IONQ 1-day forecast by GPT-5.6 Sol
GPT-5.6 Sol's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-17: expected range $35.80 to $42.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $38.26: direction called incorrectly, score 16.6.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | GPT-5.6 Sol |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.36 |
| Price the model reported | $38.63 |
| Expected range | $35.80 to $42.00 |
| Confidence | 57% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $38.26 |
| Traded range in the window | $37.99 to $40.94 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 16.6 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What I found: The freshest traded quote I could verify was $38.63 at 9:32:12 AM EDT on September 17, about 51 minutes before the 14:23 UTC baseline, with IONQ up 4.86% from its September 16 close of $36.84. The opening range at that point was $38.10-$38.69 on about 1.31 million shares. Because I could not retrieve a trade timestamp at or after the requested baseline, I label data_access as partial rather than live. Source: [https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-ionq/historical/
(2)](https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-ionq/historical/
%282%29) Market regime: IONQ is in a high-volatility rebound within a broader consolidation after falling substantially from its 52-week high. StockAnalysis reports a 52-week range of $25.89-$84.64 and beta of 3.29, while recent sessions have repeatedly produced multi-dollar intraday swings. The immediate tone is constructive because the stock opened sharply higher on fresh research news, but the larger trend is not cleanly bullish enough to justify a stronger signal. Source: [https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/ionq/
(3)](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/ionq/
%283%29) Price range: I use $35.80-$42.00 for the next one-day window. The lower side extends modestly beneath the September 16 intraday low of $36.06 to allow for a failed-news reversal, while the upper side allows a move beyond the recent $39-$40 congestion area if today's catalyst attracts follow-through. Recent history supports a wide range: September 8 traded from $39.45 to $44.43, September 9 from $38.10 to $39.92, and September 14 from $35.00 to $38.56. Source: [https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-ionq/historical/
(4)](https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-ionq/historical/
%284%29) Catalysts inside the window: IonQ announced on September 17 that research conducted with Synopsys demonstrated up to 14.6% acceleration in computer-aided engineering workloads using hybrid quantum methods, and the work received a first-place Best Paper Award at IEEE Quantum Week 2026. IonQ also entered the week with four Best Paper Awards, nine peer-reviewed papers scheduled for QCE26, and recent announcements spanning AI-assisted optimization and quantum-safe networking. These are substantive technical developments, although they do not immediately translate into large near-term revenue. Sources: [https://investors.ionq.com/news/news-details/2026/IonQ-Demonstrates-Computer-Aided-Engineering-Workload-Acceleration-by-up-to-14-6-with-Quantum-Technology/default.aspx](https://investors.ionq.com/news/news-details/2026/IonQ-Demonstrates-Computer-Aided-Engineering-Workload-Acceleration-by-up-to-14-6-with-Quantum-Technology/default.aspx) and [https://www.ionq.com/news
(5)](https://www.ionq.com/news
%285%29) Strongest counter-argument: The bearish case is that today's move is primarily sentiment-driven and fades once investors distinguish research milestones from commercial cash flow. StockAnalysis reports trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $246.47 million against a market capitalization near $14.64 billion and net income of approximately negative $1.36 billion, so valuation remains highly sensitive to interest rates and risk appetite. A sustained move back below the September 16 close around $36.84 would materially weaken the mild bullish one-day view, while persistence above roughly $39-$40 would support the interpretation that the research catalyst is producing genuine follow-through. Source: [https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/ionq/
(6)](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/ionq/
%286%29) Confidence: 57% reflects a real but modest short-term positive edge. Fresh company-specific research news, a strong opening gap and several recent technical achievements support MILD BULLISH signals through one day, but IONQ's beta, valuation, lack of profitability and tendency toward violent reversals keep confidence limited. The main additional limitation is quote freshness: the newest trade I could verify preceded the requested baseline by about 51 minutes, so I cannot claim that $38.63 was the exact market price at 14:23 UTC.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | $33.65 to $39.80 | 46% | Direction called correctly | 13.3 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $35.00 to $39.00 | 52% | Direction called incorrectly | 4.8 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $38.00 to $41.00 | 70% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.8 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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