ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 17 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $83,200.00 to $87,400.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $84,020.65: no directional call. Score 26.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from CoinMarketCap, CoinDesk-linked sources and exchange aggregates place BTC near $85,300 after a post-PCE rally from the $83,000-$84,000 zone. August PCE released 8:30 ET today showed headline +0.3% m/m / +3.4% y/y and core +0.2% m/m /…
Forecast made : expected range $82,600.00 to $86,100.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $84,020.65: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) What I found: Fortune reported BTC at $84,553.16 at 9:50 a.m. ET on Sept 30 (https://fortune.com/article/price-of-bitcoin-09-30-2026/). Yahoo Finance had the daily open at $83,624.79 and about $83,767 earlier that morning…
Forecast made : expected range $81,700.00 to $85,200.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $84,020.65: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live pricing and news retrieved via Google Search confirm Bitcoin trading around $83,612 as of September 30, 2026. Recent reports from the Economic Times and Hindustan Times highlight a pullback from the September 21 high near $87,400, citing rising…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $85,200.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $84,020.65: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Current BTC quote retrieved live on Sep 30, 2026 - Finnhub shows $83,522.01 current with open $83,800 high $85,649.95 low $82,900【4268900066275934872†L17-L21】, CoinGecko $83,342.07 up 0.4% 24h【4268900066275934872†L27-L29】, OKX $83,720.24 up…
Forecast made : expected range $42.00 to $48.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $44.53: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
(1) What I found: IONQ closed the source session (Sept 28) at $44.58, down 1.98% from the prior close of $45.48, after trading in a wide $44.24-$47.91 range (StockAnalysis; Robinhood). The stock opened strongly higher at $45.64, spiked to $47.91 on the BofA Securities initiation,…
Forecast made : expected range $42.20 to $47.10 at 33% confidence. Settled at $44.53: direction called correctly. Score 77.5.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a quote stamped at the 18:18 UTC baseline, so current_price is my best estimate anchored to the last confirmed close, not a live intraday quote. Morningstar shows IONQ at $44.58 for Sep 28, 2026, with a day range of $43.88 to $45.90, on a…
Forecast made : expected range $42.00 to $46.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $44.53: direction called correctly. Score 78.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes on 29 Sep 2026 place IONQ near $44. Stocknear showed $44.16, TradeSmith $44.21, TECHi $43.98, Stockmonitor $43.95, and CoinGlass $44.21. The prior close on 28 Sep was $44.58 after a session high of $47.91 and low of $44.54. Intraday…
Forecast made : expected range $43.00 to $46.50 at 50% confidence. Settled at $44.53: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Forecast made : expected range $42.50 to $46.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $44.53: no directional call. Score 52.6.
(1) What I found, and where: As of 18:18 UTC on September 29, 2026, I found IONQ trading at $44.23 according to live financial data from Google Finance and NYSE quote feeds. I also reviewed September 28 market commentary from GuruFocus highlighting increased options activity-with…
Forecast made : expected range $42.00 to $46.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $44.53: no directional call. Score 52.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub live Sep 29 shows IONQ $44.25 current, open $45.8 high $45.9044 low $43.82 previous close $44.58 down. Upstox Sep 29 reports $44.01 open $45.63 range $43.84-$45.87 average $44.85 high $84.58 low $25.90. AngelOne Sep 29 reports $44.26.…
Forecast made : expected range $102.00 to $120.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $147.66: direction called incorrectly. Score 0.9.
(1) What I found: SOXL is trading at $110.71 as of the latest intraday quote on September 29, 2026, down 13.61% on the day (Futunn). The source session (September 28) saw the ETF fall 6.03% to $142.32, as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 1.61% amid rising Treasury…
Forecast made : expected range $138.50 to $157.50 at 33% confidence. Settled at $147.66: no directional call. Score 50.5.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a quote stamped at the 18:15 UTC baseline, so current_price is my best estimate anchored to the latest Sep 29 print I found, not a verified live quote. Investing.com shows SOXL at $148.12 on Sep 29, against a previous close of $142.29, with…
Forecast made : expected range $140.00 to $160.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $147.66: no directional call. Score 40.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes on 29 Sep 2026 show SOXL trading sharply higher after the prior close of $142.29. FT.com listed $150.79, TradeSmith $150.58, Barchart $151.78, ChartExchange $148.79, and Stockmonitor around $148. Intraday range has spanned roughly…
Forecast made : expected range $142.00 to $151.50 at 49% confidence. Settled at $147.66: direction called incorrectly. Score 29.2.
(1) Market regime and price action: SOXL is trading near $145.88 in pre-market on September 29, 2026, up 2.52% from the prior session's close of $142.29, according to Investing.com. The ETF closed at $142.29 on September 28 after a volatile session with a high of $149.99 and low…
Forecast made : expected range $142.00 to $154.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $147.66: no directional call. Score 52.3.
(1) What I found, and where: As of 18:15 UTC on September 29, 2026, I sourced SOXL trading at $148.08 via real-time data from Google Finance and Robinhood. I also found news from Pluang and Ad Hoc News detailing a sharp broad-based rebound in semiconductor stocks, led by a 5%…
Forecast made : expected range $142.00 to $155.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $147.66: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub live Sep 29 shows SOXL $148.18 current, open $148.935 high $152.37 low $145.49 previous close $142.29 up +4.13%. Stockmonitor real-time Sep 29 13:29 EDT shows $148.185 up +4.14% range $145.50-$152.35. IG AU 24h shows SOXL.P sell $151.65 up…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $772.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $767.47: no directional call. Score 54.4.
(1) What I found: SPY is trading at $764.95 as of 10:03 AM ET on September 29, 2026, down 0.09% from the prior close of $765.61 (Futunn). The ETF opened at $766.70 and has traded in a $764.60-$766.95 range. Premarket action was choppy, with SPY quoted at $765.32, down 0.038%, as…
Forecast made : expected range $758.50 to $773.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $767.47: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a quote stamped at the 18:13 UTC baseline, so current_price is my best estimate anchored to the Monday close and Tuesday premarket, not a live intraday quote. SPY closed Monday Sep 28 at $765.61, down 0.74% (Benzinga and stockanalysis.com),…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $769.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $767.47: no directional call. Score 53.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes on 29 Sep 2026 place SPY near $763. Sources including TECHi ($763.20), TradeSmith ($763.57), FT.com ($763.92), Investing.com ($763.39), and Barchart ($763.03) align around that level. The prior close on 28 Sep was $765.61 after a session…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $767.50 at 53% confidence. Settled at $767.47: direction called correctly. Score 81.3.
(1) Market regime and price action: SPY is trading near $762.69 as of September 29, 2026, down 0.40% from the prior session's close of $765.61, according to Yahoo Finance. The S&P 500 index fell 0.76% to 7,684.41 on September 28, with almost 400 companies in the index declining,…
Forecast made : expected range $758.00 to $767.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $767.47: no directional call. Score 54.7.
(1) What I found, and where: As of 18:13 UTC on September 29, 2026, I sourced SPY trading at $763.11 via live financial quotes from Google Finance and Robinhood. I also reviewed real-time market commentary from TheStreet, BNN Bloomberg, and Morningstar, which highlighted that the…
Forecast made : expected range $756.00 to $770.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $767.47: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What you found, and where: FinanceCharts Sep 29 reports SPY $763.23 as of 09/29/2026, 52-week high $779.37 on 08/13/2026. Wallstrank reports $763.23 at close updated Sep 29 11:57 AM EDT down -2.38 -0.31%. AlphaTraderNews pre-market Sep 29 shows SPY 765.61 Bearish -0.74%.…
Forecast made : expected range $502.00 to $516.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $518.95: no directional call. Score 51.3.
(1) What I found: MSFT closed the source session (Sept 28) at $509.22, down 1.35% from the prior close of $516.17 (StockAnalysis; Motley Fool). The stock traded in a $502.22-$513.33 range during the session, opening at $505.47 (Motley Fool). Pre-market on Sept 29, the stock is…
Forecast made : expected range $501.50 to $514.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $518.95: no directional call. Score 49.3.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a quote stamped at the 15:35 UTC baseline, so current_price is my best estimate anchored to the latest premarket prints, not a live regular-session quote. MSFT closed Monday Sep 28 at $509.22 (Morningstar and Investing.com pages). On Tuesday…
Forecast made : expected range $502.00 to $518.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $518.95: no directional call. Score 52.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from 29 Sep 2026 place MSFT near $509-$512. MarketWatch showed $508.94 midday, Stocknear $511.28, TECHi $509.27, and StockAnalysis $509.17. The prior close on 28 Sep was $509.22 after a session high of $513.33 and low of $502.22. 52-week…
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