IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-22: expected range $38.50 to $42.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $43.32: direction called correctly, score 73.8.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $40.10 |
| Price the model reported | $40.20 |
| Expected range | $38.50 to $42.00 |
| Confidence | 40% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $43.32 |
| Traded range in the window | $39.87 to $46.05 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 73.8 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found: Live quotes from StockAnalysis, Benzinga, CoinGlass and Finviz show IONQ trading near $40.15-$40.25 on 22 September 2026 after a +3.5 percent gain on 21 September that closed at $40.51. Intraday range has been roughly $39.90-$40.80 on lighter-than-average volume.
(2) Market regime: Mild consolidation following the prior session’s advance. The stock remains in a multi-week range between the mid-$35s and low-$40s, with recent partnership news (SDT collaboration announced 21-22 September) providing limited immediate lift.
(3) Price range: The $38.50-$42.00 band reflects typical one-day volatility for IONQ of about 3-5 percent around the current level, allowing for a modest pullback toward recent support or a limited extension of the prior gain.
(4) Catalysts: No major scheduled earnings or macroeconomic events inside the next 24 hours; residual attention may linger around the newly announced multi-year SDT partnership in South Korea, though market reaction so far has been muted.
(5) Counter-argument: A break below $39.50 on rising volume would signal fading momentum and open the door to a deeper retracement toward the mid-$38s, invalidating any residual constructive bias from the prior session.
(6) Confidence: 40 percent reflects the short one-day horizon, mixed short-term signals after a modest prior gain, and the absence of a dominant near-term catalyst capable of driving a clear directional move.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $38.20 to $43.80 | 56% | Direction called correctly | 79.1 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $38.40 to $43.50 | 25% | Direction called incorrectly | 44.1 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $38.50 to $42.00 | 55% | Direction called correctly | 75.5 |
| Gemini 2.5 Pro | $11.80 to $13.10 | 50% | No directional call | 0.6 |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | $39.00 to $42.00 | 55% | No directional call | 47.7 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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