NVDA 1-day forecast by Gemini 3 Pro
Gemini 3 Pro's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-10-02: expected range $233.50 to $239.50 at 68% confidence. Settled at $237.28: no directional call, score 54.3.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 3 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $236.56 |
| Price the model reported | $236.58 |
| Expected range | $233.50 to $239.50 |
| Confidence | 68% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $237.28 |
| Traded range in the window | $233.60 to $237.86 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 54.3 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Real-time financial feeds show NVDA trading at $236.58 as of 11:05 AM EDT (15:05 UTC) on October 2, 2026, up +2.48% from the previous session close of $230.86.
(2) The immediate market regime is driven by robust semiconductor momentum, with NVDA breaking out past $235 and printing an intraday high near its 52-week peak of $237.88 on elevated morning volume.
(3) Using an estimated intraday volatility range of ~2.5% over the 1-day forecast period, key support is established near the morning low of $234.53 and resistance sits around the 52-week high of $237.88-$239.50.
(4) Primary short-term drivers include broader tech sector ETF rebalancing and market response to recent macroeconomic interest rate expectations, with no immediate earnings shock expected within the next 24 hours.
(5) The key counter-argument is potential profit-taking following a test of the 52-week high ($237.88), which would invalidate the short-term bullish thesis if price drops below $234.00.
(6) Confidence is set at 68% due to high prevailing liquidity and steady buying pressure, though ultra-short-term technical resistance near record highs adds moderate variance.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $232.50 to $241.00 | 58% | No directional call | 53.3 |
| Perplexity | $232.50 to $239.50 | 58% | Direction called correctly | 81.4 |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $232.00 to $243.00 | 67% | Direction called correctly | 82.0 |
| claude-opus-5-5 | $230.50 to $244.50 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.4 |
| Grok 4 | $230.00 to $242.00 | 42% | Direction called correctly | 79.2 |
| DeepSeek | $233.00 to $242.00 | 55% | Direction called correctly | 81.1 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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