional call. Score 42.0.
(1) What I found: SOXL closed at $141.93 on Sept 21, surging 14.77% as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) jumped 4.29% to 12,433.17 (FN News, 2026-09-22). AMD soared 9.95% to $615.52, crossing a $1 trillion market cap, while Intel surged 12.14% and Nvidia gained 2.30% (FN…
Forecast made : expected range $138.00 to $155.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $145.08: direction called incorrectly. Score 39.7.
(1) What you found: Live data from FT.com, ChartExchange, StockScan and Investing.com show SOXL trading near $144-$147 on 22 September 2026 after a +14.8 percent surge on 21 September that closed at $141.93. Intraday range has extended from roughly $137.50 to $148.70 on elevated…
Forecast made : expected range $138.00 to $154.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $145.08: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data indicating that Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) was trading near $145.68 as of 10:56 AM EDT on September 22, 2026, utilizing NYSE Arca intraday pricing data. (2) The current market regime as you read…
Forecast made : expected range $138.00 to $152.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $145.08: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports SOXL Current $145.8299 Open $137.67 High $148.705 Low $137.46 Previous Close $141.93 5D +44.2% 1M +20.92% 6M +185.16% YTD +246.97% 1Y +323.55% beta 5.92. StockInvest reports $141.93 +18.26 +14.77% at close Sep 21 volatile ride…
Forecast made : expected range $116.00 to $137.00 at 20% confidence. Settled at $145.08: direction called incorrectly. Score 6.0.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a SOXL quote for Tuesday, September 22, 2026, nor a confirmed Monday close. Investing.com's page (dated September 21) shows $123.67 as both current price and previous close, a day range of $116.68-$123.90, a pre-market print of $132.50 and…
Forecast made : expected range $135.00 to $156.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $145.08: direction called incorrectly. Score 33.9.
(1) What I found: The freshest timestamped SOXL trade I could verify was $144.6999 at 7:59 PM EDT on September 21, after the ETF had closed the regular session near $142.05 following a 14.86% gain. I could not verify a September 22 intraday SOXL trade close enough to the…
Forecast made : expected range $768.00 to $781.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $769.72: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) What I found: SPY closed at $773.50 on Sept 21, up 1.55%, with the S&P 500 at 7,764.70, within 0.4% of its record close (CMoney, Benzinga, Saxo). VIX fell to 14.69, its lowest since Sept 3 (MarketWatch). The 10-year Treasury yield sits near 4.95% (TradingEconomics, Yonhap…
Forecast made : expected range $769.00 to $778.50 at 45% confidence. Settled at $769.72: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What you found: Live quotes from TECHi, Investing.com, TradeSmith and Barchart show SPY trading near $773.50-$774.00 on 22 September 2026 after a +1.55 percent gain on 21 September that closed at $773.50. Intraday range so far is roughly $773.25-$775.14 with modest volume.…
Forecast made : expected range $768.00 to $780.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $769.72: no directional call. Score 54.8.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data showing SPY trading near $773.28 as of 10:50 AM EDT on September 22, 2026. I also noted coverage from TheStreet and Zacks highlighting a massive tech-led market rebound and falling crude oil prices. (2) The current…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $771.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $769.72: no directional call. Score 50.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Barchart reports SPY 765.16 +0.44% live Sep 22. FinancialContent PR Newswire reports current price 761.69 52W range 69.00-779.37, InyoRegister also 761.69 same range, Daily Courier 773.50, PR Newswire other 770.56 52W 69-776.85, other…
Forecast made : expected range $767.00 to $780.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $769.72: no directional call. Score 53.1.
(1) What I found: SwingTradeNotes (Substack) reported SPY finished Monday, September 21, 2026 around $773.52 after a near-vertical move into the close, just under a $774.33 level it flags. Vittarthi's recap put the S&P 500 up 1.43% that day to 7,760.13. For Tuesday,…
Forecast made : expected range $767.50 to $783.50 at 57% confidence. Settled at $769.72: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) What I found: Zacks listed SPY at $774.42 on September 22 when checked after the requested baseline, while Reuters reported the S&P 500 index opening at 7,770.81 and moving higher early in the session. The Zacks page identifies the quote as updated on September 22 but does…
Forecast made : expected range $83,000.00 to $88,500.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $84,344.08: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) Price discovery: I found BTC trading around $85,700 at the window start, based on a NetDania/Buzz FX quote of $85,736 at 13:17 Moscow time on September 22, a ChainCatcher report of $85,560 at 11:22 UTC, and a KuCoin daily report showing $86,612 as of 00:00 UTC. Bitcoin…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $88,000.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $84,344.08: no directional call. Score 52.1.
(1) What you found: Multiple sources including GuruFocus, Yahoo Finance, Investing.com and MarketWatch show Bitcoin trading near $85,600-$86,300 on 22 September 2026 after a strong prior-session rally from roughly $81,000 to a high near $87,300. Current quotes cluster around…
Forecast made : expected range $84,000.00 to $88,500.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $84,344.08: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.5.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data indicating Bitcoin trading near $85,882 as of 14:45 UTC on September 22, 2026, alongside recent coverage highlighting ETF inflows and short liquidations. (2) The current market regime as you read it: The crypto market remains in an…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $88,000.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $84,344.08: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports BTC Current $85,896.76 Open $85,745.15 High $87,395.67 Low $85,114 Previous Close $85,745.16 Change +151.6 +0.1768% 5D +11.82% 1M +9.92% 6M +20.51% YTD -3.82% 1Y -23.71% cap $1.71T. OKX United States reports Sep 22 06:48 UTC+8 live…
Forecast made : expected range $83,000.00 to $88,700.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $84,344.08: no directional call. Score 51.2.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance reported BTC opened Tuesday September 22, 2026 at $86,597.82 and slid to $86,035.18 by 7:20 a.m. ET (11:20 UTC); Fortune put it at $86,039.36 at 6 a.m. ET. Coinbase's converter, updated a few hours before this answer, showed $85,930.44 with a…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $89,500.00 at 61% confidence. Settled at $84,344.08: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.7.
(1) What I found: CoinDesk showed Bitcoin at approximately $85,938.83 during September 22 research, with BTC holding near $86,000 after recovering from Asian-session weakness. A separate CoinDesk report showed BTC around $86,232 while discussing nearly $1 billion of Monday…
Forecast made : expected range $492.50 to $505.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $497.97: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) Price discovery: I found MSFT trading at $498.09 as of 13:48 ET on September 21, up 0.87% from the prior close of $493.78, based on a live intraday quote from Baidu Finance. The intraday range was $491.33-$498.51. Yahoo Finance and eToro showed the September 18 close at…
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