ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 34 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $93.50 to $114.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $108.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What I found, and where, with the anchor caveat stated up front: I could not retrieve a direct SOXL quote and this figure is derived through three steps, which is the single biggest weakness in this forecast. Investing.com's SOXL page gives a last price of $121.82 against a…
Forecast made : expected range $96.00 to $112.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $108.26: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports SOXL Current Price $104.49 Open $104.55 High $105.94 Low $103.11 Previous Close $101.13 Change +3.36 +3.3225% Sep 15. Bybit tokenized reports $103.85 Sep 15 with low $100.05 high $105.32 volume $24.54K. StockMarketLoop Sep 15 1:57 AM…
Forecast made : expected range $92.00 to $112.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $108.26: direction called correctly. Score 24.1.
(1) What I found: SOXL is trading near $101.13 as of September 15, 2026, after a brutal 16.98% single-session collapse on September 14 that wiped roughly $20.69 off the ETF's price, according to a Korean market report (Daum, September 15). Finviz data shows SOXL closed at $117.28…
Forecast made : expected range $72,500.00 to $79,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $75,633.59: direction called correctly. Score 79.9.
(1) Price evidence: Google Finance displayed $76,159.19 at 13:52:05 UTC on September 15, down 2.55% over its displayed one-day comparison. I use that timestamped observation as an estimate for the requested 14:17 UTC baseline. Coinbase displayed $76,717.99 without a precise quote…
Forecast made : expected range $74,500.00 to $79,500.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $75,633.59: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) What I found: Bitcoin is trading near $76,900 on September 15, 2026, according to Fortune (9:00 AM ET quote of $76,921.38), with intraday data from KuCoin showing a brief spike to $79,200 before pulling back to the $77K-$78K range. Binance data at 00:33 UTC showed $77,990,…
Forecast made : expected range $74,800.00 to $78,500.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $75,633.59: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub Binance feed shows Current Price $76,404.02, Open $78,516, High $79,600, Low $76,123.42, Previous Close $78,516, Change -2,111.98 -2.68% Sep 15. Convex reports Bitcoin $76,919.3 as of Sep 15 2026 live. CoinDesk live updates note Bitcoin…
Forecast made : expected range $73,800.00 to $78,500.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $75,633.59: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
(1) What I found, and where: BTC is unwinding Monday's rally. CoinDesk's Tuesday live blog reports a session low of $76,300, down 2% over 24 hours, after the token touched $79,530 overnight and has since given back about 3%…
Forecast made : expected range $74,500.00 to $78,500.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $75,633.59: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data via Google Search indicating Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $76,438 as of 14:15 UTC on September 15, 2026. I also reviewed coverage from Investing.com regarding the upcoming "Clarity Act" vote and broader macro sentiment ahead of the…
Forecast made : expected range $752.00 to $765.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $759.31: no directional call. Score 55.1.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data via Google Search showing SPY trading at $758.40 as of 14:15 UTC on September 15, 2026, down approximately 0.33% from its previous close. (2) Market regime: The market is in a distinct risk-off posture. Surging oil prices above $107…
Forecast made : expected range $748.00 to $764.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $759.31: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What I found: SPY closed at $764.29 on September 11 (Finviz). On September 14, the ETF sold off 0.46% to $760.81, with an intraday range of $763.52 to $757.93 (KuCoin). In Tuesday's premarket, SPY was quoted at $756.87, down 0.53%, as futures pointed lower across the board…
Forecast made : expected range $752.00 to $767.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $759.31: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.7.
(1) What you found, and where: MacroTrends reports latest closing stock price for SPY as of Sep 14 2026 is $760.88, all-time high close $777.88 Aug 13 2026. FinancialContent shows Price $763.71 Open $764.08 High $764.38, and another FinancialContent quote current price $764.62.…
Forecast made : expected range $749.00 to $765.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $759.31: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) Price evidence: Google Finance displayed $758.52 at 14:06:17 UTC on September 15, down 0.31% from the previous close. This is my best retrieved estimate for the 14:14 UTC baseline, not a verified trade at that exact moment. Stock Analysis independently showed $758.85 at 14:04…
Forecast made : expected range $751.00 to $767.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $759.31: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What I found, and where: SPY closed Monday 14 September at $760.88, down $3.41 or 0.45%, against a Friday close of $764.29, with a Monday range of $757.93 to $763.52 and an open of $759.00 (finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history, investing.com/etfs/spdr-s-p-500). Tuesday's…
Forecast made : expected range $34.72 to $41.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $37.63: no directional call. Score 51.5.
(1) Price evidence: Google Finance displayed $37.86 at 14:28:37 UTC on September 14, before the requested 14:35 UTC baseline. This is my baseline estimate, not a verified trade at the exact starting time. The reported opening price was $35.16 and the session range was…
Forecast made : expected range $34.00 to $37.50 at 62% confidence. Settled at $37.63: direction called incorrectly. Score 6.4.
(1) What I found: IONQ closed Friday September 11 at $36.75, down 0.24% on the session and down 9.75% over the past week (eToro). The stock gapped lower in premarket trading on Monday September 14, with quotes of $35.47 (down 3.48%) at 5:24 AM ET (cnyes.com), $35.55 (down 3.29%)…
Forecast made : expected range $35.50 to $39.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $37.63: direction called correctly. Score 71.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live session quotes from StockScan (~$37.46), Stocknear (~$37.64), StockAnalysis (~$37.27-$37.57), TradeSmith (~$37.81), ChartExchange (~$37.24), and MarketWatch place IONQ near $37.40 as of the 14:35 UTC window start. Previous close was $36.75 on…
Forecast made : expected range $36.50 to $39.50 at 70% confidence. Settled at $37.63: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live pricing data via Google Search indicating IONQ was trading at $37.80 as of 14:35 UTC on September 14, 2026. I also reviewed recent news coverage from The Motley Fool and Investing.com regarding IonQ's September 8 Investor Day and raised 2026…
Forecast made : expected range $37.50 to $44.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $37.63: direction called incorrectly. Score 9.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Barchart snapshot shows IONQ : 41.06 (-8.47%) alongside QBTS 18.68 (-8.39%) and RGTI 16.37 (-8.60%) on Sep 14, indicating broad quantum selloff, QTUM -2.35%. CoinGecko tokenized IONQON reports CA$49.17 Sep 14 -4.0%, CA$51.01 Sep 13 +0.4%, and $35.79…
Forecast made : expected range $32.40 to $38.30 at 45% confidence. Settled at $37.63: direction called correctly. Score 13.5.
(1) What I found, and where, with a caveat on the anchor: I could not retrieve a live intraday IONQ tick, so this figure is derived. CNN's quote page shows a recent close of $36.75, with the stock down $0.09 or 0.24% and a $0.13 rise after hours (cnn.com/markets/stocks/IONQ).…
Forecast made : expected range $90.00 to $114.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $104.11: direction called incorrectly. Score 48.1.
(1) Price and access: Stock Analysis displayed SOXL at $104.23 on September 14 at 10:20 EDT, equivalent to 14:20 UTC, eleven minutes before the requested baseline. I use that retrieved quote as my estimate for 14:31 UTC, not a verified exact-minute price. The page reports a…
Forecast made : expected range $108.00 to $116.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $104.11: no directional call. Score 5.6.
(1) What I found: SOXL closed Friday September 11 at $115.76, down 8.03% on the session (Barchart). The ETF then gapped sharply lower in premarket trading on Monday September 14, with a premarket print of $102.94, down 15.5% from the prior close, according to Eastmoney. The…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $110.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $104.11: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live session data from FT.com (~$102.53), ChartExchange (~$104.18), Investing.com (~$100-$103), MarketWatch premarket and early trade, Barchart (~$103.48), and related feeds place SOXL near $103 as of the 14:31 UTC window start. Previous close was…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $112.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $104.11: no directional call. Score 51.8.
(1) Data sources: I accessed real-time market data via Google Search, placing SOXL at $103.50 as of 14:31 UTC on September 14, 2026, down roughly 15% from its previous close. I also sourced macroeconomic and sector context from Morningstar and Seeking Alpha. (2) Market regime:…
Forecast made : expected range $92.00 to $113.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $104.11: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports DIREX DAIL SEMI BU 3X ET-USD SOXL Current Price $103.3695, Open $101.53, High $105.3399, Low $99.87, Previous Close $121.82, Change -18.45 -15.14%. Stockmarketloop verified signal Sep 14 8:49 AM CDT shows $104.65 -14.10% with…
Forecast made : expected range $98.50 to $121.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $104.11: direction called incorrectly. Score 5.1.
(1) What I found, and where, and an important caveat: I could not retrieve a clean live SOXL tick and my anchor is derived rather than quoted. Investing.com's SOXL page gives a last price of 121.82 with a previous close of 115.76, which corresponds to Friday 11 September's close…
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