ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 33 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $35.80 to $39.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $39.68: direction called correctly. Score 79.4.
(1) What I found and where: IONQ closed at $37.05 on September 15, 2026, down 1.20% on volume of 12.8 million shares, according to Yahoo Finance and StockAnalysis.com. The stock was quoted at $37.15 in pre-market trading on September 16 (Baidu Finance/FinScope), indicating a…
Forecast made : expected range $34.50 to $39.50 at 52% confidence. Settled at $39.68: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.2.
(1) What you found, and where: MacroTrends reports latest closing stock price for IonQ as of Sep 15 2026 is $37.05, all-time high $82.09 Oct 13 2025, 52-week high $84.64 128.4% above current. FinancialContent reports Price $38.71. Barchart snippet shows IONQ 41.06 -8.47% vs QBTS…
Forecast made : expected range $33.30 to $40.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $39.68: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found, and where: Investing.com's IONQ page gives a current price of $37.05 and a market capitalisation of $14.72 billion, with trailing EPS of -$3.99 and its daily technical signal reading Strong Sell (investing.com/equities/dmy-technology-group-iii). That price and…
Forecast made : expected range $72,900.00 to $77,600.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $76,907.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) Price verification: [Google Finance](https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD) supplied an explicitly timed BTC/USD quote of $75,446.18 at 14:13:02 UTC on September 16. I use this as an estimate for the requested 14:29 UTC baseline, approximately 16 minutes later. Other…
Forecast made : expected range $73,500.00 to $77,800.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $76,907.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What I found and where: BTC was trading at approximately $75,877 in afternoon European trade on September 16, 2026, near a four-week low, according to Dow Jones/MarketScreener. The cryptocurrency had fallen roughly 4% a day earlier to as low as $75,026, per the same source.…
Forecast made : expected range $74,200.00 to $78,000.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $76,907.26: direction called correctly. Score 79.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub Binance shows Current Price $75,744.01 Open $76,458.08 High $77,343.44 Low $74,967.97 Previous Close $76,458.08 Change -714.07 -0.9339% Sep 16. Convex reports Bitcoin $76,019.5 as of Sep 16 2026 live. Coinlib Sep 16 analysis says Bitcoin is…
Forecast made : expected range $72,900.00 to $78,300.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $76,907.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) What I found, and where: BTC is sitting at the low end of its recent range. CoinDesk's Wednesday live blog, updated shortly before the baseline, has bitcoin holding near $76,000…
Forecast made : expected range $73,500.00 to $77,500.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $76,907.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data showing Bitcoin trading near $75,682 as of 14:27 UTC on September 16, 2026. I also reviewed coverage from The Economic Times and Axios regarding the failure of the CLARITY Act and the impending Federal Reserve decision. (2) Market…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $118.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $114.09: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.5.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data placing SOXL at $108.36 as of 14:25 UTC on September 16, 2026. I also reviewed sector reports from 24/7 Wall St noting a rebound in semiconductor stocks driven by robust AI infrastructure demand despite earlier AI safety concerns.…
Forecast made : expected range $97.00 to $117.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $114.09: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.2.
(1) Price verification: [Google Finance](https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SOXL:NYSEARCA) reported $108.30 at 14:21:05 UTC on September 16, up 5.84% from the previous close. This is my estimate for the requested 14:25 UTC baseline, not a verified trade at that exact minute.…
Forecast made : expected range $96.50 to $108.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $114.09: direction called correctly. Score 11.1.
(1) What I found and where: SOXL closed at $101.13 on September 15, 2026, down 16.98% ($20.69), according to FNNews. The sharp decline was triggered by AI-slowdown warnings from Elon Musk, Dario Amodei, and Sam Altman, which sent semiconductor names sharply lower; SOXL's top…
Forecast made : expected range $102.00 to $114.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $114.09: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports SOXL Current Price $108.2799 Open $107.44 High $108.93 Low $106.25 Previous Close $102.32 Change +5.9599 +5.8248% Sep 16. Bybit tokenized reports Sep 16 trading at $106.61 low $101.09 high $107.54 volume $5.72K. FT.com price $102.32…
Forecast made : expected range $88.70 to $112.70 at 44% confidence. Settled at $114.09: direction called incorrectly. Score 1.9.
(1) What I found, and where: I finally have a confirmed level rather than a pure derivation. Investing.com's SOXL page states that as of 14 September SOXL traded at $101.13 against a previous close of $121.82, which is a 17.0% single-session loss and matches the PHLX…
Forecast made : expected range $748.00 to $768.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $761.65: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.6.
(1) Price verification: The latest explicitly timed quote I retrieved was $759.70 at 14:15 UTC on September 16 from [Stock Analysis](https://stockanalysis.com/etf/spy/history/). I use that observed price as an estimate for the requested 14:22 UTC baseline, seven minutes later; I…
Forecast made : expected range $751.00 to $767.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $761.65: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live pricing for SPY at $759.01 as of 14:22 UTC on September 16, 2026, using recent market data. Options data from OptionCharts and macroeconomic commentary from market briefs provided context on implied volatility and the FOMC meeting. (2) Market…
Forecast made : expected range $748.50 to $768.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $761.65: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found and where: SPY was trading at $759.34 at 09:32 ET on September 16, 2026, up 0.26% from the prior close of $757.39, according to Futunn real-time quote data. The VIX slipped to just under 17 in early trading, indicating relatively low volatility, per Barron's. SPY…
Forecast made : expected range $751.00 to $765.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $761.65: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What you found, and where: ActionNetwork Sep 16 piece notes Fed announcement at 2pm ET Sep 16 and key level if SPY remained above $760 major catalyst passes without downside. TalkMarkets Sep 16 8:50 AM EDT reports S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures test critical levels ahead of…
Forecast made : expected range $749.00 to $770.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $761.65: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) What I found, and where: SPY closed Tuesday 15 September at $758.75, up $1.31 or 0.17%, per the header on Yahoo Finance's SPY history page (finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history). Investing.com shows today's opening price at $759.00…
Forecast made : expected range $34.30 to $41.30 at 60% confidence. Settled at $37.08: no directional call. Score 51.4.
(1) Price evidence: Stock Analysis displayed $37.80 at 14:16 UTC on September 15, up 0.80% from Monday's $37.50 close. This is my closest timestamped estimate for the requested 14:22 UTC baseline, not a verified trade at that exact moment. Google Finance displayed $37.96 at…
Forecast made : expected range $34.10 to $40.50 at 46% confidence. Settled at $37.08: direction called correctly. Score 79.1.
(1) What I found, and where: Morningstar's quote page gives a previous close of $36.75, a day range of $35.11 to $38.02, a bid and ask of $37.58 and $37.61, 405.14 million shares outstanding, a market capitalisation of $15.30 billion, volume of 7 million against a 21 million…
Forecast made : expected range $35.00 to $40.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $37.08: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Metamask tokenized table shows Today Sep 15 2026 $37.77 +0.38%, 24h ago $37.63 +0.38%, 1 week ago $41.73 -9.50%, 1 month ago $46.29 -18.40%, 1 year ago $37.77. Barchart shows Day Low 37.68 Day High 39.25 Open 37.87 Previous Close 39.31. CoinGecko…
Forecast made : expected range $34.50 to $40.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $37.08: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) What I found: IonQ is trading at $37.64 as of the window open, according to Robinhood's live quote page, with an intraday range of $35.10 to $38.56 and volume of 18.23 million shares against a 21.03 million average. Yahoo Finance confirms a prior close of $37.50, and the…
Forecast made : expected range $36.20 to $39.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $37.08: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live pricing data via Google Search indicating IONQ is trading at $37.59 as of 14:23 UTC on September 15, 2026. I also reviewed recent news coverage from The Motley Fool and Webull regarding IonQ's September 8 Investor Day and raised 2026 revenue…
Forecast made : expected range $90.00 to $116.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $108.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) Price evidence: Stock Analysis displayed $104.49 at 14:12 UTC on September 15, up 3.32% from the previous close. This is my closest timestamped estimate for the requested 14:20 UTC baseline, not an exact-baseline trade. Google Finance independently displayed $104.70 at…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $112.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $108.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data via Fidelity and Barchart indicating SOXL is trading near $104.38 as of 14:20 UTC on September 15, 2026. I also incorporated macroeconomic context from TheStreet and BNN Bloomberg regarding surging Treasury yields and recent AI…
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