ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 24 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $81,000.00 to $86,000.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $83,962.54: no directional call. Score 46.4.
(1) What I found: CoinDesk's live Bitcoin market table showed Coinbase BTC-USD at $83,548.92 around the answer time, so I use $83,549 as the baseline. CoinDesk also reported BTC near $83,344 earlier today, down 1.23% since midnight UTC, after the market gave back an early…
Forecast made : expected range $41.50 to $46.80 at 62% confidence. Settled at $46.18: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
(1) What I found, and where: Current price is $43.95 as of 1:10 PM EDT on Sep 24, 2026, from stockanalysis.com real-time data. Key recent catalysts: (a) Sept 22 announcement of the industry's first end-to-end real-time quantum error correction decoder running on a single standard…
Forecast made : expected range $41.50 to $46.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $46.18: no directional call. Score 51.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance as of ~1:09 PM EDT on 2026-09-24 show IONQ at $43.96 (up ~3.3% on the day from prior close $42.54), with day’s range $41.28-$44.60 and volume elevated near average. Stockanalysis, Motley Fool and other feeds confirm…
Forecast made : expected range $42.50 to $46.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $46.18: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) Sourced from live Google Finance data and company press releases as of September 24, 2026. IONQ is trading at $43.91, up over 3% intraday. News includes a breakthrough real-time quantum error correction decoder (Quartz, Sept 23), deployments at Florida International…
Forecast made : expected range $41.00 to $46.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $46.18: direction called incorrectly. Score 47.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote for Sep 24 2026 showing IONQ trading $43.28, open $41.55, intraday range $41.30 to $43.32 and prior close $42.55 from upstox.com; Finnhub data shows current price $44.10, high $44.60, low $41.28, open $41.57, prev close $42.54.…
Forecast made : expected range $40.80 to $46.60 at 35% confidence. Settled at $46.18: direction called correctly. Score 67.3.
(1) What I found: IONQ closed Sep 23 up about 4.4% at $42.54 on roughly 70M shares, around 3x normal volume. It traded above $46 intraday before fading, after announcing a real-time quantum error correction decoder and an Nvidia partnership (FX Leaders,…
Forecast made : expected range $40.50 to $46.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $46.18: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found: The latest timestamped IONQ quote I could verify before the 2026-09-24 17:09 UTC baseline was $42.86 at 12:00:16 PM EDT, with a $42.77 bid, $42.79 ask, 16.45M shares traded and an intraday range of roughly $41.28-$43.43; source:…
Forecast made : expected range $128.00 to $148.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $152.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 13.3.
(1) What I found: SOXL closed at $151.95 on Sept. 22 after a 7.13% surge, capping a roughly 50% run over six sessions since Sept. 15 (fnnews.com, weex.fit). The ETF then pulled back on Sept. 23 and continued lower on Sept. 24, trading at $138.87 at 11:32 a.m. ET, down 5.05% from…
Forecast made : expected range $133.00 to $160.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $152.20: direction called correctly. Score 79.4.
(1) What I found, and where: Live quotes and hourly bars from Yahoo Finance (via its API) show SOXL last at $146.11 at the 2026-09-24 16:30 UTC bar, with the regular session day range $136.90-$146.50 and the fund's quote page showing $146.18, down about 4.8% from the previous…
Forecast made : expected range $128.00 to $148.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $152.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 2.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch, FT, Investing.com, ChartExchange and Bloomberg Linea on 2026-09-24 show SOXL trading near $138.5-$140.6 after opening at $138.47, with intraday range $136.90-$143.48 and prior close $146.25. SOX index is down roughly…
Forecast made : expected range $140.50 to $151.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $152.20: no directional call. Score 51.4.
(1) According to live market data sourced from Fidelity and financial data aggregators as of 13:00 EDT on September 24, 2026, SOXL is trading at $145.92. The broader semiconductor sector experienced early weakness before a strong intraday reversal, supported by headlines such as…
Forecast made : expected range $131.00 to $152.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $152.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 15.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub quote shows Current Price $145.165 to $146 with Open $138.47 High $146.5 Low $136.9 Previous Close $146.25【245983213073979049†L9-L14】. StockScan reports latest closing price as of September 24, 2026 is $143.09【245983213073979049†L19-L22】.…
Forecast made : expected range $129.50 to $146.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $152.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 2.3.
(1) What I found, and where: StockAnalysis.com (https://stockanalysis.com/etf/soxl/) showed SOXL at $138.78, down $7.47 (-5.11%), at 12:10 PM EDT on Sep 24, 2026 (16:10 UTC, about 50 minutes before the window start). The same page gave an open of $138.47, a day's range of…
Forecast made : expected range $124.00 to $145.50 at 56% confidence. Settled at $152.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 1.8.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance showed SOXL's September 23 close at $146.25 after a -3.75% session and a September 24 pre-market quote near $138.09. I could not retrieve a clean 17:00 UTC SOXL tick, so $136.60 is my best contemporaneous estimate rather than a claimed live quote.…
Forecast made : expected range $757.00 to $771.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $769.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.7.
(1) What I found and where: SPY closed Wednesday at $767.81, down 0.72%, per TheStreet Pro's most-active ETF table and futunn's session data. The futunn quote page shows SPY at $765.30 as of Sep 24 10:51 ET (14:51 UTC), down 0.33% intraday, with an open of $763.96 against a prior…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $772.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $769.70: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) What I found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance show SPY at $764.12 as of the window start, down 0.48% on the session (regularMarketPrice 764.12, previousClose 767.81). Intraday data show the ETF opened at $764.07, traded as low as $763.62 and as high as $766.43.…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $770.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $769.70: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance as of approximately 11:00 AM EDT on 2026-09-24 show SPY at $764.37, down 0.45% from the prior close of $767.81, with a day's range of $763.62-$766.43. Supporting prints from Marketscreener, Barchart, and TradeSmith…
Forecast made : expected range $754.50 to $767.50 at 75% confidence. Settled at $769.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 14.2.
(1) Found SPY trading around $764.42 as of 11:05 AM EDT on September 24, 2026, dropping 0.44% on the day, with data sourced from live quotes. The broader S&P 500 index closed 0.8% lower yesterday, and pressure continues today amid climbing Treasury yields and surging energy…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $778.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $769.70: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) What you found, and where: SPY quoted at $769.96 with intraday high $770.18 and low $766.03, previous close $761.69, +1.09% on the session from FinancialContent data【1370110231419297189†L4-L6】. Other aggregators show $763.99-$766.09 same day, confirming high-760s context.…
Forecast made : expected range $757.00 to $775.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $769.70: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found, and where: I could not get a tick-level SPY quote stamped 15:07 UTC, so current_price is derived. Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/etfs/spdr-s-p-500) shows SPY at about 770.71 on Sep 23, with a 52-week range of 629.28-779.37. StreetStats…
Forecast made : expected range $755.00 to $770.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $769.70: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a verified SPY trade exactly at 2026-09-24T15:07:00Z, so $763.20 is my best contemporaneous estimate rather than a claimed tick-level quote. SPY closed September 23 at $767.81 according to Yahoo Finance and Investing.com, while Benzinga…
Forecast made : expected range $490.00 to $508.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $497.37: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
(1) What I found, and where: MSFT was trading at $500.59 at 14:55 ET (18:55 UTC) on September 23, up 0.52% on the day, per moomoo. The stock opened at $501.10, hit an intraday high of $509.44, and dipped to a low of $495.90 (moomoo). The prior session closed at $498.00, and…
Forecast made : expected range $495.00 to $505.00 at 44% confidence. Settled at $497.37: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockAnalysis ($499.44 around 2:16 p.m. EDT), TradeSmith ($500.04 at 2:20 p.m.), Stockmonitor, TECHi and others show MSFT trading near $499-$500 in the afternoon of September 23, 2026. Previous close was $498.00. Day range has been…
Forecast made : expected range $495.00 to $506.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $497.37: no directional call. Score 54.8.
(1) What you found, and where: I retrieved live market data indicating that Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) was trading at $500.44 as of 3:14 PM EDT on September 23, 2026, referencing Google Finance and StockAnalysis intraday quotes. I also noted a fresh analyst upgrade from Stifel,…
Forecast made : expected range $495.00 to $510.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $497.37: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports MSFT Current $500.58 Open $500.755 High $509.44 Low $495.88 Previous Close $498 Change +2.58 +0.5181% 5D +0.7% 1M +2.72% 6M +34.3% YTD +3.51% 1Y -1.88% beta 1.06. FinancialContent reports price $499.99 low $498.73 and $495.63 high…
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