IONQ 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-17: expected range $38.00 to $41.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $38.26: direction called incorrectly, score 30.8.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.36 |
| Price the model reported | $39.38 |
| Expected range | $38.00 to $41.00 |
| Confidence | 70% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $38.26 |
| Traded range in the window | $37.99 to $40.94 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.8 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing IonQ (IONQ) trading at $39.38 as of 14:23 UTC on September 17, 2026. I also reviewed recent coverage from Webull and The Motley Fool regarding IonQ's September 8 Investor Day and updated revenue guidance.
(2) Market regime: The market is currently experiencing a broad risk-on relief rally following yesterday's FOMC interest rate decision. While the Fed hiked rates, the tech sector is strongly outperforming today as investors digest the economic outlook. As a high-beta growth stock, IonQ is catching this macroeconomic tailwind, further supported by lingering optimism from its recent SkyWater Technology acquisition.
(3) Price range justification: I project a 24-hour range of $38.00-$41.00. The stock has surged nearly 7% intraday, breaking well above yesterday's close of $36.84. Strong immediate support is now established around $38.00 to $38.30. With the current momentum, a retest of the September 8 post-Investor Day high near $40.34 to $41.00 is highly probable over the next session.
(4) Scheduled catalysts inside the window: There are no major company-specific catalysts expected within the immediate 24-hour window. Price action will largely be dictated by the continuation or fading of the broader market's post-Fed tech rally, as well as institutional repositioning.
(5) The strongest counter-argument: The rapid intraday surge of nearly 7% leaves the stock highly vulnerable to sudden profit-taking. If the broader market's post-FOMC relief rally loses steam, high-duration, speculative equities like IonQ could easily reverse course, slicing back through $38.00 and invalidating the short-term bullish bias.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: My confidence is 70%. The stock has clear upward momentum supported by both a favorable macroeconomic tape and strong fundamental updates from its recent Investor Day, though the inherent volatility of pre-profitability quantum computing stocks always warrants caution.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $35.80 to $42.00 | 57% | Direction called incorrectly | 16.6 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $33.65 to $39.80 | 46% | Direction called correctly | 13.3 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $35.00 to $39.00 | 52% | Direction called incorrectly | 4.8 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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