NVDA 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-17: expected range $212.00 to $226.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $219.32: direction called correctly, score 79.7.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $219.48 |
| Price the model reported | $219.39 |
| Expected range | $212.00 to $226.00 |
| Confidence | 53% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $219.32 |
| Traded range in the window | $218.04 to $220.89 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 79.7 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current Price $219.39 Open $218.375 High $219.65 Low $217.145 Previous Close $213.90 Change +5.49 +2.5666% Sep 17. Upstox reports NVDA $214.24 as of Sep 17 2026 1:57 am IST 52-week high $236.54 low $164.28. MacroTrends reports latest close Sep 15 $212.17 all-time high $235.20 May 14 2026 52-week high $236.54 11.5% above. 5-day -3.97% 1-month -2.56% 6-month +21.71% YTD +17.64% 1-year +23.43% per Finnhub.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Rebound post-Fed hike Sep 16 12-0 to 3.75-4.00% per Cambridge. SPY $754.20 close Sep 16. NVDA beta 2.22 high sensitivity. SOXL +9.94% Sep 17 to $114.31 per Finnhub shows semis bouncing. NVDA +2.56% intraday shows leadership returning after -3.97% 5-day. Regime favors tech relief if hike seen as one-and-done.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to $219.39 live Sep 17. Using day range $217.14-$219.65 and previous close $213.90. Beta 2.22 implies daily move ~2.5% ~$5.5. Lower $212 near $213.90 previous close and $212.17 Sep 15 close -3.4% if profit taking, upper $226 +3% toward $236.54 52-week high captures extension if semis rally continues. Slight upside skew due to +2.56% momentum and SOXL +9.9%.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Window Sep 17 14:31 UTC 24h covers post-FOMC digestion Sep 17-18. No NVDA earnings. NVDA WeeklyPay ETF high $34.65 low $34.84 per INDmoney Sep 17. Warsh comments after hike and yields key.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bear case: hawkish Warsh guiding more hikes and UMich sentiment plunge inflation soaring per CoinDesk Sep 17 could push NVDA back to $212 Sep 15 close if yields rise. Bull case: dovish hold narrative could squeeze toward $226. Invalidation: close below $210 or above $228 would negate mild bullish.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 53% reflects live price $219.39 dated Sep 17 after baseline with corroborating $214.24 Upstox same day, but NVDA high beta and Fed Day aftermath noisy. Labeling live because quote is same-day after window start.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $212.50 to $224.50 | 59% | Direction called incorrectly | 40.2 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $211.45 to $225.20 | 53% | Direction called incorrectly | 45.8 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $212.00 to $228.00 | 65% | Direction called incorrectly | 41.1 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $214.00 to $226.00 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 54.2 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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