NVDA 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-21: expected range $222.00 to $232.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $229.84: direction called incorrectly, score 30.8.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $227.26 |
| Price the model reported | $227.41 |
| Expected range | $222.00 to $232.00 |
| Confidence | 60% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $229.84 |
| Traded range in the window | $226.50 to $229.98 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.8 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current $227.405 Open $222.935 High $228.5 Low $221.56 Previous Close $222.27 Change +5.135 +2.3103% 5-day +4.18% 1M +5.91% 6M +31.68% YTD +21.93% 1Y +28.72% beta 2.22. Hexn reports Sep 21 18:00 current $227 forecast $227 Sep 22 +0.08% strong bullish 90% sentiment fear greed 65 neutral 23/7 green days 0.6% vol. Economies.com Sep 21 12:51 UTC reports Nvidia advanced intraday primary medium-term uptrend firmly in control following ascending trendline supporting bullish bias. Finimize closed Sep 21 16:30 ET. Financhill $211.14 score 54 above median 50 lower risk.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Continued AI momentum. From $224.39 Sep 19 to $227.405 Sep 21 +1.3% and high $228.5 new. SOXL $143.6 +16% Sep 19 high $144 low $129.62 prev $123.67 and $140.10 Sep 21 Kraken range $129.63-$140.42 shows semis bid. BTC $85,936 Sep 21 +5.55% $85k first since Jan 29 per Fana supports risk. NVDA primary uptrend above EMA per Economies bullish bias intact.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to $227.405 Finnhub current Sep 21. Using day $221.56-$228.5 Finnhub and $227 Hexn forecast $227 Sep 22 +0.08%. Daily vol ~2% ~$4.5 due beta 2.22. Lower $222 near $221.56 low and $222.935 open -2.3% if profit taking, upper $232 +2% toward extension above $228.5 high captures momentum along ascending trendline per Economies. Slight upside skew due to +2.31% and bullish 90% sentiment per Hexn.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Window Sep 21 19:53 UTC 24h covers Sep 21-22 Monday open. Polymarket What will NVDA hit week Sep 21 opened Sep 18 6pm ET. Fed speeches Sep 21-27 per HappyCoinNews, US-China negotiations, SOXL $140-143 momentum. No NVDA earnings in window.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bear case: +2.31% +4.18% 5-day overbought high $228.5 could retrace to $221.56 low $222 if semis fade, SOXL $139.19 FT 16:29 BST down from $143.6. Bull case: ascending trendline per Economies could squeeze to $232 above $228.5 high. Invalidation: close below $219 or above $234 would negate mild bullish.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 60% reflects live $227.405 open $222.935 high $228.5 low $221.56 prev $222.27 Sep 21 same day as window start 19:53 UTC, plus Hexn $227 Sep 21 18:00 and Economies bullish bias Sep 21 12:51 UTC same day. Multiple same-day live sources after baseline. Labeling live because quotes dated Sep 21 after window start.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $220.50 to $234.50 | 61% | Direction called correctly | 80.7 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $219.50 to $232.00 | 30% | Direction called correctly | 77.3 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $222.00 to $234.00 | 75% | Direction called correctly | 82.2 |
| Grok 4.5 | $222.00 to $232.00 | 45% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.0 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $218.50 to $229.50 | 58% | Direction called incorrectly | 37.2 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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