ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 28 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $492.00 to $508.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $497.97: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance ($500.09 as of 3:42 PM EDT), StockAnalysis ($500.37), CNBC (~$499), and Motley Fool (~$498) place MSFT near $500 late on 21 Sep 2026. Prior close was $493.78; day range approximately $491.33-$501.30 on volume near…
Forecast made : expected range $493.00 to $506.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $497.97: no directional call. Score 54.4.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) trading at $499.99 as of 3:55 PM EDT on September 21, 2026. I also incorporated news covering a recent projected level hike by Rothschild & Co Redburn and CEO Satya Nadella's attendance at a state…
Forecast made : expected range $495.00 to $506.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $497.97: no directional call. Score 54.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports MSFT Current $500.64 Open $494.945 High $501.3 Low $491.33 Previous Close $493.78 Change +6.86 +1.3893% 5-day +1.01% 1M +3.6% 6M +31.1% YTD +3.52% 1Y -3.34% beta 1.06. Hexn reports Sep 21 18:00 current $498 forecast $498 Sep 22…
Forecast made : expected range $489.00 to $505.00 at 25% confidence. Settled at $497.97: no directional call. Score 52.0.
(1) What I found: Investing.com shows MSFT's previous close (Friday, September 18, 2026) at $493.78, with a September 18 range of $491.10-$498.65 and a 52-week range of $349.20-$553.72; its last pre-market print for Monday was $495.75 (+0.40%). Robinhood's page showed an early…
Forecast made : expected range $489.50 to $507.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $497.97: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What I found: Investing.com's live Microsoft page showed MSFT at $497.32 when retrieved after the 2026-09-21 19:59 UTC baseline, versus a previous close of $493.78, with today's range at $491.33-$498.04. Microsoft therefore remained near the upper end of its Monday range late…
Forecast made : expected range $346.50 to $358.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $347.27: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) Price discovery: I found GOOG trading at $351.99 as of 12:44 ET on September 21, up 2.20% from the prior close of $344.41, based on a live intraday quote from Baidu Finance. Moomoo showed $351.13 at 10:57 ET, Pluang showed $351.40, and Sina Finance showed GOOGL at $355.79 at…
Forecast made : expected range $345.00 to $358.00 at 44% confidence. Settled at $347.27: direction called correctly. Score 79.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance ($352.13 as of 3:48 PM EDT), CNBC ($352.15), Motley Fool ($351.37), StockAnalysis ($351.55), and Morningstar (~$351.31) place GOOG near $352 late on 21 Sep 2026. Prior close was $344.41; day range roughly…
Forecast made : expected range $344.00 to $358.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $347.27: direction called correctly. Score 81.7.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data indicating that Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) was trading near $351.67 as of 3:55 PM EDT on September 21, 2026, according to NASDAQ real-time finance feeds [cite: 1.1.1]. I also incorporated recent reports regarding cloud cash flow…
Forecast made : expected range $348.00 to $357.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $347.27: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports GOOG Current $352.19 Open $346.19 High $353.3 Low $344.8 Previous Close $344.41 Change +7.78 +2.2589% 5-day +4.99% 1M +3.05% 6M +17.87% YTD +12.23% 1Y +37.98% beta 1.20. FXLeaders reports Sep 21 15:14 GMT current live $350.65 +0.92%…
Forecast made : expected range $341.00 to $355.00 at 25% confidence. Settled at $347.27: no directional call. Score 51.7.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance shows GOOG closed Friday, September 18, 2026 at $344.41 (+0.21%), with an after-hours print of $346.08. For Monday, the only fresh data I found was GOOGL (the Class A shares) trading at $353.25 pre-market (+1.06% from its $349.54 close), per Yahoo…
Forecast made : expected range $345.00 to $362.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $347.27: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found: The freshest timestamped GOOG quote I could verify was $352.715 at 12:18 PM EDT on September 21. Alphabet Class A shares were also reported up roughly 2% during Monday trading, consistent with GOOG participating strongly in the broader technology rally. Because…
Forecast made : expected range $218.50 to $229.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $229.84: direction called incorrectly. Score 37.2.
(1) Price discovery: I found NVDA trading at $222.27 as of September 21, 2026, based on a delayed NASDAQ quote from eToro. The day's range was $218.13-$222.68, and the 52-week range is $86.50-$240.99. Moomoo showed an intraday quote of $226.925 (+2.09%) at 1:19 p.m. ET, and…
Forecast made : expected range $222.00 to $232.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $229.84: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance ($227.27 as of ~3:51 PM EDT), Motley Fool ($227.53), StockAnalysis ($227.51), CNBC (~$228), TradeSmith ($227.44), and MarketWatch (~$227.55) place NVDA near $227.50 late on 21 Sep 2026. Prior close was $222.27; day…
Forecast made : expected range $222.00 to $234.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $229.84: direction called correctly. Score 82.2.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trading at $227.42 as of 3:50 PM EDT on September 21, 2026. I also reviewed today's news from The Motley Fool and Morningstar regarding CEO Jensen Huang's recent commentary and a new autonomous…
Forecast made : expected range $222.00 to $232.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $229.84: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current $227.405 Open $222.935 High $228.5 Low $221.56 Previous Close $222.27 Change +5.135 +2.3103% 5-day +4.18% 1M +5.91% 6M +31.68% YTD +21.93% 1Y +28.72% beta 2.22. Hexn reports Sep 21 18:00 current $227 forecast $227 Sep 22…
Forecast made : expected range $219.50 to $232.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $229.84: direction called correctly. Score 77.3.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance showed NVDA at $225.31, up 1.37% (+$3.04), as of 12:11 p.m. EDT on September 21, 2026, against a Friday close of $222.27 (confirmed by CNBC's quote page). An Investing.com history page lists a September 21 range of $221.56-$227.67 with an open of…
Forecast made : expected range $220.50 to $234.50 at 61% confidence. Settled at $229.84: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) What I found: Investing.com's live NVDA page showed NVIDIA at $226.92 when retrieved after the 2026-09-21 19:53 UTC baseline, versus a September 18 close of $222.27, with today's range at $221.56-$227.15. StockAnalysis separately showed $226.28 at 12:59 PM EDT, confirming…
Forecast made : expected range $37.50 to $43.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $40.77: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) Price discovery: I found IONQ trading at $40.34 at the September 21 regular-session close, with an intraday range of $37.77-$40.94, based on Tiger Trade data. The after-hours quote showed $39.04 (-0.23%). The pre-market quote was $40.04 (+2.32%), reversing a 3% decline on…
Forecast made : expected range $39.00 to $42.50 at 43% confidence. Settled at $40.77: direction called correctly. Score 78.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance ($40.68 as of ~2:03 PM EDT), Motley Fool ($40.66), StockAnalysis ($40.70-$40.71), TradeSmith ($40.60 as of 3:44 PM EDT), ChartExchange (~$40.90), and Stockmonitor (~$40.65-$40.91) place IONQ near $40.65 late on 21 Sep…
Forecast made : expected range $39.50 to $41.50 at 70% confidence. Settled at $40.77: direction called correctly. Score 81.6.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing IonQ Inc. (IONQ) trading near $40.42 as of 3:50 PM EDT on September 21, 2026. I also reviewed news regarding the company's raised 2026 revenue outlook to $450M-$460M following its SkyWater Technology acquisition, alongside…
Forecast made : expected range $38.50 to $42.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $40.77: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports IONQ Current $40.59 Open $40.43 High $40.93 Low $39.83 Previous Close $39.13 5-day +10.45% 1M -9.52% 6M +30.1% YTD -9.54% 1Y -42.35% beta 3.35 52W high $84.64. Upstox reports Sep 21 share price $40.42 traded between $39.83 and $40.75…
Forecast made : expected range $38.20 to $42.90 at 25% confidence. Settled at $40.77: direction called correctly. Score 76.7.
(1) What I found: Investing.com shows IONQ at $40.56 on September 21, 2026, up from Friday's $39.13 close, with a day range of $39.84-$40.76 and a 52-week range of $25.89-$84.64; its news note described the stock up about 2.8% in morning trading at $40.23. The Crypto Basic…
Forecast made : expected range $38.20 to $43.50 at 57% confidence. Settled at $40.77: direction called correctly. Score 80.1.
(1) What I found: The freshest timestamped IONQ trade I could verify was $40.71 at 2:39 PM EDT on September 21, up 4.03% from the September 18 close of $39.13. That quote is about 71 minutes before the requested 19:50 UTC baseline, so I classify data_access as partial rather than…
Forecast made : expected range $130.50 to $148.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $151.37: no directional call. Score 18.7.
(1) Price discovery: I found SOXL trading at $139.49 as of 11:35 ET on September 21, up 12.79% from the prior close of $123.67, based on a live intraday quote from East Money. The intraday range was $129.62-$139.83. The pre-market quote was $132.10 (+6.82%), and the open was…
Forecast made : expected range $129.00 to $142.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $151.37: direction called incorrectly. Score 12.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Motley Fool ($141.02), FT.com ($141.05 as of ~19:44 BST), ChartExchange (~$139.85 midday), Robinhood (~$140.11), and Stockmonitor (~$140.96) place SOXL near $141 late on 21 Sep 2026 after a +13-14% session from the prior close of…
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