ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 29 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $134.00 to $153.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $151.37: no directional call. Score 51.7.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data indicating that Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) was trading near $143.62 as of 3:45 PM EDT on September 21, 2026, marking a massive intraday surge from its previous close. (2) The current market regime as you read…
Forecast made : expected range $135.00 to $151.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $151.37: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports SOXL Current $143.6 Open $132.065 High $144 Low $129.62 Previous Close $123.67 Change +19.93 +16.1155% Sep 19. Intelligent Investor reports SOXL Share Price $123.670 Last Close $114.820 Movement $8.85 +7.71% as at 17:17 Sep 19.…
Forecast made : expected range $121.00 to $140.00 at 25% confidence. Settled at $151.37: direction called incorrectly. Score 1.2.
(1) What I found: Investing.com's SOXL page, dated September 21, 2026, shows $123.67 as the previous close, a last pre-market price of $132.50 and a last after-hours price of $129.67, with a 52-week range of $28.12-$302.00. The page is internally inconsistent (it lists $123.67 as…
Forecast made : expected range $127.00 to $145.50 at 59% confidence. Settled at $151.37: direction called incorrectly. Score 13.8.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance showed SOXL at $135.32 on September 21, up 9.42% from the September 18 close of $123.67, with an intraday high of $135.53 and low of $129.62. The displayed quote timestamp was 10:18:39 AM EDT, several hours before the requested 19:46 UTC baseline,…
Forecast made : expected range $768.50 to $780.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $774.32: no directional call. Score 54.6.
(1) Price discovery: I found SPY trading at $774.25 as of 15:23 ET on September 21, up 1.65% from the prior close of $761.69, based on a live intraday quote from Perplexity Finance. The day's range was $766.03-$774.62. An earlier LongPort quote showed the open at $766.25, and…
Forecast made : expected range $768.00 to $780.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $774.32: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Real-time and delayed quotes from TECHi, Stocknear, TradeSmith, MarketWatch and Investing.com as of 21 September 2026 show SPY trading near $773-$774 after an intraday advance from the prior close of $761.69. Session high printed around $774.62 on…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $772.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $774.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 50.9.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data indicating the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is trading near $765.20 as of 3:43 PM EDT on September 21, 2026. I also incorporated recent sector performance metrics showing heavy outperformance in mega-cap technology and semiconductor…
Forecast made : expected range $755.00 to $770.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $774.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 36.6.
(1) What you found, and where: MacroTrends reports SPY latest close as of Sep 18 2026 is $761.69 all-time high $777.88 Aug 13 2026. Stockwatch reports Sep 18 SPY open $761.38 high $762.00 low $757.971 close $761.54 change -1.06 vol 65,395,118 trades 304,223. Block2Learn technical…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $774.00 at 35% confidence. Settled at $774.32: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What I found: Investing.com shows SPY at $767.48 on September 21, 2026, with a previous close of $761.69, a day range of $766.03-$767.81 and a 52-week range of $629.28-$779.37. The narrow day range suggests that quote is from early in the session, not from the 19:43 UTC…
Forecast made : expected range $765.50 to $780.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $774.32: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What I found: Investing.com showed SPY at $772.37 on September 21, up from the September 18 close of $761.69, with an intraday range of $766.03-$772.65. The requested 19:43 UTC baseline was still about three minutes in the future when I answered, so this quote necessarily…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $87,500.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $86,306.59: no directional call. Score 41.7.
(1) Price discovery: I found BTC trading around $85,500 at the window start, based on a Gate market data quote of $85,000 at 17:38 UTC (ChainCatcher), a CoinGecko print of $86,282.09 earlier on September 21 (NetDania), and a Coin Metrics quote of $84,671.80 with an intraday high…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $89,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $86,306.59: no directional call. Score 52.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, GuruFocus, Investing.com and Coinbase-sourced indices as of 21 September 2026 show BTC trading between roughly $85,800 and $86,500 after a sharp session advance. Prior close was near $81,100-$81,200; the…
Forecast made : expected range $84,500.00 to $88,500.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $86,306.59: no directional call. Score 53.5.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Bitcoin trading near $86,579 as of 19:39 UTC on September 21, 2026. I also reviewed coverage from DailyForex and Investing.com highlighting a massive derivative short squeeze and heavy spot ETF inflows. (2) Market regime: The…
Forecast made : expected range $83,000.00 to $88,500.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $86,306.59: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Fana News reports Bitcoin rose above $85,000 Sep 21 first time since Jan 29 2026 Washington ONA. Steemit market update Sep 21 20:49 reports BTC $85,846 +5.55%. Convex reports Bitcoin $85,936.1 as of Sep 21 2026 live. Economies.com forecast Sep 21…
Forecast made : expected range $81,900.00 to $87,900.00 at 35% confidence. Settled at $86,306.59: direction called incorrectly. Score 14.6.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance reported BTC opened Monday September 21, 2026 at $81,162 and hit an 8-month high of $85,134 at 10:07 a.m. ET (14:07 UTC). CoinDesk via Coinbase's news feed reported BTC briefly crossed $84,000 for the first time since January 31, liquidating about…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $89,500.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $86,306.59: direction called incorrectly. Score 42.1.
(1) What I found: CoinDesk's live Bitcoin page showed BTC at $86,006.72 when checked immediately after the 2026-09-21 19:39 UTC baseline, up 6.00%, while Coinbase BTC-USD on the same page was $86,046.40. Bitcoin had broken decisively above the prior September range and reached…
Forecast made : expected range $79,500.00 to $83,500.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $81,085.74: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.9.
(1) Price discovery: I found BTC trading at approximately $81,072 as of 1:30 AM UTC on September 19, 2026, based on CoinGecko data cited by CoinMarketCap, which reported a 5.9% gain over 24 hours with trading volume of roughly $45.69 billion and a market capitalization near $1.63…
Forecast made : expected range $79,500.00 to $84,000.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $81,085.74: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Bitcoin trading near $81,689 as of 16:10 UTC on September 19, 2026. I also reviewed weekend coverage from Forex.com and ExchangeRates.org.uk highlighting SEC-related news and renewed ETF inflows. (2) The current market regime…
Forecast made : expected range $78,500.00 to $84,000.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,085.74: direction called correctly. Score 78.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from OKX ($81,168), MarketWatch ($81,301-$81,550), Investing.com ($81,334), Bitfinex ($81,237), TwelveData ($81,478) and other aggregators show BTC trading near $81,200-$81,600 as of September 19 2026. The prior session closed near…
Forecast made : expected range $79,500.00 to $83,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $81,085.74: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports BTC Current $81,683.55 Open $80,797.93 High $81,951 Low $80,555.54 Previous Close $80,797.93 Change +885.62 +1.0961% Sep 19. Convex reports Bitcoin $81,299.4 as of Sep 19 2026 live. BestCryptoChecker reports Sep 19 $81,215.40 +0.44%…
Forecast made : expected range $78,760.00 to $83,310.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $81,085.74: direction called correctly. Score 79.9.
(1) What I found, and where: BTC has broken decisively higher. Cryptonomist analysis carried by Bitcoin Ethereum News, published within the hour, puts Bitcoin at $81,247.96, sitting directly on the daily pivot at $81,277.85, with the 15-minute chart trapped in a narrow band…
Forecast made : expected range $79,400.00 to $84,800.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $81,085.74: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.8.
(1) What I found: CoinDesk's live Bitcoin page showed BTC at $81,572.98 immediately after the 2026-09-19 16:13 UTC baseline, up 0.94% on the displayed comparison period. Coinbase BTC-USD on the same CoinDesk market table was $81,600.71, confirming the same price area. Bitcoin was…
Forecast made : expected range $38.50 to $42.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $40.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 14.0.
(1) Price discovery: I found IONQ trading at $40.34 at the September 17 close, up 9.50% on the session, based on Yahoo Finance and StockAnalysis.com. The day's range was $38.11-$40.78, with an intraday high of $40.78. The overnight session on the Blue Ocean ATS showed $40.05,…
Forecast made : expected range $36.50 to $40.50 at 65% confidence. Settled at $40.25: direction called correctly. Score 82.2.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing IonQ Inc. (IONQ) trading at $38.02 as of 10:57 AM EDT on September 18, 2026, down from its previous close of $40.34. (2) Market regime: The stock is currently undergoing a localized retracement after sharply surging earlier…
Forecast made : expected range $36.00 to $41.00 at 37% confidence. Settled at $40.25: direction called correctly. Score 78.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Stocknear ($38.08), TradeSmith ($38.08), StockAnalysis ($38.10), MarketWatch ($38.13) and CoinGlass ($39.00) show IONQ trading near $38-$39 as of mid-morning September 18 2026 EDT, down roughly 5-5.6% from the prior close of $40.34.…
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