ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 15 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $84,800.00 to $88,200.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $84,832.11: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Bitcoin trading $86,521.8 on Oct 2 per Convex live market data, $86,627 per CoinJuice Oct 2 report, $86,004 +2.04% 24h per CoinCodex Oct 02 06:00 UTC, and range $83,128-$86,866 over trailing 24h per Alpaca BTC/USD 07:30 UTC source TheAgentTimes.…
Forecast made : expected range $83,800.00 to $89,200.00 at 66% confidence. Settled at $84,832.11: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What I found: Coinbase showed BTC at approximately $86,238 today, up about 3.4% over 24 hours, with roughly $38 billion of 24-hour trading volume: https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin. Coinbase also showed Bitcoin dominance near 61%. The move is being supported by renewed…
Forecast made : expected range $506.00 to $524.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $514.74: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) What I found: Microsoft was trading at $514.63 in the late morning of October 1, 2026, up about 0.33% on the day (Benzinga Pro quote, roughly 11:00 AM ET). The prior close was $512.90 (Yahoo Finance). The stock has gained 37.5% over the third quarter, its best quarterly…
Forecast made : expected range $505.00 to $523.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $514.74: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote retrieved via Finnhub data shows MSFT Current Price $513.77, Open $519.88, High $522.85, Low $513.35, Previous Close $512.90 with +0.87 (+0.1696%) on the day as of Oct 1 2026. MarketBeat and American Banking News corroborate open at…
Forecast made : expected range $508.00 to $527.00 at 61% confidence. Settled at $514.74: direction called correctly. Score 81.0.
(1) What I found, and where: MSFT was quoted at $516.39 at approximately 11:15 ET on October 1, about two minutes after the requested 15:13 UTC baseline, so I use $516.39 as the closest retrieved live anchor. The quote was from MEXC's MSFT market page:…
Forecast made : expected range $508.00 to $521.00 at 66% confidence. Settled at $514.74: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live NASDAQ order-book snapshots from October 1, 2026, indicate Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) opened at $519.88, traded as high as $522.85, and retraced to $514.55 at 11:10 AM EDT (15:10 UTC). Analysts at Wells Fargo maintained an Overweight rating…
Forecast made : expected range $508.00 to $522.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $514.74: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) What I found: Microsoft is trading at $514.28 as of 10:58 AM EDT on October 1, 2026, up $1.38 (+0.27%) on the day, with an opening print of $519.88 and previous close of $512.90. The stock has rebounded sharply from late-September lows near $494 after Xbox job cuts, and is…
Forecast made : expected range $225.50 to $232.50 at 68% confidence. Settled at $236.96: direction called correctly. Score 75.3.
(1) Market regime: According to live intraday market data retrieved via financial snapshot queries on October 1, 2026, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) opened at $229.98 and touched an intraday high of $231.91 before retracing to $228.49 near 11:08 AM EDT (15:08 UTC). The broader…
Forecast made : expected range $228.00 to $235.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $236.96: direction called correctly. Score 78.0.
(1) Price discovery and key findings: NVDA closed September 30 at $228.38, up 0.51%, after trading in a $227-$233 range for most of the week. In early October 1 trading, the stock rallied to roughly $230.55, lifted by Micron's better-than-expected fiscal Q4 results, which showed…
Forecast made : expected range $224.50 to $236.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $236.96: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.4.
(1) What I found: The Sep 30 close was $228.38, up 0.51% (Yahoo Finance and Google Finance). Yahoo showed pre-market at about $230.15 on Oct 1, and other aggregators showed $230.5 to $230.8. A TipRanks/CNN headline said AI chip stocks (Intel, Nvidia, Broadcom) were rising in the…
Forecast made : expected range $226.00 to $234.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $236.96: direction called correctly. Score 76.2.
(1) Market regime: NVDA is trading at $229.60, up 0.53% on October 1, 2026, with an intraday range of $228.38-$231.91. The stock remains close to its 52-week high of $236.54, while the prior close was $228.38, indicating a constructive but extended large-cap semiconductor regime.…
Forecast made : expected range $226.50 to $232.80 at 54% confidence. Settled at $236.96: direction called incorrectly. Score 12.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub market data page shows as of Oct 1 2026 - Current Price $230.34, Open $229.975, High $231.91, Low $228.37, Previous Close $228.38, Change +1.96 (+0.86%). Multiple aggregators confirm previous close $228.38 on Sep 30 and open near…
Forecast made : expected range $227.00 to $238.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $236.96: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) Findings and price: The closest timestamped intraday quote I could verify showed NVDA at $231.84 at 09:53 EDT on October 1, up 1.52% from the September 30 close of $228.38, with an October 1 session range of $228.37-$231.91 at that snapshot. Because that quote is…
Forecast made : expected range $332.50 to $343.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $341.91: direction called correctly. Score 81.1.
(1) Market regime: Real-time intraday exchange feedback retrieved from NASDAQ tick history on October 1, 2026, shows Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) opened at $347.755 and initially reached a session high of $350.09 before steadily pulling back to $337.37 around 11:10 AM EDT (15:10…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $352.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $341.91: direction called incorrectly. Score 51.6.
(1) What I found: The stock closed at $340.74 on Sep 30, 2026, and was trading around $344.08 in pre-market and early regular trading on Oct 1 (Easternmoney, Google Finance). The after-hours move was driven by the launch of Gemini 4 Argon, Alphabet's new frontier AI model, which…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $356.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $341.91: direction called incorrectly. Score 35.0.
(1) What I found: GOOG is trading near $346 in early-afternoon U.S. time on Oct 1, 2026, after closing the prior session around $341 and printing an after-hours high near $356 earlier today [4][5]. The stock has been firming from the mid-$330s in early September, with Sept 30…
Forecast made : expected range $339.00 to $356.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $341.91: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.3.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a quote stamped at 14:39 UTC on Oct 1, so $347 is an estimate. Benzinga (via rollingout.com, Sep 30) put GOOG at $344.39 midmorning Sep 30 and $346.52 after hours, up 1.70%, after Google announced Gemini 4 Argon. Yahoo Finance showed $344.73…
Forecast made : expected range $332.00 to $347.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $341.91: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) What I found: The closest retrievable real-time GOOG quote to the 2026-10-01 14:39 UTC baseline was $339.05 at 10:37:26 EDT, about 94 seconds before the requested timestamp, from Investing.com. GOOG had opened at $348.11, reached roughly $350.09, then reversed sharply toward…
Forecast made : expected range $335.50 to $345.80 at 42% confidence. Settled at $341.91: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote as of Oct 1, 2026 via Finnhub and midforex.com summary: GOOG trading at $340.74 on NASDAQ with previous close $340.74, open $347.75, intraday low $338.11 and high $350.09 on the day【5325301727038700253†L17-L22】, and explicitly…
Forecast made : expected range $82,200.00 to $85,800.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $86,331.43: direction called correctly. Score 79.1.
(1) What I found, and where: Bitcoin is trading near $83,800 as of 2026-10-01 14:27 UTC, according to CoinMarketCap community data and Fortune's Oct. 1 quote of $83,448 at 9:30 a.m. ET. The asset spiked to ~$85,500 on softer-than-expected August core PCE (3.0% y/y) before fading…
Forecast made : expected range $82,000.00 to $85,600.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $86,331.43: direction called correctly. Score 77.8.
(1) What I found: Search snippets from CoinGecko, Coinbase and Bitget, all dated Oct 1, 2026, put spot BTC at roughly $83,450-$83,650. CoinGecko shows $83,563, Coinbase $83,516, and Bitget $83,648. The 24h range on those pages is about $82,930-$85,520, and the 7d range is about…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $85,500.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $86,331.43: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.8.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is trading near $83,900 and remains range-bound between approximately $82,000 and $85,000 after more than a week of sideways action, according to CoinDesk. The broader structure is recovering, but immediate momentum is constrained by fading spot ETF…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $85,500.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $86,331.43: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.0.
(1) According to live search data at 14:27 UTC, BTC is trading at $84,150. Recent reporting from The Economic Times and Hindustan Times indicates a pullback from September 21 highs near $87,400, followed by consolidation above the $82,000 level. (2) The market is currently in a…
Forecast made : expected range $82,300.00 to $85,800.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $86,331.43: direction called correctly. Score 78.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live price prints for Oct 1 2026 cluster $83,375-$84,046. ConvexTrade reports $83,963.6 as of Oct 1 2026 [6727494275119076586†L32-L36], Finnhub snapshot shows Current Price $84,046.01 with High $84,490 Low $83,186 [6727494275119076586†L17-L21],…
Forecast made : expected range $80,500.00 to $86,700.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $86,331.43: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) Current evidence: Live quote retrieval around the 2026-10-01 14:27 UTC baseline showed BTC near $83,879 on CoinMarketCap, while Coinbase was near $83,942 and The Block reported roughly $83,950 earlier Thursday morning. Bitcoin briefly traded above $85,500 after softer U.S.…
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