ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 13 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $231.50 to $242.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $242.09: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What I found: A CNBC real-time quote page showed NVDA at $237.49 (+1.51%) at 9:51 AM EDT on Oct 5, 2026, which is about 13:51 UTC and roughly 45 minutes before the window start. A Motley Fool article dated Oct 5 showed $237.02 to $237.08, so the price was holding near $237…
Forecast made : expected range $232.50 to $241.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $242.09: no directional call. Score 51.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes as of the morning session on 5 Oct 2026 place NVDA near $237.07-$237.18 (TradeSmith, Stocknear, Investing.com), up roughly 1.3-1.4% on the day from the prior close of $233.95 on 2 Oct. Market cap approximately $5.6-5.7T. Recent daily…
Forecast made : expected range $231.25 to $241.75 at 62% confidence. Settled at $242.09: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.6.
(1) Market regime: NVIDIA is trading near $236.80 on October 5, close to its October 2 record-session high of $237.88. The latest market data shows the stock above its previous close of $233.95, while Foxconn reported third-quarter revenue of $95.39 billion, up 47% year over…
Forecast made : expected range $84,500.00 to $88,000.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $86,018.89: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) What I found: I retrieved live quotes from Yahoo Finance and Fortune showing Bitcoin at approximately $86,103 as of 7:00-7:37 AM ET on October 5, 2026, up from below $82,000 earlier in the week . ETF flow data confirmed a third consecutive week of net inflows at $241.1…
Forecast made : expected range $83,900.00 to $88,100.00 at 59% confidence. Settled at $86,018.89: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) Market regime: Binance.US reported BTC at $86,124.56 on October 5, with a 24-hour range of $85,098.47-$86,971.78. Independent coverage placed Bitcoin near $86,000 and described a third consecutive week of positive U.S. spot-ETF flows, while softer U.S. employment data reduced…
Forecast made : expected range $84,800.00 to $88,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $86,018.89: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from multiple sources (Yahoo Finance BTC-USD \~$86,382, Binance.US \~$86,470, Investing.com \~$86,444, Crypto.com and others clustering $86,000-$86,600) as of early-to-mid session on 5 Oct 2026 place BTC near $86,400. 24h change roughly…
Forecast made : expected range $83,600.00 to $88,800.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $86,018.89: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) What I found: A Yahoo Finance quote showed BTC-USD at $86,305.25 as of 14:29 UTC on Oct 5, 2026, up about 1.2% on the day. Other Oct 5 sources put it between about $85,360 (CoinGecko snapshot) and $86,377, so I use the Yahoo quote as the baseline. The same Yahoo article says…
Forecast made : expected range $84,700.00 to $89,300.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $86,018.89: direction called incorrectly. Score 42.6.
(1) Current evidence: Investing.com showed BTC at $86,655 around 10:13 ET on October 5, with today's range at $85,416-$86,995. ChartExchange independently showed $86,301 at 09:49 ET. Bitcoin entered the window after a strong weekend: Investing.com records October 4 at +2.10%.…
Forecast made : expected range $84,800.00 to $88,000.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $86,018.89: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) According to live pricing data as of 14:30 UTC on October 5, 2026, Bitcoin is trading around $86,259. Financial reports from Pluang and The Economic Times highlight a crypto market rebound, with BTC edging above $86,000 following a weak US jobs report and expectations of…
Forecast made : expected range $84,200.00 to $88,200.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $86,018.89: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What you found, and where: BTC trading around $86,124 per Finnhub (current price $86,124.2, open $85,181.34, high $86,999.11) [8409618082330046053†L17-L21], OKX quotes $86,857.1 up 2.62% [8409618082330046053†L27-L31], CoinGabbar reports $86,679.20 up 2.3% as of Oct 5 1:30 UTC…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $86,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $85,560.39: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What I found and where: BTC is trading around $85,000 as of October 4, 2026, per Gate market data cited by ChainCatcher and CoinMarketCap figures around $84,770. The asset printed a high of $86,913 earlier in the week before retracing to the $85,000 area. Spot Bitcoin ETFs…
Forecast made : expected range $83,300.00 to $87,100.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $85,560.39: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What I found: Quotes retrieved on 2026-10-04 cluster tightly around $84,700-$85,300. CoinDesk showed about $84,875 at 1:35 am EDT. Investing.com showed about $85,243 on the Oct 4 daily bar, with an intraday high near $85,335. A market ticker on a Stockpil page showed about…
Forecast made : expected range $83,800.00 to $86,400.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $85,560.39: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from multiple sources on 4 October 2026 (Investing.com, OKX historical, MyTrade, StatMuse, Binance.US, MarketBeat) place BTC between roughly $85,100 and $85,300, with the day’s range so far about $84,700-$85,430. Recent closes show 3 Oct…
Forecast made : expected range $83,200.00 to $87,400.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $85,560.39: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is trading around $85,100 on October 4, 2026, after reclaiming its one-year moving average for the first time in ten months and posting a 40% gain in Q3 2026. Spot U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have flipped back to net inflows in early October after weeks of…
Forecast made : expected range $84,300.00 to $86,600.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $85,560.39: direction called correctly. Score 82.1.
(1) Live market data retrieved on October 4, 2026, prices BTC at approximately $85,284. Recent reports highlight strong September spot ETF inflows totaling $2.65 billion, which is supporting a steady opening to the month of October. (2) The current market regime is characterized…
Forecast made : expected range $84,200.00 to $86,400.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $85,560.39: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quotes for Oct 4, 2026: Finnhub via search result shows Current Price 85278.44 with Open 84822.01 High 85428.01 Low 84558 【4550741180452171788†L17-L22】, ConvexTrade shows $85,280.6 as of October 4, 2026 【4550741180452171788†L25-L28】,…
Forecast made : expected range $83,400.00 to $87,500.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $85,560.39: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) What I found: Live pricing was tightly clustered around $85.2K at the time of research: CoinMarketCap reported approximately $85,179 with BTC up about 0.46% over 24 hours, while CoinGecko reported roughly $85,186 and a similar modest daily gain. I therefore use $85,180 as the…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $86,200.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $86,342.23: direction called incorrectly. Score 12.8.
(1) What I found, and where: CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap data show BTC trading near $84,575 on Oct. 3, 2026, down 1.7% over 24 hours and off a 24-hour intraday high of $87,085, per Buzz FX (news.bitcoin.com). The rejection at the $87,000 channel top coincided with whale wallets…
Forecast made : expected range $82,900.00 to $86,700.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $86,342.23: no directional call. Score 52.2.
(1) What I found: The freshest quotes I could retrieve are from about 19:16 UTC on Oct 3, which is roughly 3.5 hours before the window start, so I label the data partial. Yahoo Finance showed BTC-USD at about $84,882 at 19:16 UTC (finance.yahoo.com). CryptoTicker, citing…
Forecast made : expected range $83,800.00 to $86,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $86,342.23: direction called correctly. Score 78.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Multiple live sources as of 2026-10-03 show BTC trading near $84,700-$84,900. CoinDesk reported $84,765, MarketWatch/CoinDesk Index $84,935 (earlier), Investing.com ~$84,772, Twelve Data $84,728, Economies.com $84,869, and exchange quotes clustered…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $87,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $86,342.23: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is consolidating after a third consecutive weekly gain, having briefly touched ~$87,200 on October 2 before pulling back into the $84,000-$85,000 zone. ETF flows have been a key driver, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posting $102.7 million in net inflows…
Forecast made : expected range $83,200.00 to $86,500.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $86,342.23: no directional call. Score 53.6.
(1) I retrieved live market data for October 3, 2026, finding Bitcoin trading at $84,787 as of the 22:46 UTC baseline. Recent reporting from Bitcoin.com and Pluang highlights a sharp rejection from $87,085 followed by tight consolidation. (2) The immediate market regime is a…
Forecast made : expected range $83,800.00 to $86,100.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $86,342.23: direction called correctly. Score 79.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote as of window start 2026-10-03 from Finnhub market data page showing BTC Current Price 84,802, Open 84,508.03, High 85,037.63, Low 84,456.02 on Binance, corroborated by mmfx.vvip-members.com real-time overview reporting…
Forecast made : expected range $82,900.00 to $87,600.00 at 61% confidence. Settled at $86,342.23: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) What I found, and where: Bitcoin was trading around $84.8K-$84.9K near the requested window. CoinDesk's live price page showed approximately $84,834-$84,939 during successive current crawls, while The Block showed about $84,786; I therefore use $84,900 as the reference price…
Forecast made : expected range $335.00 to $347.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $341.47: direction called correctly. Score 80.5.
(1) What I found and where: GOOG closed Oct 1 at $334.93, down 1.71%, despite launching Gemini 4 Argon after the prior close. The stock rose ~2% in premarket but faded during the session. On Oct 2, the September NFP report came in at just 29,000 jobs versus 84,000 expected, with…
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