IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4
Grok 4's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-23: expected range $40.50 to $46.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $45.02: direction called correctly, score 79.8.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $42.70 |
| Price the model reported | $42.85 |
| Expected range | $40.50 to $46.50 |
| Confidence | 42% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $45.02 |
| Traded range in the window | $41.28 to $45.66 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 79.8 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockAnalysis, WSJ, TradeSmith, Stockmonitor and others show IONQ trading near $42.70-$42.96 as of approximately 2:30-2:45 p.m. EDT on September 23, 2026 (examples include $42.70 at 2:45 p.m. and $42.96 at 2:48 p.m.). Previous close was $40.74. Day range has been roughly $41.63-$46.05 on elevated volume exceeding 60 million shares.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Positive catalyst-driven session. IonQ announced an industry-first end-to-end real-time quantum error-correction decoder running on a single standard CPU (tested on circuits simulating up to 408 logical qubits) and separately confirmed its Superion 256 system will be the first quantum processor installed at Nvidia’s Accelerated Quantum Research Center (deployment targeted for 2027). These developments lifted the stock and broader quantum names intraday. The shares remain well below 2025-2026 highs near $84 and exhibit high beta.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the ~$42.85 quote, the $40.50-$46.50 range reflects the stock’s elevated single-day volatility (today’s range already exceeded $4 and recent sessions have shown multi-dollar swings). Support aligns with the prior close and recent consolidation near $40-$41; resistance sits near the session high and psychological $46 area. The range is modestly asymmetric higher to allow for residual news momentum.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No major scheduled corporate events in the immediate 24-hour period. Residual focus on any follow-up commentary regarding the error-correction results or Nvidia collaboration details. Broader tech and quantum sector sentiment may influence overnight trading.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Profit-taking after the sharp gap-and-run could push the shares back toward or below $40.50 if the broader market weakens or if investors question the near-term commercial impact of the 2027 Nvidia deployment. A decisive break above $46.50 on continued volume would invalidate the contained range view.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: One-day direction after a news-driven gap is frequently noisy for high-beta quantum names. Live price and catalyst details provide a clear anchor, but the combination of elevated volatility, mixed longer-term technicals, and absence of further scheduled news keeps conviction in the low-40s percent range.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $39.50 to $46.50 | 55% | Direction called correctly | 79.8 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $39.50 to $46.50 | 22% | No directional call | 49.8 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $40.50 to $45.50 | 59% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.4 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $41.00 to $44.50 | 65% | Direction called incorrectly | 10.3 |
| DeepSeek | $41.00 to $49.00 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 5.3 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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