ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 32 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $228.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $219.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 41.1.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trading at $219.74 as of 10:30 EDT on September 17, 2026. I also reviewed market reports from Investing.com regarding the broader technology sector recovery and post-FOMC dynamics. (2) Market regime:…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $226.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $219.32: direction called correctly. Score 79.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current Price $219.39 Open $218.375 High $219.65 Low $217.145 Previous Close $213.90 Change +5.49 +2.5666% Sep 17. Upstox reports NVDA $214.24 as of Sep 17 2026 1:57 am IST 52-week high $236.54 low $164.28. MacroTrends reports…
Forecast made : expected range $211.45 to $225.20 at 53% confidence. Settled at $219.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 45.8.
(1) What I found, and where, with the cross-check that makes me trust it: Investing.com's NVDA history page states today's range is 217.15 to 218.70 with an opening price of 218.06, and the same page's sidebar shows the US 500 at 7,624.60, up 72.4 or 0.96%…
Forecast made : expected range $212.50 to $224.50 at 59% confidence. Settled at $219.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 40.2.
(1) What I found: The freshest traded NVDA quote I could verify was $218.26 at 9:40 AM EDT on September 17, with the stock up about 2.04% and trading between $217.15 and $218.68 at that point. That quote is about 51 minutes before the requested 14:31 UTC baseline, so I label…
Forecast made : expected range $105.00 to $122.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $118.68: direction called correctly. Score 59.1.
(1) What I found and where: SOXL closed at $103.97 on September 16, up 1.61%, after a brutal 16.98% single-day crash to $101.13 on September 14. In pre-market trading on September 17, the ETF surged roughly 6.1% to $110.32 (Tokocrypto News, citing market data), and Korean outlet…
Forecast made : expected range $104.00 to $128.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $118.68: direction called correctly. Score 81.3.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing SOXL trading at $113.89 as of 14:29 UTC on September 17, 2026. I also incorporated broader market context regarding the post-FOMC relief rally and strong initial jobless claims data. (2) Market regime: The market is in a…
Forecast made : expected range $106.00 to $121.00 at 51% confidence. Settled at $118.68: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports SOXL Current Price $114.31 Open $113.33 High $115.48 Low $112.0101 Previous Close $103.97 Change +10.34 +9.9452% Sep 17. TradingView reports SOXL trades at $117.28 today risen 9.87% 24h NAV $106.86 fallen -18.59% past month AUM…
Forecast made : expected range $95.85 to $116.10 at 43% confidence. Settled at $118.68: direction called incorrectly. Score 1.6.
(1) What I found, and where, with the anchor caveat first: Investing.com states that as of 17 September SOXL is trading at 103.97 with a previous close of 103.97, the two being identical, which reads as Wednesday's closing level carried forward rather than a live print…
Forecast made : expected range $106.00 to $122.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $118.68: no directional call. Score 51.6.
(1) What I found: Capital.com showed SOXL at $114.31 when checked immediately after the 2026-09-17 14:29 UTC baseline, approximately 10% above the September 16 regular-session close. StockAnalysis reports that SOXL closed September 16 at $103.97 after trading between $101.06 and…
Forecast made : expected range $38.00 to $41.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $38.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing IonQ (IONQ) trading at $39.38 as of 14:23 UTC on September 17, 2026. I also reviewed recent coverage from Webull and The Motley Fool regarding IonQ's September 8 Investor Day and updated revenue guidance. (2) Market regime:…
Forecast made : expected range $35.00 to $39.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $38.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 4.8.
(1) What you found, and where: MacroTrends reports latest close Sep 16 2026 $36.84 all-time high $82.09 Oct 13 2025 52-week high $84.64 129.8% above. Metamask tokenized Sep 17 $37.37 +0.45% 24h ago Sep 16 $37.20 week ago Sep 10 $38.21 -2.20% month ago Aug 18 $46.31 -19.30%.…
Forecast made : expected range $33.65 to $39.80 at 46% confidence. Settled at $38.26: direction called correctly. Score 13.3.
(1) What I found, and where: Morningstar's quote page gives a previous close of $37.50, a day range of $36.26 to $38.17, a bid and ask of $37.00 and $37.04, 405.14 million shares outstanding, a market capitalisation of $15.01 billion, volume of 13 million against a 21 million…
Forecast made : expected range $35.80 to $42.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $38.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 16.6.
(1) What I found: The freshest traded quote I could verify was $38.63 at 9:32:12 AM EDT on September 17, about 51 minutes before the 14:23 UTC baseline, with IONQ up 4.86% from its September 16 close of $36.84. The opening range at that point was $38.10-$38.69 on about 1.31…
Forecast made : expected range $753.00 to $768.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $759.37: direction called correctly. Score 81.5.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing SPY trading near $761.49 as of 14:20 UTC on September 17, 2026. I also reviewed post-FOMC coverage from BNN Bloomberg regarding Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's rate hike yesterday, alongside initial jobless claims data from…
Forecast made : expected range $745.00 to $762.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $759.37: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What I found: SPY closed Wednesday September 16 at $754.05, down 0.44% after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023 (forum.finanzen.ch; RTHK). The ETF traded down to $749.60 during Wednesday's session before recovering, and spent the overnight session climbing back…
Forecast made : expected range $746.00 to $760.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $759.37: direction called correctly. Score 80.6.
(1) What you found, and where: MacroTrends reports latest close Sep 16 2026 $754.20 all-time high $777.88 Aug 13 2026. Calamos data Sep 16 3:16 PM CDT shows ref asset $754.05 -0.46% vs $767.05 Sep 1. INDmoney SPY share today $754.05. Cestrian Capital Sep 16 notes SPY hugging…
Forecast made : expected range $754.20 to $771.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $759.37: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) What I found, and where, with an unresolved discrepancy I want to flag: Benzinga's inline ticker in an article timestamped 17 September 8:43 a.m. ET shows SPY at 763.29, QQQ at 715.87 up 1.58%, DIA at 521.21 up 1.16%, GLD at 401.48 up 2.49% and BTC at 76,818.60…
Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $767.50 at 56% confidence. Settled at $759.37: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What I found: Investing.com showed SPY at $761.22 on September 17, with an intraday range of $761.09-$763.41 and a previous regular-session close of $754.05. Reuters reported that the S&P 500 opened 1.05% higher at 7,631.44 as lower oil prices and relief following the Federal…
Forecast made : expected range $74,500.00 to $78,500.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $80,256.50: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Bitcoin trading near $76,790 as of 14:15 UTC on September 17, 2026. I also reviewed post-FOMC coverage from the Financial Times and The Economic Times regarding the Fed's 25-basis-point rate hike yesterday. (2) Market regime:…
Forecast made : expected range $74,800.00 to $78,000.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $80,256.50: direction called correctly. Score 73.2.
(1) What I found: Bitcoin is trading near $76,300 as of September 17, 2026, 14:15 UTC, according to Yahoo Finance (BTC-USD opened at $76,143.81 and moved to $76,264.91 by 7:23 a.m. ET), KuCoin ($76,199.7, +0.73%), and Edgen ($76,362 at 08:02 UTC). The 24-hour range spans roughly…
Forecast made : expected range $75,000.00 to $78,500.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $80,256.50: no directional call. Score 47.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub Binance shows Current Price $76,766.86 Open $75,441.78 High $77,179.47 Low $75,064.82 Previous Close $75,441.77 Change +1325.09 +1.7564% Sep 17. Convex reports Bitcoin $76,396.9 as of Sep 17 2026 live. CoinDesk Sep 17 reports price dipped to…
Forecast made : expected range $74,600.00 to $78,950.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $80,256.50: direction called correctly. Score 76.8.
(1) What I found, and where: BTC opened Thursday at $76,143.81, up 0.7% on Wednesday's open, and was moving higher by 7:23 a.m. ET (Yahoo Finance data carried at byteseu.com/2373821/). DailyCoin reports consolidation near $76,450 as of 17 September at 9:06 GMT…
Forecast made : expected range $74,800.00 to $79,000.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $80,256.50: direction called correctly. Score 78.0.
(1) What I found: CoinDesk's live market page showed BTC at approximately $76,371.78 immediately after the 2026-09-17 14:15 UTC baseline, after Bitcoin had traded as high as $76,621 earlier Thursday. CoinDesk reported BTC up about 0.9% over 24 hours and noted that 94 of 100…
Forecast made : expected range $34.48 to $39.48 at 55% confidence. Settled at $39.68: no directional call. Score 51.0.
(1) Price verification: [Stock Analysis](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/ionq/) quoted IONQ at $36.98 at 14:24 UTC on September 16, versus a previous close of $37.05. This is my estimate for the requested 14:32 UTC baseline, eight minutes later; I could not verify the exact…
Forecast made : expected range $34.50 to $39.50 at 65% confidence. Settled at $39.68: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data via Google Search indicating IONQ is trading at $36.93 as of 14:32 UTC on September 16, 2026. I also noted the stock has retreated from its early September highs above $40. (2) Market regime: The market is in a highly anticipatory…
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