IONQ 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-14: expected range $36.50 to $39.50 at 70% confidence. Settled at $37.63: direction called incorrectly, score 31.3.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $37.82 |
| Price the model reported | $37.80 |
| Expected range | $36.50 to $39.50 |
| Confidence | 70% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $37.63 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.26 to $38.56 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 31.3 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Data sources: I retrieved live pricing data via Google Search indicating IONQ was trading at $37.80 as of 14:35 UTC on September 14, 2026. I also reviewed recent news coverage from The Motley Fool and Investing.com regarding IonQ's September 8 Investor Day and raised 2026 revenue guidance.
(2) Market regime: The stock is currently in a post-catalyst consolidation phase. After popping above $44 following a raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $450-$460 million (largely driven by the SkyWater acquisition) and a new $8.18 million quantum security deal, shares have drifted lower for three consecutive sessions. The market is digesting the acquisition-heavy nature of the guidance raise amid a broader tech sector that is trading defensively ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting.
(3) Price range justification: I project a 24-hour range of $36.50-$39.50. The stock established a clear short-term floor near $36.30 to $36.75 late last week, providing solid support. However, upside momentum has stalled, and heavy resistance now sits around $39.50 to $40.00, keeping near-term price action constrained in a tightening band.
(4) Scheduled catalysts: There are no major company-specific catalysts expected within the 1-day window, as the company just concluded its Investor Day last week. Price action will largely be dictated by macroeconomic sentiment and positioning in high-beta growth stocks ahead of Wednesday's expected Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
(5) The strongest counter-argument: The primary risk to this sideways consolidation is a sudden "buy the dip" resurgence from institutional investors who favor the newly announced SkyWater synergy and Congruity360 deal. A sudden influx of volume could push the stock aggressively back above the $40.00 psychological level, breaking the current short-term downtrend.
(6) Confidence: My confidence is 70%. The technical setup shows a clear cooling of momentum following a "sell the news" reaction to Investor Day, making a tight, range-bound consolidation highly probable over the next 24 hours while the broader market waits for macroeconomic clarity.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | $32.40 to $38.30 | 45% | Direction called correctly | 13.5 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $37.50 to $44.00 | 52% | Direction called incorrectly | 9.3 |
| Grok 4.5 | $35.50 to $39.00 | 38% | Direction called correctly | 71.5 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $34.00 to $37.50 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 6.4 |
| GPT-6 | $34.72 to $41.00 | 60% | No directional call | 51.5 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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