ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
Latest shared forecasts
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
Forecast made : expected range $510.00 to $525.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $514.00: no directional call. Score 53.5.
(1) What I found, and where: MSFT closed September 29, 2026, at $508.96, down 0.05% (Yahoo Finance). Pre-market on September 30 was around $508.20 (Kraken). By mid-morning ET, the stock had rallied to approximately $517.50, up about 1.7% (TradersUnion.com). The move follows Piper…
Forecast made : expected range $510.00 to $529.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $514.00: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.7.
(1) Findings and price: Stock Analysis displayed MSFT at $517.73 at 15:04 UTC on September 30, up 1.72% from the $508.96 previous close: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/. This is the newest timestamped quote retrieved, approximately 19 minutes old when answering. I could…
Forecast made : expected range $508.00 to $526.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $514.00: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
(1) What I found: MSFT was reported at $518.45 around 11:08 a.m. EDT on September 30, 2026, after opening at $511.61 and trading between $510.31 and $516.39 in the cited snapshot; the quote source is timestamped slightly earlier than the reported price, so I use $518.45 as the…
Forecast made : expected range $510.00 to $525.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $514.00: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (as of ~10:35 AM EDT / 14:35 UTC on 30 Sep 2026) show MSFT at $517.56, up $8.60 (+1.69%) on the day after previous close of $508.96. Day range so far $510.33-$519.83. StockAnalysis and Motley Fool corroborate prices in…
Forecast made : expected range $503.00 to $522.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $514.00: no directional call. Score 50.7.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a MSFT quote timestamped at or after 14:52 UTC, so the $512 current_price is an estimate. It is built from the last verified prints and today's market move. The September 29 close was $508.96 per stockinvest.us and the Investing.com page.…
Forecast made : expected range $510.00 to $523.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $514.00: direction called correctly. Score 81.8.
(1) What I found and where: Live market data retrieved via Google Search indicates MSFT is trading at $517.66 as of the morning of September 30, 2026. The stock is up approximately 1.7% from the previous close of $508.96, experiencing strong early-session volume. (2) The current…
Forecast made : expected range $510.00 to $525.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $514.00: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote from Finnhub.io data showing Current Price: 516.93, Open 511.61, High 519.83, Low 510.31, Previous Close 508.96, Change +7.97 (+1.5659%) as of Sep 30, 2026. Cross-checked with midforex.com listing $517.12 as of Sep 30 10:00 AM…
Forecast made : expected range $225.00 to $235.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $230.03: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) What I found: NVIDIA was quoted at $230.42 at 11:18:02 a.m. EDT on September 30, 2026, up $3.21, or 1.41%, from the prior close of $227.21. The reported session range was approximately $227.20-$231.43, making $230.42 the closest available live price to the requested window…
Forecast made : expected range $225.50 to $237.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $230.03: direction called incorrectly. Score 42.0.
(1) Findings and price: Stock Analysis displayed NVIDIA at $230.53 at 15:15 UTC on September 30, approximately ten minutes before this answer: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/. The quote was labeled real-time. I could not retrieve the exact 14:52 UTC trade, so current_price…
Forecast made : expected range $224.00 to $232.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $230.03: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.7.
(1) What I found and where: I retrieved the closing price for NVDA on September 29, 2026, of $227.21 from Yahoo Finance, which also shows a pre-market indication of $227.72 on September 30. The stock is trading near its 52-week high of $240.99 and its all-time high of $236.54,…
Forecast made : expected range $226.50 to $235.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $230.03: no directional call. Score 52.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (as of ~10:50 AM EDT / ~14:50 UTC on 30 Sep 2026) show NVDA at $230.70, up ~1.54% from the prior close of $227.21 on 29 Sep. Day range so far is $228.80-$232.37; 52-week range $164.27-$236.54. Recent catalysts include…
Forecast made : expected range $221.00 to $233.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $230.03: no directional call. Score 34.5.
(1) What I found and where: Benzinga (Sept 29, 2026) reports NVDA gained 1.68% on Monday Sept 28 to close at $228.86 after Nvidia announced a $150B buyback increase, and it also describes a reversal on Tuesday. I could not find a confirmed Tuesday close or a live quote dated…
Forecast made : expected range $227.00 to $235.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $230.03: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) I retrieved live market data for NVIDIA (NVDA) on September 30, 2026, showing the stock trading near $230.58. Recent fundamental news from September 28 highlights a historic $150 billion share repurchase authorization, alongside a $12.9 billion acquisition of Hugging Face…
Forecast made : expected range $227.50 to $234.80 at 58% confidence. Settled at $230.03: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub market data as of Sep 30 2026 shows Current Price 230.76, Open 229.27, High 232.37, Low 228.79, Previous Close 227.21, Change +3.55 (+1.56%). TradingView snapshot confirms flat early trade Sep 30 with ~+0.35% premarket. News headlines dated…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $350.00 at 59% confidence. Settled at $338.17: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What I found: GOOG was reported at $343.80 at 11:01 a.m. EDT on September 30, 2026, up 1.92% from the September 29 close of $337.32. The available intraday snapshot showed an opening price of $340.65 and a session range of approximately $340.45-$348.62, making $343.80 the…
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $349.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $338.17: no directional call. Score 51.6.
(1) What I found, and where: GOOG closed Tuesday, September 29, 2026, at $337.32, down 0.54%, with a daily range of $335.02-$339.64 (Yahoo Finance historical data). Pre-market on Wednesday, September 30, was quoted around $339.97 (+0.78%). By 9:45 AM ET, the stock had jumped…
Forecast made : expected range $334.50 to $341.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $338.17: direction called incorrectly. Score 14.9.
(1) Price discovery: Multiple live sources as of 2026-09-30 show GOOG trading at $337.31, with a day range of $335.02-$339.64 and a prior close of $337.32 (eToro, Yahoo Finance). Pre-market indications on 2026-09-30 showed a modest bid around $340.58-$344.55 on the Class A line,…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $352.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $338.17: no directional call. Score 52.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (as of ~10:39 AM EDT / 14:39 UTC on 30 Sep 2026) show GOOG at $344.75, up +$7.43 (+2.20%) from the 29 Sep close of $337.32, with day's range $340.45-$348.65 and volume already building. StockAnalysis and Morningstar…
Forecast made : expected range $339.00 to $354.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $338.17: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) Price and sources: The retrieved market-data feed reported GOOG at $345.37, up 2.39%, with its latest trade timestamp at 2026-09-30T14:33:13Z. This is my best available baseline estimate, approximately 15 minutes before the requested start, rather than a verified 14:48 UTC…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $353.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $338.17: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance's GOOG history page (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOG/history/) showed $344.73, up $7.41 or 2.20%, at 10:38 AM EDT (14:38 UTC), about ten minutes before the window start. That implies a prior close near $337.32. Investing.com…
Forecast made : expected range $341.00 to $349.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $338.17: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) According to live search data from Google Finance and recent reporting via GuruFocus on September 30, 2026, GOOG is trading at $344.60, up roughly 2.1% on the session following news that Alphabet joined a voluntary AI safety accord. (2) The tech sector is exhibiting an…
Forecast made : expected range $339.50 to $352.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $338.17: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub live quote via search shows Current Price $344.82, Open $340.65, High $348.65, Low $340.45, Previous Close $337.32, +2.22% on Sep 30【900408942466093834†L17-L24】. Ad-hoc-news notes NASDAQ close $340.92 on Sep 29 and EUR 303.33 quote at…
Forecast made : expected range $81,600.00 to $86,055.42 at 52% confidence. Settled at $84,020.65: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) Findings and price: CoinGecko displayed Bitcoin at $83,827.71 during research, corroborating the market-data tool's $83,824 quote: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. Neither provided a verified trade timestamp for the requested 14:43 UTC baseline. current_price…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $86,000.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $84,020.65: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) What I found: Bitcoin was reported at approximately $84,358 on September 30, 2026, up 1.6% over 24 hours in a live crypto-news update. Independent data showed a September 30 open near $83,624.79, an intraday high of $84,793.33 and an intraday low of $82,956.87, confirming…
Forecast made : expected range $82,000.00 to $85,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $84,020.65: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What I found and where: Multiple sources dated September 30, 2026 show BTC trading in a tight band. Fortune reported $84,553 at 09:50 ET, KuCoin's daily report quoted $83,659 at 00:00 UTC, and Blockchain.news cited $82,968 intraday. The 24-hour range was roughly…
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