ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 25 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $486.00 to $502.00 at 20% confidence. Settled at $497.37: no directional call. Score 40.1.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a same-session MSFT quote for September 23, 2026; the pages I reached returned older snapshots (Rankia showing $491.65 on September 9, Bloomberg Linea $493.95 on September 8, StockAnalysis an August close). The most recent reliable reference…
Forecast made : expected range $488.00 to $508.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $497.37: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.5.
(1) What I found: Benzinga showed Microsoft at $497.50 at 10:35 AM EDT on September 23, with an intraday range of $495.88-$509.44 after opening at $500.76. Because that precisely timestamped quote was several hours before the requested 19:13 UTC baseline, I classify data_access…
Forecast made : expected range $332.00 to $348.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $337.46: direction called correctly. Score 74.4.
(1) What I found, and where: GOOG was trading at $339.25 intraday on September 23, down about 2.35% from the prior close of $347.41, with an intraday low of $336.64 (LongPort, September 23). The stock had opened at $346.30 and hit a high of $346.28 before selling off (10jqka.com,…
Forecast made : expected range $330.00 to $342.00 at 43% confidence. Settled at $337.46: direction called correctly. Score 78.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockAnalysis ($335.57 as of 3:05 p.m. EDT), TradeSmith ($336.04 around 2:49 p.m.), MarketWatch and others show GOOG trading near $334.70-$336.00 in the afternoon of September 23, 2026. Previous close was $347.41. Day range has been…
Forecast made : expected range $330.00 to $342.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $337.46: direction called correctly. Score 81.6.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data indicating that Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) was trading at $335.56 as of 3:05 PM EDT on September 23, 2026, based on Google Finance and Robinhood intraday feeds. I also noted that the stock has pulled back over 3.4% on the day…
Forecast made : expected range $330.00 to $342.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $337.46: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports GOOG Current $335.55 Open $346.3 High $346.33 Low $334.2 Previous Close $347.41 Change -11.86 -3.4138% 5D -1.72% 1M -2.62% 6M +16.03% YTD +6.93% 1Y +35.4% beta 1.21. FXLeaders reports Sep 23 11:10 GMT current $348.62 -0.07% support…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $353.00 at 22% confidence. Settled at $337.46: direction called incorrectly. Score 3.7.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a clean same-session GOOG quote for September 23, 2026: the pages I reached returned stale snapshots (eToro and Google Finance figures from earlier months, InvestSmart's GOOGL page last showing August data). My anchor is therefore built from…
Forecast made : expected range $326.00 to $346.50 at 63% confidence. Settled at $337.46: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What I found: Charles Schwab showed GOOG at $336.15 at 2:20 PM EDT on September 23, down 3.24% from the prior close of $347.41, after trading between $334.20 and $346.33. StockAnalysis independently showed $334.64 at 1:37 PM EDT, down 3.68%. Because the freshest precisely…
Forecast made : expected range $218.00 to $235.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $224.00: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) What I found, and where: NVDA was trading at $226.13 at 10:59 AM ET (14:59 UTC), down 1.20% on the day, per moomoo's real-time quote. The stock opened at $228.00 and had an intraday range of $225.02-$228.95. The prior session (September 22) closed at $228.87, up 0.66%, per…
Forecast made : expected range $222.00 to $230.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $224.00: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from TECHi ($225.37 as of 2:57 p.m. EDT), MarketWatch ($225.32 around 1:58 p.m.), TradeSmith, Stocknear and others show NVDA trading near $224.50-$225.60 in the afternoon of September 23, 2026. Previous close was $228.87. Day range has…
Forecast made : expected range $221.00 to $229.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $224.00: direction called correctly. Score 81.5.
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Forecast made : expected range $221.00 to $230.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $224.00: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current $225.335 Open $228.03 High $228.95 Low $224.02 Previous Close $228.87 Change -3.535 -1.5445% 5D +6.2% 1M +8.08% 6M +28.62% YTD +20.82% 1Y +27.33% beta 2.22. Finimize reports Closed Sep 23 14:00 US/Eastern. Hexn reports…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $227.00 at 28% confidence. Settled at $224.00: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.0.
(1) What I found: InvestSmart shows NVDA at $219.74, down $5.27 (-2.34%) from today's open and about 1.01% above the $217.55 level of seven days ago, with a 2026 range of $164.28-$236.54. That is consistent with the broad chip weakness TheStreet and Bloomberg describe today, and…
Forecast made : expected range $218.50 to $232.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $224.00: no directional call. Score 52.7.
(1) What I found: Benzinga showed NVIDIA at $225.544 at 2:22 PM EDT on September 23, down roughly 1.5% from the prior close. ChartExchange independently showed NVDA near $226.05-$226.20 earlier in the session, also down more than 1%, confirming a weaker intraday tape. Because the…
Forecast made : expected range $41.00 to $49.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $45.02: direction called incorrectly. Score 5.3.
(1) What I found, and where: IONQ is trading at $45.13 as of midday September 23, up 10.78% on the day, with an intraday range of $39.87-$45.96 (eToro, Robinhood quotes). The move follows two catalysts announced in the last 24 hours: (a) IonQ demonstrated the industry's first…
Forecast made : expected range $40.50 to $46.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $45.02: direction called correctly. Score 79.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockAnalysis, WSJ, TradeSmith, Stockmonitor and others show IONQ trading near $42.70-$42.96 as of approximately 2:30-2:45 p.m. EDT on September 23, 2026 (examples include $42.70 at 2:45 p.m. and $42.96 at 2:48 p.m.). Previous close…
Forecast made : expected range $41.00 to $44.50 at 65% confidence. Settled at $45.02: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.3.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data showing IonQ Inc. (IONQ) trading near $42.81 as of 2:58 PM EDT on September 23, 2026, based on real-time financial search results. (2) The current market regime as you read it: The equity is experiencing significant…
Forecast made : expected range $40.50 to $45.50 at 59% confidence. Settled at $45.02: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports IONQ Current $43.11 Open $45.84 High $46.05 Low $41.63 Previous Close $40.74 5D +16.36% 1M +4.99% 6M +31.83% YTD -3.92% 1Y -41.63% beta 3.34. ChartExchange reports Market Open Sep 23 12:14 PM EDT $42.71 +4.836% +1.97 vol 52,382,352…
Forecast made : expected range $39.50 to $46.50 at 22% confidence. Settled at $45.02: no directional call. Score 49.8.
(1) What I found: TheStreet's September 23, 2026 live blog lists IonQ (+5.89%) among the top midday winners, behind Securitize (+13.03%) and ahead of AAON (+5.49%). Morningstar showed IONQ closing Monday, September 21 at $40.51, and a GuruFocus piece on Yahoo Finance had it up…
Forecast made : expected range $39.50 to $46.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $45.02: direction called correctly. Score 79.8.
(1) What I found: StockAnalysis showed IONQ at $42.85 at 1:37 PM EDT on September 23, up 5.17% from the September 22 close of $40.74, after opening at $45.84 and trading between $41.63 and $46.05. Because that timestamp is about 81 minutes before the requested 18:58 UTC baseline,…
Forecast made : expected range $133.00 to $155.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $145.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 47.4.
(1) What I found, and where: SOXL was trading at $145.17 at 14:52 ET (18:52 UTC) on September 23, down 4.46% intraday, per moomoo's real-time quote. The ETF had surged 7.14% to $151.96 on September 22 and was up over 50% across the prior six trading sessions (fnnews.com). The…
Forecast made : expected range $135.00 to $155.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $145.70: direction called correctly. Score 78.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch, TradeSmith, ChartExchange, FT.com and others show SOXL trading near $144-$145 as of mid-to-late afternoon EDT on September 23, 2026 (examples: ~$144.54-$145.21 around 2:15-2:34 p.m. EDT). Previous close was $151.95…
Forecast made : expected range $136.00 to $153.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $145.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 40.0.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data indicating that the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) was trading near $145.26 as of 2:55 PM EDT on September 23, 2026, utilizing NYSE Arca intraday pricing data. (2) The current market regime as you…
Forecast made : expected range $137.00 to $151.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $145.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 47.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports SOXL Current $145.2 Open $149.89 High $151 Low $139.58 Previous Close $151.95 Change -6.75 -4.44% 6M +173.81% YTD +245.47% 1Y +323.32% beta 5.94. Stocktwits reports Current $145.25 Prev $151.95. StockInvest reports trading…
Forecast made : expected range $118.00 to $147.00 at 18% confidence. Settled at $145.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 4.5.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a usable SOXL quote for September 23, 2026 (Benzinga's page returned a stale December snapshot and Yahoo's SOXL trailing data stops at 9/18). I therefore built the anchor from the underlying: Yahoo Finance shows SOXX closed Tuesday at…
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