IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-14: expected range $35.50 to $39.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $37.63: direction called correctly, score 71.5.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $37.82 |
| Price the model reported | $37.40 |
| Expected range | $35.50 to $39.00 |
| Confidence | 38% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $37.63 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.26 to $38.56 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 71.5 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Live session quotes from StockScan (~$37.46), Stocknear (~$37.64), StockAnalysis (~$37.27-$37.57), TradeSmith (~$37.81), ChartExchange (~$37.24), and MarketWatch place IONQ near $37.40 as of the 14:35 UTC window start. Previous close was $36.75 on September 11; the stock is modestly higher in early trade after opening near $35.16.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: IonQ is a high-beta quantum-computing name that has been consolidating after a multi-month drawdown. Broader risk assets face pressure from AI-sector concerns and elevated Fed-hike odds, yet IONQ is showing relative resilience today with a modest rebound. Speculative tech remains sensitive to rates and risk sentiment ahead of the September 16 FOMC decision.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored at $37.40, the $35.50-$39.00 band reflects recent daily ranges of roughly $1.50-$3.00 and typical volatility for this name. Downside allows a retest of the session low near $35; upside is limited near recent resistance without a clear catalyst, producing a balanced short-term range.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No company-specific earnings or major announcements fall inside the immediate 24-hour window. Near-term price action is likely driven by broader equity risk sentiment and positioning ahead of the FOMC meeting.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-on rebound in speculative tech or positive quantum-sector headlines could push IONQ above $39. Conversely, a decisive break below $35.50 on broader market weakness would confirm further downside pressure.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence is low-to-moderate at 38% because the 1-day window sits inside an already-active session with elevated macro uncertainty, the stock has been volatile, and directional edge is limited relative to normal noise in high-beta names.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | $32.40 to $38.30 | 45% | Direction called correctly | 13.5 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $37.50 to $44.00 | 52% | Direction called incorrectly | 9.3 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $36.50 to $39.50 | 70% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.3 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $34.00 to $37.50 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 6.4 |
| GPT-6 | $34.72 to $41.00 | 60% | No directional call | 51.5 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.