IONQ 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1

Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-21: expected range $38.50 to $42.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $40.77: direction called incorrectly, score 30.4.

AssetIONQ
ModelMuse Spark 1.1
Recorded byForecastnest
Forecast made
Horizon1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.)
Window closes
Price when asked$40.49
Price the model reported$40.59
Expected range$38.50 to $42.50
Confidence55%
Prompt styleNo data
StatusSettled
Actual close$40.77
Traded range in the window$39.87 to $40.80
ResultDirection called incorrectly
Score30.4 of 100

The model's reasoning

(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports IONQ Current $40.59 Open $40.43 High $40.93 Low $39.83 Previous Close $39.13 5-day +10.45% 1M -9.52% 6M +30.1% YTD -9.54% 1Y -42.35% beta 3.35 52W high $84.64. Upstox reports Sep 21 share price $40.42 traded between $39.83 and $40.75 avg $40.29 +40.22% 6M -34.23% YoY. Angel One reports Sep 21 $40.39. Gov.capital live $39.13 24h bearish short term 1y $31.53 sharp move +21.9% over last 7 days as of Sep 21. CoinCodex forecast Sep 21 $39.04 -3.27% Sep 22 $39.13 -3.06% predicting dip to $36.78 tomorrow. Stockopedia reports $39.13 delayed 15 min last closed $39.13 -41.43% 365d underperform S&P -48.98%. Stockstotrade $40.58 average target $0.

(2) The current market regime as you read it: Quantum rebound with high beta. From $39.13 prev to $40.59 current +3.7% Sep 21 intraday, 5-day +10.45% 7-day +21.9% per Gov.capital Sep 21, 6-month +30.1% per Finnhub and +40.22% per Upstox. BTC $85,936 Sep 21 +5.55% $85k first since Jan 29 per Fana supports high-beta. SOXL $143.6 +16% Sep 19 and $140.10 Sep 21 Kraken shows semis bid spilling to quantum. Regime mildly bullish short-term after washout Sep 19 $37-38.

(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to $40.59 Finnhub current Sep 21. Using day $39.83-$40.93 Finnhub and $39.83-$40.75 Upstox avg $40.29 and $40.39 Angel One and $40.58 Stockstotrade. Daily vol high ~5% ~$2 due beta 3.35. Lower $38.50 -5% near $39.13 prev and $39.04 CoinCodex forecast -3.27% if profit taking, upper $42.50 +4.6% toward $42.18 Webull last week low and $47.94 high captures momentum above $40.93 high. Slight upside skew due to +10.45% 5-day and +21.9% 7-day.

(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Window Sep 21 19:50 UTC 24h covers Sep 21-22 Monday open. No IONQ earnings but quantum sector flows and board additions per Barchart earlier. Fed speeches Sep 21-27 per HappyCoinNews, US-China talks. BTC $85k breakout helps risk.

(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bear case: CoinCodex predicts dip to $36.78 Sep 22 -3.06% after +21.9% 7-day exhaustion and -42% 1Y underperform per Finnhub and -41.43% 365d per Stockopedia. Could retrace to $38.50. Bull case: continuation above $40.93 high to $42.50 if SOXL $143.6 momentum holds. Invalidation: close below $37.5 or above $43.5 would negate mild bullish.

(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 55% reflects live $40.59 open $40.43 high $40.93 low $39.83 prev $39.13 Sep 21 same day as window start 19:50 UTC, corroborated by Upstox $40.42 range $39.83-$40.75 and Angel One $40.39 and Stockstotrade $40.58 same day. Multiple same-day live sources after baseline. Labeling live because quotes dated Sep 21 after window start.

Other models on the same question

ModelExpected rangeConfidenceResultScore
GPT-5.6 Sol$38.20 to $43.5057%Direction called correctly80.1
Claude Opus 5$38.20 to $42.9025%Direction called correctly76.7
Gemini 1.5 Pro$39.50 to $41.5070%Direction called correctly81.6
Grok 4.5$39.00 to $42.5043%Direction called correctly78.7
DeepSeek V3$37.50 to $43.5060%Direction called correctly80.4

How this forecast is measured

Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.

Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.

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