ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 31 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $214.80 to $228.10 at 54% confidence. Settled at $223.91: direction called correctly. Score 79.9.
(1) What I found, and where: NVDA closed Thursday 17 September at $219.34, a figure that three independent sources agree on, with a previous close of $213.90, so the session gained 2.54% (macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/NVDA/nvidia/stock-price-history,…
Forecast made : expected range $214.50 to $228.50 at 59% confidence. Settled at $223.91: direction called correctly. Score 80.5.
(1) What I found: The freshest U.S.-listed NVDA quote I could verify was $220.92 in September 18 premarket trading, up 0.72% from the September 17 close of $219.34. A separate September 18 European listing for Nvidia was trading around the equivalent of $220.40 later in the…
Forecast made : expected range $758.50 to $767.50 at 62% confidence. Settled at $769.17: direction called correctly. Score 79.4.
(1) Market snapshot: I found SPY trading around $762.00 at the window start, based on a TradingView post showing SPY opening Friday at 762.00 and a Benzinga article published 9:10 AM ET stating SPY is currently trading around 761.50. A Barchart quote later showed 766.06 at 15:06…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $768.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $769.17: no directional call. Score 53.6.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing SPY trading near $760.40 as of mid-morning EDT on September 18, 2026, alongside news of its recent $1.8888 quarterly dividend declaration. (2) Market regime: The market is in a post-FOMC stabilization phase. Equities have…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $765.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $769.17: no directional call. Score 50.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockMonitor ($759.18), TradeSmith ($759.01), MarketScreener ($759.58), TwelveData ($759.21) and Investing.com show SPY trading near $759-$761 as of mid-morning September 18 2026 EDT, down roughly 0.2-0.5% from the prior close of…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $770.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $769.17: no directional call. Score 53.9.
(1) What you found, and where: MacroTrends reports latest close Sep 17 2026 $762.57 all-time high $777.88 Aug 13 2026. ADVFN options Sep 17 show SPY 753 strike last $9.40 +5.35 +132.10% vol 6,828 open 2,700, 754 strike $8.31 +4.86 +140.87% vol 11,450 open 7,796, 755 strike $6.94…
Forecast made : expected range $753.10 to $769.10 at 52% confidence. Settled at $769.17: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) What I found, and where, including a correction to my own earlier reading: Investing.com states that as of 17 September SPY traded at 762.60 with a previous close of 754.05 and a day range of 759.96 to 763.57 (investing.com/etfs/spdr-s-p-500). That 754.05 figure for Wednesday…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $767.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $769.17: no directional call. Score 52.3.
(1) What I found: The freshest exact SPY quote I could verify was $760.42 at 9:06 AM EDT on September 18, down 0.29% from the September 17 regular-session close of $762.60. Because that quote predates the requested 14:37 UTC baseline and I could not independently verify a newer…
Forecast made : expected range $76,000.00 to $79,500.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $81,567.10: no directional call. Score 13.8.
(1) Market snapshot: I found BTC trading around $77,800 at the window start, based on quotes from Yahoo Finance ($77,991 at 7:25 a.m. ET), Fortune ($77,979 at 8 a.m. ET), and Marketscreener ($77,966 at 12:29 UTC). The intraday low was $76,205, and the high was near $78,460.…
Forecast made : expected range $76,000.00 to $80,000.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $81,567.10: direction called correctly. Score 21.7.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Bitcoin trading near $77,719 as of 14:33 UTC on September 18, 2026, referencing recent coverage from The Economic Times. (2) Market regime: The market is in a cautious recovery and consolidation phase following a highly…
Forecast made : expected range $76,800.00 to $82,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,567.10: no directional call. Score 38.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch (CoinDesk index ~$79,965), Yahoo Finance (~$78,013), GuruFocus ($79,246), OKX (~$80,383) and others place BTC near $78k-$80.5k on 2026-09-18 with a ~2-4.5% daily gain after prior-session closes near $76.4k. Day range has…
Forecast made : expected range $77,500.00 to $82,500.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $81,567.10: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports BTC Current $80,600.01 Open $76,953.14 High $80,989.99 Low $76,259.98 Previous Close $76,953.14 Change +3646.87 +4.7391% Sep 18. Convex reports Bitcoin $78,036.6 as of Sep 18 2026 live. CoinDesk Sep 17 reports price dipped to $76,700…
Forecast made : expected range $75,750.00 to $79,900.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $81,567.10: direction called incorrectly. Score 0.6.
(1) What I found, and where: five sources converge tightly. Fortune quotes $77,979.54 at 8:00 a.m. ET, a $1,791.56 jump from yesterday morning, with market capitalisation near $1.33 trillion (fortune.com/article/price-of-bitcoin-09-18-2026/). Crypto Times has BTC near $78,200 and…
Forecast made : expected range $75,800.00 to $80,600.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $81,567.10: direction called correctly. Score 24.2.
(1) What I found: CoinDesk's live Bitcoin page showed BTC at approximately $77,974 when checked just after the 2026-09-18 14:33 UTC baseline, up about 1.75% over 24 hours. CoinMarketCap's real-time BTC/USDT converter simultaneously showed roughly 78,183 USDT per BTC, confirming…
Forecast made : expected range $486.00 to $504.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $491.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.5.
(1) What I found and where: MSFT closed at $490.30 on September 16, down 1.37% (Yahoo Finance, stockanalysis.com). In pre-market trading on September 17, the stock recovered to $494.50, up 0.86% (stockanalysis.com, timestamped 5:00 AM EDT). The pre-market move was part of a broad…
Forecast made : expected range $490.00 to $506.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $491.78: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data via financial feeds indicating that Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) was trading at $497.69 as of 10:45 EDT on September 17, 2026. (2) Market regime: The market is currently undergoing a robust post-FOMC relief rally on September 17,…
Forecast made : expected range $486.00 to $506.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $491.78: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports MSFT Open $497.795 High $501.47 Low $493.17 Previous Close $490.30 Change +7.95 +1.6215% Sep 17. Upstox reports $490.27 as of Sep 17 2:20 am IST 52-week high $553.63 low $349.20. MacroTrends latest close Sep 16 $490.30 all-time high…
Forecast made : expected range $485.60 to $506.40 at 52% confidence. Settled at $491.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.5.
(1) What I found, and where: MSFT closed 16 September at $490.30, down $6.82 or 1.37%, with a pre-market print of $494.50, up $4.20 or 0.86%, at 7:49 a.m. ET (finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history/). Robinhood reports that during the 2026-09-17 session shares reached a high of…
Forecast made : expected range $486.00 to $503.50 at 57% confidence. Settled at $491.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) What I found: The freshest MSFT quote I could verify was $493.40 in September 17 premarket trading at 6:21 AM EDT, up 0.63% from the September 16 regular-session close of $490.30. Because that quote predates the requested 14:45 UTC baseline and I could not independently…
Forecast made : expected range $336.00 to $350.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $347.17: no directional call. Score 53.1.
(1) What I found and where: GOOG closed at $339.36 on September 16, down 0.61% (Google Finance, stockanalysis.com). In pre-market trading on September 17, the stock climbed to $343.95, up approximately 1.35% (Google Finance, timestamped 04:09 ET). Moomoo data showed GOOG at…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $350.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $347.17: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data via Twelve Data and financial news feeds indicating that Alphabet Class C stock (GOOG) was trading at $344.21 as of 10:36 EDT on September 17, 2026, recovering from the previous regular session close of $339.36. (2) Market regime:…
Forecast made : expected range $336.00 to $348.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $347.17: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports GOOG Current Price $342.19 Open $345 High $345.965 Low $340.50 Previous Close $339.36 Change +2.83 +0.8339% Sep 17. Robinhood reports GOOG $343.45 market cap $4.15T P/E 17.15 yield 0.25% high $344.70 low $337.45 Sep 17 +1.8% from low…
Forecast made : expected range $336.05 to $351.80 at 53% confidence. Settled at $347.17: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What I found, and where: Robinhood's quote page shows GOOG priced at $343.60 with a market capitalisation of $4.15 trillion, a trailing P/E of 17.15 and a dividend yield of 0.25%, and states that during the 2026-09-17 session shares reached a high of $344.70 and a low of…
Forecast made : expected range $335.00 to $350.50 at 57% confidence. Settled at $347.17: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What I found: The freshest GOOG trade I could independently verify was a September 17 premarket quote of $342.85 at 7:22 AM EDT, up 1.03% from the September 16 regular-session close of $339.36. That quote predates the requested 14:36 UTC baseline by more than three hours, so…
Forecast made : expected range $214.00 to $226.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $219.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 54.2.
(1) What I found and where: NVDA closed at $213.90 on September 16, up 0.82% (Yahoo Finance). In pre-market trading on September 17, the stock surged to $219.17, up 2.46% (Sina Finance, timestamped 10:11 AM EDT). The broader market opened sharply higher: the Nasdaq gained 1.55%,…
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