ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 30 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $37.00 to $43.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $40.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 5.4.
(1) What you found, and where: FinancialContent reports IONQ current $40.34 last trade Sep 17 2026 07:00 PM ET. MarketBeat Sep 15 close $37.07 open $37.54 high $38.17 low $36.26 vol 12.87M cap $14.12B and Sep 14 $37.54 +2.08% high $38.56 low $35.00 vol 18.19M cap $14.30B.…
Forecast made : expected range $34.70 to $40.80 at 47% confidence. Settled at $40.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found, and where: Robinhood reports that on 2026-09-18 IONQ moved within a range of $37.99 to $40.94 and currently trades at $38.12, which is 0.4% above the session low and 6.9% below the session peak, with a market capitalisation of $15.45 billion, a P/E of -8.87, and…
Forecast made : expected range $36.20 to $41.80 at 54% confidence. Settled at $40.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 44.8.
(1) What I found: The freshest timestamped IONQ trade I could verify was $38.82 at 13:52 UTC on September 18, down 3.78% from the prior close, with an intraday range of $38.74-$40.94 at that point. Investing.com separately showed IONQ around $40.34 for September 18 but without a…
Forecast made : expected range $135.50 to $145.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $136.29: direction called incorrectly. Score 4.4.
(1) Price discovery: I found SOXL trading at $140.25 as of 18:44 ET on September 18, a gain of 5.99% from the prior close of $132.33, based on a live quote from Longbridge (web.lbkrs.com). The intraday range was $131.56-$143.92. An earlier Longport quote showed $144.95 at 19:59…
Forecast made : expected range $112.00 to $126.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $136.29: direction called correctly. Score 73.2.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing SOXL trading at $118.54 as of 10:55 AM EDT on September 18, 2026, based on NYSE ARCA intraday feeds. (2) Market regime: The semiconductor sector is currently experiencing a mild risk-on recovery following earlier post-FOMC…
Forecast made : expected range $112.00 to $125.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $136.29: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from ChartExchange ($118.92), ETF.com ($118.84), MarketWatch ($118.71), FT ($118.53) and Investing.com ($118.70) show SOXL trading near $118-$119 as of mid-morning September 18 2026 EDT, up roughly 3.3-3.5% from the prior close of…
Forecast made : expected range $112.00 to $125.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $136.29: no directional call. Score 44.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports SOXL Current $118.56 Open $117.03 High $119.7088 Low $116.86 Previous Close $114.82 Change +3.74 +3.2573% Sep 18. 5-day +11.07% 1-month -18.21% 6-month +133.75% YTD +182.08% 1-year +304.64% 10-year +4352% beta 5.93. Barchart shows…
Forecast made : expected range $105.00 to $125.90 at 40% confidence. Settled at $136.29: direction called incorrectly. Score 5.0.
(1) What I found, and where, and the anchor is the weak point again: Investing.com still reports SOXL at 103.97 with an identical previous close, which is Wednesday's level carried forward rather than a live print, and Direxion's own product page states NAV and market price…
Forecast made : expected range $111.50 to $126.50 at 57% confidence. Settled at $136.29: direction called correctly. Score 73.4.
(1) What I found: The freshest SOXL regular-session quote I could verify was $118.56 at 9:53 AM EDT on September 18, up 3.26% from the September 17 close of $114.82. The session range at that timestamp was $116.86-$119.71. Because this quote predates the requested 14:55 UTC…
Forecast made : expected range $490.50 to $499.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $493.48: direction called correctly. Score 80.6.
(1) Price discovery: I found MSFT trading around $494.50 at the window start, based on a Schwab quote of $494.15 at 9:54 a.m. ET, an eToro quote of $496.90, a Yahoo Finance intraday print of $497.75, and a Robinhood session note showing a daily range of $493.28-$501.47. The prior…
Forecast made : expected range $485.00 to $500.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $493.48: direction called correctly. Score 81.7.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) trading near $491.80 as of 10:50 AM EDT on September 18, 2026. I also noted the company's recent announcement of a 7.7% dividend increase to $0.98 per share. (2) The current market regime as you…
Forecast made : expected range $486.00 to $500.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $493.48: direction called correctly. Score 78.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from TradeSmith ($493.67), Onvista ($491.66), MarketWatch ($493.54), CoinGlass ($492.70) and StockAnalysis ($491.38) show MSFT trading near $491-$494 as of mid-morning September 18 2026 EDT, down roughly 0.8-1.3% from the prior close of…
Forecast made : expected range $485.00 to $500.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $493.48: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports MSFT Current $491.54 Open $497.965 High $498.65 Low $491.1 Previous Close $497.75 Sep 18. Star Tribune price $497.75, FinancialContent $486.35 $493.31 $495.63 $499.99 high $505.18. 5-day -3.64% 1-month -0.78% 6-month +24.27% YTD…
Forecast made : expected range $484.40 to $502.70 at 52% confidence. Settled at $493.48: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) What I found, and where: MSFT closed Thursday 17 September at $497.75, up $7.45 or 1.52% from $490.30, with an intraday high of $501.47 and a low near $490, and an after-hours print of $496.90 at 7:59 p.m. (stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/, ad-hoc-news.de). Today,…
Forecast made : expected range $489.00 to $506.50 at 53% confidence. Settled at $493.48: no directional call. Score 47.0.
(1) What I found: The freshest U.S.-listed MSFT quote I could verify without using information published after the requested baseline was $497.66 in September 18 premarket trading, essentially flat versus the September 17 regular-session close of $497.75. Investing.com reported…
Forecast made : expected range $348.50 to $357.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $352.40: direction called correctly. Score 64.0.
(1) Price discovery: I found GOOG trading around $352 at the window start, based on an Investing.com pre-market quote of $352.72 (+2.63%), a Moomoo intraday quote of $347.105 at 10:16 a.m. ET, a Raymond James quote of $351.17 (+7.49) at 9:50 a.m. ET, and a 24h.jrj report of…
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $355.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $352.40: direction called correctly. Score 82.2.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) trading near $347.43 as of 10:40 AM EDT on September 18, 2026. (2) The current market regime as you read it: The broader market is in a distinct post-FOMC risk-on phase. With the Federal Reserve's rate…
Forecast made : expected range $345.00 to $358.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $352.40: direction called correctly. Score 78.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockAnalysis ($347.46 earlier), Onvista ($351.65), CoinGlass ($350.48), Motley Fool ($352.81) and Investing.com show GOOG trading near $349-$353 as of mid-morning September 18 2026 EDT, up roughly 1.5-2.5% from the prior close of…
Forecast made : expected range $341.00 to $355.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $352.40: direction called correctly. Score 80.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports GOOG Current $347.44 Open $351.22 High $355.13 Low $345.63 Previous Close $343.68 Change +3.76 +1.094% Sep 18. 5-day +2.47% 1-month +1.14% 6-month +15.25% YTD +10.72% 1-year +43.94% beta 1.21 per Finnhub. Ad-hoc-news Sep 18 price…
Forecast made : expected range $344.60 to $360.10 at 54% confidence. Settled at $352.40: no directional call. Score 41.5.
(1) What I found, and where, with one class distinction that matters: Robinhood shows GOOG, the Class C shares, priced at $352.00 during the 2026-09-18 session with a daily high of $352.90 and a low of $351.21, a market capitalisation of $4.23 trillion and a P/E of 17.05, on…
Forecast made : expected range $343.50 to $360.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $352.40: direction called correctly. Score 79.6.
(1) What I found: The freshest GOOG quote I could verify was $351.09 in September 18 premarket trading, versus the September 17 regular-session close of $343.68. Public.com separately showed GOOG at $351.64 earlier in premarket trading, confirming that Alphabet entered Friday…
Forecast made : expected range $216.50 to $224.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $223.91: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) Price discovery: I found NVDA trading at $220.33 as of 10:11 a.m. ET on September 18, up 0.45% intraday, from a live quote on Moomoo. The stock closed the prior session at $219.34, up 2.54%, according to Yahoo Finance Taiwan and StockAnalysis.com. The overnight session saw…
Forecast made : expected range $210.00 to $228.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $223.91: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.3.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trading near $219.26 as of 10:40 AM EDT on September 18, 2026. I also incorporated recent market commentary regarding post-FOMC sector rotation and the impact of easing jobless claims. (2) The…
Forecast made : expected range $214.50 to $225.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $223.91: no directional call. Score 52.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch ($220.12), Investing.com ($219.94), Chase ($220.17), CNBC ($220.71) and TradeSmith show NVDA trading near $219-$221 as of mid-morning September 18 2026 EDT, up roughly 0.2-0.6% from the prior close of $219.34. Day range…
Forecast made : expected range $214.00 to $225.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $223.91: direction called correctly. Score 79.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current $219.19 Open $219.35 High $220.89 Low $218.03 Previous Close $219.34 Change -0.15 -0.0684% Sep 18. Finimize reports NVDA closed Sep 18 14:00 US/Eastern. 5-day -4.05% 1-month -2.65% 6-month +21.6% YTD +17.53% 1-year…
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