IONQ 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-18: expected range $36.50 to $40.50 at 65% confidence. Settled at $40.25: direction called correctly, score 82.2.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $38.14 |
| Price the model reported | $38.02 |
| Expected range | $36.50 to $40.50 |
| Confidence | 65% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $40.25 |
| Traded range in the window | $37.77 to $40.77 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 82.2 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing IonQ Inc. (IONQ) trading at $38.02 as of 10:57 AM EDT on September 18, 2026, down from its previous close of $40.34.
(2) Market regime: The stock is currently undergoing a localized retracement after sharply surging earlier in the week following upbeat full-year revenue guidance and post-FOMC tech sector rotation. High-beta quantum computing equities remain exceptionally sensitive to short-term profit-taking after sharp rallies.
(3) Price range justification: I project a 24-hour range of $36.50-$40.50. Immediate intraday support sits near the $36.50 to $37.00 region, which aligns with prior consolidation levels, while overhead resistance clusters near the $40.30 to $40.50 mark following yesterday's highs.
(4) Scheduled catalysts inside the window: Price action over the next 24 hours will be dictated by standard Friday options expiration flows, late-week institutional rebalancing, and overall sentiment trends across speculative technology names.
(5) The strongest counter-argument: The primary risk to a neutral-to-soft consolidation is that speculative retail and institutional dip-buyers could aggressively step in around the $38 level, treating the morning pullback as a buying opportunity and sparking a rapid relief bounce back toward $40.50.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: My confidence is 65%. While IONQ's longer-term fundamental trajectory benefits from upwardly revised revenue forecasts, trading a high-beta quantum stock through a volatile options expiration session introduces significant intraday noise and uncertainty.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $36.20 to $41.80 | 54% | Direction called incorrectly | 44.8 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $34.70 to $40.80 | 47% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.1 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $37.00 to $43.00 | 50% | Direction called incorrectly | 5.4 |
| Grok 4.5 | $36.00 to $41.00 | 37% | Direction called correctly | 78.6 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $38.50 to $42.50 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 14.0 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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