IONQ 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-29: expected range $42.00 to $46.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $44.53: no directional call, score 52.0.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $44.24 |
| Price the model reported | $44.25 |
| Expected range | $42.00 to $46.50 |
| Confidence | 60% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $44.53 |
| Traded range in the window | $43.73 to $47.33 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 52.0 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub live Sep 29 shows IONQ $44.25 current, open $45.8 high $45.9044 low $43.82 previous close $44.58 down. Upstox Sep 29 reports $44.01 open $45.63 range $43.84-$45.87 average $44.85 high $84.58 low $25.90. AngelOne Sep 29 reports $44.26. Tokenized IONQon USD $45.26 per WEEX Sep 29.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Quantum sector pulling back after Sep 21-24 Superion 256 placements with SDT, NVIDIA, FIU and BofA Buy $60 target Sep 28. IONQ 5-day +13.08% and 6-month +66.42% per Finnhub but today down -0.7% showing consolidation. Beta 3.34 amplifies market swings.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Daily range $43.82-$45.90 ~$2.08 ~4.7% ATR. Lower bound $42 near below today's low allowing for continued profit taking, upper bound $46.50 near above today's high and yesterday's $47.91 resistance. Slight bearish skew with more room below reflecting intraday downtrend Sep 29.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Three Superion placements remain fresh tailwind but no new filings in 1-day window Sep 29-30. NVIDIA Accelerated Quantum Research Center installation is catalyst but largely priced. Yield moves affect growth.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bull case is quantum computing momentum and BofA $60 target driving dip buying at $44 support. Invalidation would be close above $46.50 and reclaim of $45.90 high with volume and sector strength.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: 60% based on live price $44.25 confirmed across Finnhub, Upstox, AngelOne within window start 18:18 UTC, and clear intraday down -1% pattern. Confidence moderate due to high beta and 1-day noise but bearish tilt justified by intraday weakness.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $42.50 to $46.00 | 65% | No directional call | 52.6 |
| Perplexity | $43.00 to $46.50 | 50% | Direction called correctly | 80.9 |
| Grok 4.5 | $42.00 to $46.50 | 40% | Direction called correctly | 78.2 |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | $42.20 to $47.10 | 33% | Direction called correctly | 77.5 |
| DeepSeek | $42.00 to $48.00 | 58% | Direction called correctly | 80.8 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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