IONQ 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-15: expected range $35.00 to $40.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $37.08: direction called correctly, score 80.2.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $37.68 |
| Price the model reported | $37.77 |
| Expected range | $35.00 to $40.00 |
| Confidence | 54% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $37.08 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.74 to $37.69 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 80.2 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Metamask tokenized table shows Today Sep 15 2026 $37.77 +0.38%, 24h ago $37.63 +0.38%, 1 week ago $41.73 -9.50%, 1 month ago $46.29 -18.40%, 1 year ago $37.77. Barchart shows Day Low 37.68 Day High 39.25 Open 37.87 Previous Close 39.31. CoinGecko CAD shows Sep 15 Tuesday CA$52.25 +CA$2.49 +5.0%, Sep 14 CA$52.06 +2.1%. Finnhub warrants IONQ.WS Current $26.03 Open $25.59 High $26.45 Low $25.59 Previous Close $26.11. Beta 3.359 per Finnhub, high sensitivity. INDmoney shows IONL $11.35-$11.95 range -11.98% downside.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Bearish for high-beta quantum. 1-week -9.5% and 1-month -18.4% per Metamask, 5-day -5.35% for warrants per Finnhub. Broad quantum basket down -8.47% IONQ per earlier Barchart Sep 12 screen. Macro regime Sep 15: Brent $106.9-107 WTI $102.8 up 1.2-1.4% and 88% Fed hike odds tomorrow per TalkMarkets, pressuring unprofitable tech. Consumer sentiment 47.8 vs 51.3 expected per Barchart. Risk-off rotation to energy.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to $37.77 tokenized live Sep 15. Using Barchart day range $37.68-$39.25 and previous close $39.31, and CAD range CA$50-52. High beta 3.35 suggests daily move 4-5%. Lower bound $35.00 near -7% below captures continuation of -9.5% weekly downtrend if FOMC hawkish, upper $40.00 near +6% captures bounce toward $39.25 high and $41.73 weekly level. Slight downside skew reflects -9.5% momentum and growth selloff.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Window Sep 15 14:22 UTC 24h includes FOMC decision Sep 16 2pm ET per multiple sources, biggest macro catalyst. No IONQ earnings inside window; Q2 earnings already reported with revenue outlook raised 60% to $450-460M per Motley Fool but still unprofitable. Sector sympathy with QBTS RGTI moves. Potential quantum-safe networking deals but no calendar event.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bull case: oversold bounce after -9.5% week and $37.77 flat YoY could trigger short covering if yields ease or Fed dovish. Tokenized +0.38% today and +5% CAD suggests intraday stabilization. Invalidation: close above $40.50 with volume and QTUM strength would negate bearish 1d; close below $35 would accelerate toward $32.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 54% reflects live price $37.77 dated Sep 15 after baseline from Metamask with corroborating Barchart $37.68-$39.25 range, but dispersion across tokenized vs primary listing and high beta add uncertainty. Direction over 24h noisy into FOMC. Labeling live because quote is same day after window start.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $36.20 to $39.00 | 70% | No directional call | 52.9 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $34.50 to $40.50 | 60% | Direction called correctly | 80.4 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $34.10 to $40.50 | 46% | Direction called correctly | 79.1 |
| GPT-6 | $34.30 to $41.30 | 60% | No directional call | 51.4 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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