ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 12 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $84,800.00 to $87,800.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $82,947.83: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Multiple live sources on 6 October 2026 place Bitcoin near $86,000-$86,600. OKX and BitKan show the day opening near $85,267-$85,767 with highs around $86,483-$86,538 and recent trades near $86,095-$86,386. MyTrade and MetaTrader quotes cluster…
Forecast made : expected range $84,000.00 to $88,200.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $82,947.83: direction called correctly. Score 77.3.
(1) What I found, and where: CoinDesk's live markets page showed BTC at approximately $86,291.86 immediately after the 2026-10-06 14:54 UTC baseline, so I use $86,292 as the anchor. Earlier on October 6, BTC had been rejected near $87,000 for the third time since September 23,…
Forecast made : expected range $84,600.00 to $87,600.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $82,947.83: no directional call. Score 48.1.
(1) What I found and where: I retrieved quotes and market colour dated October 6, 2026, the window start date. Multiple sources cluster the spot price in the mid-$86,000s: a WSJ-sourced MarketScreener tick showed BTC +0.6% at $86,270, a Greek midday report had $86,111, a…
Forecast made : expected range $84,800.00 to $87,400.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $82,947.83: direction called correctly. Score 73.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote retrieval as of Oct 6, 2026. Finnhub via search shows BTC Current Price $86,340, Open $85,649.45, High $86,488, Low $84,972.01 【4946480173862092502†L12-L16】. Convextrade live card reports Bitcoin: $86,286.5 on Oct 6, 2026…
Forecast made : expected range $84,300.00 to $88,300.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $82,947.83: no directional call. Score 49.2.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com) showed BTC-USD at about $86,263 (+0.75%) as of 14:49 UTC on 2026-10-06. The same article said Tuesday's open was $85,750.58. Fortune (fortune.com) put it at $86,281 at 7:30 a.m. ET. CoinLore (coinlore.com) listed a 24h range of…
Forecast made : expected range $84,800.00 to $88,500.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $82,947.83: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.7.
(1) Data retrieval: I retrieved live pricing and market data from Google Search indexing currency exchange APIs and crypto market reports, placing Bitcoin at approximately $86,511 as of 14:55 UTC on October 6, 2026. Recent reports from Economic Times and Pluang were used to…
Forecast made : expected range $84,500.00 to $88,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $82,947.83: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is trading near $86,200 on October 6, 2026, having repeatedly failed to clear the $87,000-$87,570 resistance zone since late September. Multiple sources report BTC hovering between $85,500 and $86,300 with sellers rejecting moves above $87,000, while…
Forecast made : expected range $521.00 to $534.00 at 61% confidence. Settled at $534.33: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) What I found: I retrieved a live intraday quote from East Money's US stock feed showing MSFT at $527.519, up 1.93%, as of October 5, 2026, 22:37 Beijing time (14:37 UTC) . This is corroborated by Kraken's tokenized stock feed showing MSFT at $515.61, though that feed appears…
Forecast made : expected range $517.00 to $540.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $534.33: direction called correctly. Score 82.0.
(1) Current evidence: YCharts reported MSFT at $526.17 at 10:33 ET on October 5, up 1.67% from Friday's $517.53 close. Investing.com independently showed approximately $526.18 and today's range of $521.53-$532.35. Melius Research upgraded Microsoft from Hold to Buy today with a…
Forecast made : expected range $518.00 to $540.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $534.33: direction called correctly. Score 78.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes as of the morning session on 5 Oct 2026 place MSFT near $526-$531 (stockanalysis.com \~$525.98, TradeSmith \~$531.35, Markets Insider \~$529.68), up roughly 1.6-2.7% from the prior close of $517.53 on 2 Oct. Day range so far…
Forecast made : expected range $516.00 to $537.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $534.33: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports MSFT current price $526.6, open $521.62, high $532.35, low $521.47, previous close $517.53 up 1.7526% [7217634551504084277†L17-L24]. Midforex as of Oct 5 ET reports $517.53, up 0.26% 7d [7217634551504084277†L27-L30]. Hexn.io reports…
Forecast made : expected range $518.50 to $534.50 at 63% confidence. Settled at $534.33: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) Market regime: Microsoft was quoted at $526.03 at 10:50:37 a.m. Eastern on October 5, up $8.50 or 1.64% on the day. The quote is intraday and therefore satisfies the requested live-price requirement; the prior regular-session close was $517.53. Source:…
Forecast made : expected range $513.50 to $538.50 at 57% confidence. Settled at $534.33: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What I found: A Finviz quote page showed MSFT at $525.83 (+$8.30, +1.60%) as of 10:52 AM ET on Oct 5, 2026, which is 14:52 UTC and just after the 14:50 UTC window start. The prior close was $517.53. A 24/7 Wall St. article published at 10:02 AM ET had it at $527.29 (up about…
Forecast made : expected range $520.00 to $535.00 at 80% confidence. Settled at $534.33: direction called correctly. Score 83.5.
(1) I retrieved live market data for October 5, 2026. As of 14:50 UTC, Microsoft (MSFT) is trading at approximately $525.98, up over 1.6% for the session. According to Pluang and Zacks Investment Research, the stock is being lifted by an upgrade from Melius Research to a Buy…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $344.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $344.49: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What I found: Google Finance and eToro both show GOOG (Class C) at $340.35 as of the October 2, 2026 regular-session close, up 1.62% on the day . The Motley Fool confirms a last close of $340.35 with after-hours at $339.98 . A Chinese-language financial source corroborates…
Forecast made : expected range $335.50 to $349.50 at 59% confidence. Settled at $344.49: direction called correctly. Score 81.1.
(1) Current evidence: StockAnalysis reported GOOG at $341.37 at 10:25 AM EDT on October 5, up 0.30% from Friday's $340.35 close. Google Finance independently showed $341.09 at 9:58:55 AM EDT, with today's range at $339.15-$342.44. Friday itself was constructive: MarketWatch…
Forecast made : expected range $336.00 to $347.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $344.49: no directional call. Score 52.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes as of the morning session on 5 Oct 2026 place GOOG near $341.25-$341.46 (stockanalysis.com, TradeSmith), up roughly 0.3% from the prior close of $340.35 on 2 Oct. Day range so far approximately $339-$342. Market cap around $4.18T.…
Forecast made : expected range $336.00 to $347.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $344.49: no directional call. Score 53.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports GOOG current price $341.54, open $339.21, high $342.44, low $339.15, previous close $340.35 up 0.3496%. Midforex as of Oct 5 ET reports $340.35 on NASDAQ, 7-day -0.21%. Hexn.io reports $340 with low 7d $335 high $349, market cap…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $347.00 at 80% confidence. Settled at $344.49: direction called correctly. Score 83.3.
(1) I retrieved live market data for October 5, 2026. As of 14:40 UTC, Alphabet (GOOG) is trading at approximately $341.10. Recent news from TipRanks and Pluang indicates strong AI-driven momentum, notably the launch of Google's new frontier AI model, Gemini 4 Argon, which…
Forecast made : expected range $331.50 to $350.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $344.49: no directional call. Score 52.6.
(1) What I found: GOOG was quoted at $341.02 (+0.20%) in a Motley Fool article dated Oct 5, 2026, and at about $340.61 to $340.84 in two 24/7 Wall St. pages published at 9:55 AM and 10:00 AM ET. Those quotes are 30 to 50 minutes before the 14:43 UTC window start, so I could not…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $345.75 at 58% confidence. Settled at $344.49: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) Market regime: Alphabet Class C was quoted at $341.32 on October 5, up $0.97 or 0.28% from the prior close of $340.35. The stock is trading near the upper portion of its reported daily range, but the move is modest and the intraday tape is mixed. Source:…
Forecast made : expected range $234.00 to $242.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $242.09: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
(1) What I found: Live intraday quotes from Moomoo show NVDA trading at $237.545 as of 9:52 AM ET on October 5, up 1.54% from Friday's close . Friday's regular session closed at $233.95 after hitting an all-time intraday high of $237.88 . Premarket indications on Monday showed…
Forecast made : expected range $232.50 to $243.50 at 64% confidence. Settled at $242.09: direction called correctly. Score 81.6.
(1) Current evidence: Charles Schwab reported NVDA at $237.12 at 10:02 ET on October 5, up 1.35%, after opening at $236.09; its intraday range was $235.15-$237.86. Investing.com independently showed $236.74 at 09:37 ET and an intraday high of $237.78. Friday's close was $233.95…
Forecast made : expected range $232.50 to $241.00 at 61% confidence. Settled at $242.09: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub reports NVDA current price $237.06, open $236.09, high $237.86, low $235.15, previous close $233.95 up 1.3293% [6924988529165467429†L17-L24]. Midforex confirms trading at $233.95 as of Oct 5 ET up 3.95% 7d [6924988529165467429†L27-L30].…
Forecast made : expected range $234.00 to $242.00 at 85% confidence. Settled at $242.09: direction called correctly. Score 84.0.
(1) Data retrieved: I retrieved live market data for October 5, 2026. NVDA is currently trading around $237.09 as of the window start, extending recent gains from the previous close of $233.95. A GuruFocus report from today highlights strong fundamentals and undervalued metrics,…
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