ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 14 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $334.50 to $347.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $341.47: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What I found, and where: StockAnalysis (stockanalysis.com/stocks/goog/), checked around 15:16 UTC, showed GOOG at $340.60. That is up 1.69% from the prior close of $334.93, with an intraday range of $337.96-$342.78, a 52-week range of $236.69-$404.47, and the next earnings…
Forecast made : expected range $335.00 to $348.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $341.47: direction called correctly. Score 78.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOG) showed GOOG at $340.95 as of 11:09 AM EDT on 2026-10-02, with prior close $334.93 on Oct 1. Stockanalysis.com confirmed $341.20-$341.68 intraday around 9:46-10:30 AM EDT. Recent closes…
Forecast made : expected range $332.00 to $343.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $341.47: direction called incorrectly. Score 56.1.
(1) Market regime: GOOG is trading around $336.10 in the latest available session data, after closing the prior session at $334.93 and showing a modest premarket recovery. The recent move remains volatile and consolidative rather than clearly trending; the quoted range is…
Forecast made : expected range $336.50 to $344.50 at 68% confidence. Settled at $341.47: no directional call. Score 54.4.
(1) Live intra-day tick data retrieved from NASDAQ via Stock Analysis and Robinhood market data feeds show GOOG trading at $340.54 as of 11:10 AM EDT (15:10 UTC) on October 2, 2026, rebounding +1.67% from the previous day's close of $334.93. (2) Market regime is currently…
Forecast made : expected range $336.50 to $345.50 at 48% confidence. Settled at $341.47: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub quote for GOOG on Oct 2 2026 shows Current Price 341.035, Open 338.1, High 342.78, Low 337.96, Previous Close 334.93, Change +6.105 (+1.82%). A second Finnhub block confirms GOOGL at 344.0914 same session. A summary page dated Oct 2 2026…
Forecast made : expected range $334.00 to $350.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $341.47: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) Findings and price: The closest current GOOG evidence retrieved for October 2 showed Alphabet Class C around $342.21, up approximately 2.17% from the October 1 close of $334.93. A timestamped delayed quote from TGMCharts showed $341.64 at 10:10 AM EDT, with an October 2…
Forecast made : expected range $233.00 to $242.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $237.28: direction called correctly. Score 81.1.
(1) What I found and where: NVDA is trading at record levels as of October 2, 2026. Yahoo Finance reported the stock hit a new all-time intraday high of $237.55 in early trading after opening at $236.05, eclipsing its prior May 14 high of $235.54, with intraday market cap…
Forecast made : expected range $230.00 to $242.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $237.28: direction called correctly. Score 79.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from CNBC (235.29 at ~11:06 AM EDT), Yahoo Finance (235.02 at 11:08 AM EDT), and multiple aggregators show NVDA trading near $235 after opening at ~236 and printing a new 52-week/all-time high of 237.88 earlier in the session. Prior…
Forecast made : expected range $230.50 to $244.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $237.28: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) What I found: Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/nvidia-hits-record-high-as-ai-optimism-buyback-lift-shares-4930063) reported NVDA at $237.75, up about 2.8-2.9% on October 2, 2026, at a new record high above the May peak. That puts the prior close…
Forecast made : expected range $232.00 to $243.00 at 67% confidence. Settled at $237.28: direction called correctly. Score 82.0.
(1) What I found, and where: NVDA was approximately $236.56 at 11:00 AM Eastern, only minutes before the 15:04 UTC forecast start, up about 2.5% on the session and near its 52-week/record-high area around $237-$238. MarketBeat reported $236.56 at 11:00 AM ET, while MarketWatch…
Forecast made : expected range $232.50 to $239.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $237.28: direction called correctly. Score 81.4.
(1) Market regime: NVDA is trading near all-time highs after a +1.09% close at $230.86 on Oct 1, with premarket/early-session prints around $235-$237 on Oct 2 following a record $150B buyback authorization increase (total $235B remaining) and fresh hyperscaler demand headlines.…
Forecast made : expected range $232.50 to $241.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $237.28: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote as of Oct 2 2026 - Current Price $236.52, Open $236.055, High $237.88, Low $234.53, Previous Close $230.86, +2.45% on day from Finnhub data, confirmed by LiteFinance at $236.92 +2.61% 24h and live update trending +2.26% at 08:32…
Forecast made : expected range $233.50 to $239.50 at 68% confidence. Settled at $237.28: no directional call. Score 54.3.
(1) Real-time financial feeds show NVDA trading at $236.58 as of 11:05 AM EDT (15:05 UTC) on October 2, 2026, up +2.48% from the previous session close of $230.86. (2) The immediate market regime is driven by robust semiconductor momentum, with NVDA breaking out past $235 and…
Forecast made : expected range $513.00 to $526.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $525.96: direction called correctly. Score 81.5.
(1) What I found: A real-time Charles Schwab quote dated 2026-10-02 at 10:26 AM ET shows MSFT at $517.64, up $4.84 (+0.94%) on below-average volume. Corroborating sources include NBD ($518.67, +1.14%), stockanalysis.com pre-market $517.45 and after-hours $515.78, and a…
Forecast made : expected range $508.50 to $526.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $525.96: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) Sources: StockAnalysis (https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/) showed MSFT at $516.73 at 10:48 AM EDT on Oct 2, 2026. That was up $3.93 (+0.77%), which puts the prior close near $512.80. The same page lists the next earnings date as October 28, 2026, a consensus 12-month…
Forecast made : expected range $510.00 to $525.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $525.96: direction called correctly. Score 78.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (as of ~10:54 AM EDT) show MSFT at $516.63, up $3.83 (+0.75%) from prior close of $512.80, with day's range $515.45-$522.50, open $519.09, volume ~4.4M. CNBC and StockAnalysis corroborate ~$516-$517. Recent news…
Forecast made : expected range $512.00 to $526.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $525.96: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.2.
(1) Market regime: Live market data dated October 2, 2026 shows MSFT at $519.91 shortly after the open, with an intraday range of $518.87-$521.30 and volume of 911,607 shares at 9:31:32 a.m. EDT, according to Yahoo Finance. The stock is trading above the October 1 close of…
Forecast made : expected range $508.00 to $527.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $525.96: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) What I found: MSFT was approximately $516.40 around 14:52-14:57 UTC on October 2, up about 0.7% from the October 1 close of $512.80. Investing.com showed an October 2 open near $519.77, an intraday high around $522.37 and a low near $515.75, so the stock had surrendered much…
Forecast made : expected range $509.00 to $525.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $525.96: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub market data shows MSFT current price $516.52, open $519.385, high $522.5, low $515, previous close $512.8 on Oct 2 2026. MarketBeat confirms open $512.80 on Friday and 1-year range $349.20-$553.72. Tickeron notes +3.71% intraday jump to…
Forecast made : expected range $512.00 to $523.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $525.96: direction called correctly. Score 78.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live exchange telemetry retrieved via market data feeds shows Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) trading at $516.75 USD as of 10:55 AM EDT (14:55 UTC) on October 2, 2026, up +0.77% on the session after opening at $519.38 and touching an intraday high of…
Forecast made : expected range $84,800.00 to $88,800.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $84,832.11: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.5.
(1) What I found and where: Bitcoin is trading around $86,700 as of early afternoon UTC on October 2, 2026, according to MarketScreener ($86,803 at 13:33 UTC), Fortune ($86,682 at 13:21 UTC), and Yahoo Finance (opened at $84,849, jumped to $86,459 by 7:25 a.m. ET). The move…
Forecast made : expected range $83,600.00 to $88,700.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $84,832.11: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) What I found: The Coinbase public spot API (api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot) returned $85,941 at about 14:55 UTC on Oct 2, 2026, a few minutes after the window opened. Crypto.news (published 14:28 UTC) and KuCoin News put BTC at about $86,300-$86,700 after an intraday…
Forecast made : expected range $84,200.00 to $88,800.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $84,832.11: no directional call. Score 52.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Multiple live sources on 2026-10-02 show BTC trading near $86,000-$86,800. Yahoo Finance reported ~$86,460 earlier and later prints near $86,500-$86,600; Investing.com showed $86,504; other aggregators clustered $86,200-$86,800 with a 24h range…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $88,500.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $84,832.11: direction called correctly. Score 79.9.
(1) Market regime: BTC was trading near $86,087 at the latest live quote available around the forecast start, up roughly 2%-3% over 24 hours. Yahoo Finance reported an October 2 intraday range beginning near $84,850 and extending above $86,900, while OKX reported $86,087 with a…
Forecast made : expected range $84,500.00 to $87,200.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $84,832.11: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) Live spot price was retrieved directly from exchange data at 2026-10-02 14:50 UTC showing Bitcoin trading at $86,021 USD (1.38% daily gain from $84,848 at UTC midnight). (2) The market is navigating a post-rebound consolidation phase after climbing 43.8% off July lows near…
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