NVDA 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-23: expected range $221.00 to $230.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $224.00: no directional call, score 53.2.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $225.16 |
| Price the model reported | $225.33 |
| Expected range | $221.00 to $230.00 |
| Confidence | 58% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $224.00 |
| Traded range in the window | $221.09 to $225.80 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 53.2 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA Current $225.335 Open $228.03 High $228.95 Low $224.02 Previous Close $228.87 Change -3.535 -1.5445% 5D +6.2% 1M +8.08% 6M +28.62% YTD +20.82% 1Y +27.33% beta 2.22. Finimize reports Closed Sep 23 14:00 US/Eastern. Hexn reports current $229 forecast $229 Sep 24 +0.07% strong bullish 90% sentiment fear greed 65 neutral 21/7 green 0.55% vol. MarketBeat reports NVDA opened $228.87 market cap $5.52T PE 28.93 PEG 1.76 beta 2.22 50-day $215.47 200-day $205.09. FinancialContent reports $227.38 high $228.50 PE 46.40 1Y +43.77 +23.84%. Yahoo Finance Bid $228.89 x 400 Earnings Nov 17 2026 Ex-div Sep 10 2026.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Pullback Sep 23 after +6.2% 5D per Finnhub. From $228.87 prev to $225.335 -1.54% intraday low $224.02 -2.1% from prev. SOXL $145.2 -4.44% open $149.89 high $151 low $139.58 prev $151.95 per Finnhub Sep 23 shows semis weakness, GOOG $337.94 -2.72% per Finnhub Sep 23, BTC $83,870 -3.10% per Finnhub Sep 23. 50-day $215.47 support above $224 low per MarketBeat. Regime mildly bearish intraday but bullish weekly.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to $225.335 Finnhub current Sep 23 same window 19:04 UTC. Using day $224.02-$228.95 Finnhub and $229 Hexn current forecast $229 Sep 24 +0.07% and $227.38 FinancialContent high $228.50 and $228.87 open MarketBeat and $215.47 50-day per MarketBeat support. Daily vol ~2% ~$4.5 due beta 2.22. Lower $221 -1.9% near $224.02 low and $215.47 50-day + $224 support if $224 breaks, upper $230 +2% toward $228.95 high and $229 Hexn and $228.89 bid per Yahoo Finance captures bounce to $229. Slight downside skew today due to -1.54% intraday but 1d mildly bearish due to SOXL -4.44%.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Window Sep 23 19:04 UTC 24h to Sep 24 19:04 covers Sep 23 close and Sep 24 open. Catalyst Superion 256 first on-premise quantum at NVIDIA Accelerated Quantum Research Center linking GB200 NVL72 via NVQLink per FinancialContent Sep 23, Fed speeches Sep 21-27 per HappyCoinNews, earnings Nov 17 2026 per Yahoo Finance.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bear case: -1.54% below $225 to $224 low could retrace to $221 below $224.02 if SOXL $139.58 low breaks. Bull case: above $228.95 high to $230 toward $229 Hexn if Superion catalyst lifts. Invalidation: close below $219 or above $232 would negate mild bearish.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 58% reflects live $225.335 open $228.03 high $228.95 low $224.02 prev $228.87 Sep 23 same day as window start 19:04 UTC, plus Finimize closed Sep 23 14:00 ET same day, plus Hexn $229 forecast $229 Sep 24 +0.07% bullish 90% same day Sep 23, plus MarketBeat open $228.87 cap $5.52T PE 28.93 PEG 1.76 beta 2.22 50-day $215.47 200-day $205.09 Sep 23. Multiple same-day live sources at or after baseline. Labeling live because quotes dated Sep 23 at or after window start.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $218.50 to $232.50 | 60% | No directional call | 52.7 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $212.00 to $227.00 | 28% | Direction called incorrectly | 32.0 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $221.00 to $229.00 | 70% | Direction called correctly | 81.5 |
| Grok 4 | $222.00 to $230.00 | 45% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.4 |
| DeepSeek | $218.00 to $235.00 | 58% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.4 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.