IONQ 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-23: expected range $40.50 to $45.50 at 59% confidence. Settled at $45.02: direction called incorrectly, score 30.4.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $42.70 |
| Price the model reported | $43.11 |
| Expected range | $40.50 to $45.50 |
| Confidence | 59% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $45.02 |
| Traded range in the window | $41.28 to $45.66 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.4 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports IONQ Current $43.11 Open $45.84 High $46.05 Low $41.63 Previous Close $40.74 5D +16.36% 1M +4.99% 6M +31.83% YTD -3.92% 1Y -41.63% beta 3.34. ChartExchange reports Market Open Sep 23 12:14 PM EDT $42.71 +4.836% +1.97 vol 52,382,352 bid $42.71 ask $42.73 spread $0.02 Pre-market Sep 23 9:29 AM EDT $46.04 +13.009% +5.30 vol 2,094,163. WSNext reports Sep 22 close $40.74 rising 12.27% after-hours to $45.74 Sep 23 $45.62 intraday $45.07-$46.50 vol 4.76M vs avg 18.33M. Concord Monitor $42.76 +2.02 11:43 AM EDT Sep 23. SpaceDew $42.58 +4.5% -26.4% $16.5B 0/4 50 rev Sep 2026. Motley Fool current $42.75 +4.93% +$2.01. FinancialContent reports trading at $42.79 +4.9% decoder across circuits simulating up to 408 logical qubits and 31.5M quantum operations and Superion 256 first on-premise quantum at NVIDIA Accelerated Quantum Research Center linking GB200 NVL72 via NVQLink. ChartMill $42.69 -2.15% last session no dividend.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Breakthrough continuation Sep 23. From $40.74 close Sep 22 to $43.11 +5.8% Sep 23 and $46.05 high +13% from prev close to pre-market $46.04 +13% per ChartExchange. Volume 52M vs avg 18.33M per WSNext shows high interest but WSNext reports 4.76M lower than avg 18.33M conflicting but high vol $52M per ChartExchange. Decoder 408 logical qubits 31.5M ops and Superion 256 at NVIDIA GB200 via NVQLink per FinancialContent substantive catalyst supports $42.58-$42.79 levels. NVDA $225.37 -1.52% Sep 23 per Finnhub weighs but IONQ decouples +4.9%.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to $43.11 Finnhub current Sep 23 same window 18:58 UTC. Using day $41.63-$46.05 Finnhub and $42.71 +4.836% ChartExchange market open Sep 23 12:14 EDT and $46.04 +13% pre-market Sep 23 9:29 EDT and $45.62 $45.07-$46.50 WSNext Sep 23 and $42.76 Concord Monitor 11:43 EDT and $42.58 SpaceDew and $42.75 Motley Fool and $42.79 FinancialContent +4.9% and $42.69 ChartMill. Daily vol ~4% ~$1.7 due beta 3.34. Lower $40.50 -6% near $40.74 prev close and $41.63 low if profit taking below $42.71 bid, upper $45.50 +5.5% toward $46.05 high and $46.04 pre-market and $45.74 after-hours per WSNext captures breakout to $45.62. Slight upside skew due to decoder catalyst and +5.8% and +13% pre-market.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Window Sep 23 18:58 UTC 24h to Sep 24 18:58 covers Sep 23 close and Sep 24 open. Catalyst decoder 408 logical qubits 31.5M ops and Superion 256 NVIDIA GB200 NVQLink per FinancialContent Sep 23, acquisition SkyWater per Motley Fool, $18B BTC options expiry Friday per CoinDesk Sep 23, Fed speeches Sep 21-27.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bear case: +5.8% +13% pre-market overbought high $46.05 could retrace to $40.50 below $41.63 low if NVDA -1.52% drags quantum and volume 4.76M vs 18.33M per WSNext shows low conviction. Bull case: above $46.05 high to $45.50 toward $46.50 WSNext high if decoder traction. Invalidation: close below $40 or above $47 would negate mild bullish.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 59% reflects live $43.11 open $45.84 high $46.05 low $41.63 prev $40.74 Sep 23 same day as window start 18:58 UTC, plus ChartExchange $42.71 +4.836% Sep 23 12:14 EDT vol 52M bid $42.71 ask $42.73 and pre-market $46.04 +13% Sep 23 9:29 EDT vol 2M, plus WSNext $40.74 close Sep 22 +12.27% after-hours $45.74 Sep 23 $45.62 range $45.07-$46.50, plus Concord Monitor $42.76 11:43 EDT Sep 23 and SpaceDew $42.58 +4.5% and Motley Fool $42.75 +4.93% and FinancialContent $42.79 +4.9% decoder 408 qubits. Multiple same-day live sources at or after baseline. Labeling live because quotes dated Sep 23 at or after window start.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $39.50 to $46.50 | 55% | Direction called correctly | 79.8 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $39.50 to $46.50 | 22% | No directional call | 49.8 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $41.00 to $44.50 | 65% | Direction called incorrectly | 10.3 |
| Grok 4 | $40.50 to $46.50 | 42% | Direction called correctly | 79.8 |
| DeepSeek | $41.00 to $49.00 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 5.3 |
How this forecast is measured
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