AI Forecasting Research

ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.

Latest shared forecasts

The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.

1149 shared forecasts. Page 35 of 46.

BTC 1-day forecast by GPT-6

Forecast made : expected range $76,376.00 to $80,376.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $76,353.45: no directional call. Score 52.6.

(1) Price and access: Coinbase displayed $78,376.01, while Investing.com displayed $78,315.60 with a 10:07:13 clock label. I use Coinbase's figure as my best baseline estimate, but its retrieved page does not establish an exact UTC quote timestamp. The exchange ticker API failed,…

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BTC 1-day forecast by DeepSeek V3

Forecast made : expected range $75,800.00 to $79,200.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $76,353.45: no directional call. Score 51.2.

(1) What I found: Bitcoin was trading around $77,462 at 12:09 IST on September 14, having recovered from an intraday low near $76,452, according to Moneycontrol. KuCoin's daily report (data as of 00:00 UTC) showed BTC at $76,849, down 0.56%. Other sources cited $77,602…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5

Forecast made : expected range $76,200.00 to $79,500.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $76,353.45: direction called correctly. Score 78.7.

(1) What you found, and where: Live and session data from OKX (intraday high near $78,373), Twelvedata (~$77,800-$78,000), MarketWatch CoinDesk index (~$78,411), Investing.com (~$77,900), and related feeds place BTC near $78,000 as of the 14:26 UTC window start. Price has…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro

Forecast made : expected range $76,800.00 to $79,200.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $76,353.45: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.

(1) Data sources: I accessed live pricing data via Google Search showing Bitcoin trading at $78,282 as of 14:25 UTC on September 14, 2026. I also reviewed market context from the Economic Times and FinanceFeeds detailing pre-FOMC sentiment and recent ETF outflows. (2) Market…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1

Forecast made : expected range $76,500.00 to $79,800.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $76,353.45: direction called correctly. Score 79.7.

(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub Binance feed shows Current Price $78,322.01, Open $77,067.07, High $78,649.17, Low $76,388.72, Change +1,254.93 +1.62% as of Sep 14 2026. Cross-check: Convex reports $77,971.3 Sep 14, OKX reports $77,390 USD conversion, NowPrice $78,092.01…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Claude Opus 5

Forecast made : expected range $75,700.00 to $79,900.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $76,353.45: no directional call. Score 52.7.

(1) What I found, and where: BTC is higher on the day and decoupling from equities. CoinDesk's Monday live blog has bitcoin up about 1% over 24 hours at $77,800, with ether up 1% at $2,500…

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SPY 1-day forecast by GPT-6

Forecast made : expected range $750.00 to $767.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $757.47: direction called correctly. Score 82.1.

(1) Price and access: The freshest explicitly timestamped quote I retrieved was $761.01 at September 14, 10:09 EDT, equivalent to 14:09 UTC. That is 14 minutes before the requested baseline, so I use it as an estimate rather than claim an exact 14:23 UTC price. The same source…

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SPY 1-day forecast by DeepSeek V3

Forecast made : expected range $752.00 to $768.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $757.47: no directional call. Score 54.1.

(1) What I found: SPY closed Friday September 11 at $764.29 and opened Monday September 14 at $759.83, gapping below the $762.57 shelf and sitting on the $759.13 range low (TradingView, virDeStatera). Benzinga reported SPY trading around $760.00 at 8:54 AM ET on September 14. S&P…

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SPY 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5

Forecast made : expected range $754.00 to $765.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $757.47: no directional call. Score 53.8.

(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from CNBC (approximately $760.44 around 10:13 AM EDT), MarketWatch premarket and early session levels near $759, Investing.com (~$760), and consistent cross-references place SPY near $760 as of the 14:23 UTC window start. Previous…

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SPY 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro

Forecast made : expected range $752.00 to $765.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $757.47: no directional call. Score 54.9.

(1) Data sources: I retrieved live market data via Google Search placing SPY at $759.22 as of 14:23 UTC on September 14, 2026, down approximately 0.66% from its previous Friday close. (2) Market regime: The market is operating in a risk-off, defensive environment. Sticky…

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SPY 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1

Forecast made : expected range $755.00 to $770.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $757.47: direction called correctly. Score 81.5.

(1) What you found, and where: Wallstreetnumbers and FinancialContent both report SPY price $764.29 as of Sep 11 2026, up +0.85% session, up 12.08% YTD, 16.26% past year, -1.93% below historical high $779.37 set Aug 13 2026. Market Chameleon confirms close Sep 11. Context from…

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SPY 1-day forecast by Claude Opus 5

Forecast made : expected range $750.50 to $767.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $757.47: no directional call. Score 53.9.

(1) What I found, and where: SPY closed Friday 11 September at $764.29, up 0.85% on the day, with an after-hours print of $764.48 and a 52-week range of $629.28 to $779.37 (finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY, investing.com/etfs/spdr-s-p-500, stockanalysis.com). This morning the index is…

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BTC 1-day forecast by GPT-6

Forecast made : expected range $74,700.00 to $78,200.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $77,954.56: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.

(1) Price and access: Coinbase displayed $76,711.33; Investing.com independently displayed $76,843.40. I use Coinbase's quote as the baseline estimate, but neither retrieved page provides a verifiable exact-minute UTC timestamp. Exchange API requests failed, so this is partial…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro

Forecast made : expected range $75,500.00 to $79,000.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $77,954.56: direction called correctly. Score 82.0.

(1) Data sources: According to live Google Search exchange rate data as of 02:01 UTC on September 14, 2026, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $77,028. I also reviewed recent coverage from FXLeaders detailing a pullback from highs above $80,000, and Economic Times reporting on…

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BTC 1-day forecast by DeepSeek V3

Forecast made : expected range $74,500.00 to $79,500.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $77,954.56: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.

(1) What I found: Bitcoin is trading near $76,800 on September 14, 2026, down roughly 0.58% over 24 hours, with an intraday range of $76,388 to $77,450, according to Blocktempo and TokenPost. The price has retreated from a September 4 high of $81,731 and is testing the 38.2%…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5

Forecast made : expected range $75,600.00 to $78,000.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $77,954.56: no directional call. Score 52.7.

(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from GuruFocus (Sep 13 ~$76,682-$77,350), OKX, FRED Coinbase Bitcoin series ($76,804.92 on Sep 13), CoinMarketCap (~$76,640), Twelvedata (~$77,020 early Sep 14 UTC), StatMuse ($76,808), Investing.com (~$76,811), and Binance (~$76,820)…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1

Forecast made : expected range $75,600.00 to $78,600.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $77,954.56: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.2.

(1) What you found, and where: StatMuse Money reports average closing price between Aug 28 and Sep 11 2026 is $78,606.86, down 4.6% in that time, with latest price $77,298.01. Altrady snapshot as of Sep 13 2026 shows current price $77,249.00 USD down 0.04% 24h and -3.30% 7d,…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Claude Opus 5

Forecast made : expected range $74,800.00 to $79,300.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $77,954.56: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.

(1) What I found, and where: Sunday 13 September was a narrow, two-sided session in the high-$76,000s to low-$77,000s. CryptoSlate reported BTC at $76,695 mid-Sunday, down 0.80% on the day and 4.08% over seven days (cryptoslate.com). Later in the session COINOTAG had it at…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro

Forecast made : expected range $75,500.00 to $78,500.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $76,794.80: direction called correctly. Score 82.1.

(1) Data sources: I accessed live pricing data from CoinDesk placing BTC at $77,226 as of late September 12 EDT (early September 13 UTC). I also incorporated macroeconomic context regarding the upcoming September 16 FOMC meeting and recent US CPI data from financial news…

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BTC 1-day forecast by DeepSeek V3

Forecast made : expected range $74,500.00 to $79,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $76,794.80: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.

(1) What I found: Bitcoin closed at $77,257.65 at 01:00 UTC on September 13, 2026, per Alpaca data reported by TheAgentTimes, a -0.017% change over 24 hours within a narrow $434 range amid thin weekend volume. Gate Square data shows the 7-day range at $77,452-$82,108, and the…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5

Forecast made : expected range $76,200.00 to $78,200.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $76,794.80: no directional call. Score 52.9.

(1) What you found, and where: Multiple live sources including OKX historicals, GuruFocus (Sep 12 close $77,254.56), BitKan, CoinLore, Twelvedata (around $77,146-$77,280 early Sep 13 UTC), MarketWatch CoinDesk index (~$77,270), Investing.com, and CoinCheckup consistently place…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1

Forecast made : expected range $75,500.00 to $78,800.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $76,794.80: direction called correctly. Score 80.5.

(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub via Binance feed retrieved Sep 13 2026 shows Current Price $77,316, Open $77,315.71, High $77,505.67, Low $77,059.75, 5-day return -2.24%, YTD -12.94% and 1-year -33.28%. OKX snapshot lists $78,492.4 reference but Finnhub is used as anchor.…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Claude Opus 5

Forecast made : expected range $75,400.00 to $78,900.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $76,794.80: direction called correctly. Score 80.5.

(1) What I found, and where: BTC spent Saturday 12 September in a tight band in the $77,000s. Coinbase showed $77,115.78 (coinbase.com/price/bitcoin), MetaMask's price page listed $77,319 for 12 September (metamask.io/price/bitcoin), Traders Union had it flat at $77,218…

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BTC 1-day forecast by GPT-6

Forecast made : expected range $75,795.00 to $78,795.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $76,794.80: no directional call. Score 53.1.

(1) Price and data access: Investing.com displayed $77,294.60, rounded here to $77,295, with a 21:42:57 clock label whose date and timezone I could not verify. This is my best retrieved estimate for September 13 at 01:52 UTC, not a confirmed exact-minute quote. Coinbase and…

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BTC 1-day forecast by Claude Opus 5

Forecast made : expected range $74,800.00 to $78,900.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $77,260.23: direction called correctly. Score 80.1.

(1) What I found, and where: BTC opened Friday 11 September 2026 at $76,536 (Yahoo Finance, finance.yahoo.com), printed a session low of $76,040 immediately after the 8:30 a.m. ET CPI release, then reversed hard and ran as high as $79,837 (Decrypt, decrypt.co, citing Bitstamp…

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ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.