MSFT 1-day forecast by Grok 4
Grok 4's 1-day forecast for MSFT, made 2026-09-23: expected range $495.00 to $505.00 at 44% confidence. Settled at $497.37: direction called incorrectly, score 31.0.
| Asset | MSFT |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $500.45 |
| Price the model reported | $499.50 |
| Expected range | $495.00 to $505.00 |
| Confidence | 44% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $497.37 |
| Traded range in the window | $491.22 to $500.86 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 31.0 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockAnalysis ($499.44 around 2:16 p.m. EDT), TradeSmith ($500.04 at 2:20 p.m.), Stockmonitor, TECHi and others show MSFT trading near $499-$500 in the afternoon of September 23, 2026. Previous close was $498.00. Day range has been approximately $495.88-$509.44 on moderate volume.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Modest positive session within a broader consolidation pattern. Recent Stifel upgrade to Buy (target raised to $575) and commentary that Microsoft has
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $488.00 to $508.00 | 56% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.5 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $486.00 to $502.00 | 20% | No directional call | 40.1 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $495.00 to $510.00 | 57% | Direction called incorrectly | 32.3 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $495.00 to $506.00 | 75% | No directional call | 54.8 |
| DeepSeek | $490.00 to $508.00 | 56% | Direction called correctly | 80.9 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.