ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 11 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $85,500.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $82,528.56: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What I found: At the window start BTC was trading near $83,700, down roughly 2-3% over 24 hours, after a third failed attempt to reclaim $87,000. Fortune's Oct 7 snapshot put BTC at $83,759 at 7:15 a.m. ET; Investing.com's Oct 7 analysis had BTC at $83.9K; Benzinga (8:26 a.m.…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $85,200.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $82,528.56: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live price checks for Oct 7, 2026 show BTC trading around $83k-$84k. Finnhub via search shows $83,043.48 current with $86,698 high $82,787 low 【6110517143511351655†L12-L16】, Convex shows $83,627 on Oct 7 【7376370236836987167†L32-L36】, CoinDesk…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $85,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $82,528.56: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from CoinDesk ($83,180), Binance.US (~$83,087), NowPrice ($83,146) and Bitbo (~$83,026) place BTC near $83,150 as of ~14:40-14:50 UTC on 7 Oct 2026. 24h range roughly $82,717-$86,700. News from CoinDesk, Bloomberg and CoinGlass shows a…
Forecast made : expected range $80,500.00 to $86,200.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $82,528.56: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) What I found: Coinbase's live Bitcoin page showed BTC at approximately $83,712 near the forecast start, down about 2.6% over 24 hours, with elevated trading volume. Earlier October 7 reporting showed an intraday break below $84,000 and lows around $83,300-$83,600 after…
Forecast made : expected range $523.00 to $538.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $526.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What I found: MSFT closed Monday 2026-10-05 at $525.18 (+1.48%) and was quoted at $529.72 in pre-market on 2026-10-06 (Robinhood), with other feeds showing $528.13-$529.88 (eToro, Kabutan, Schwab). The 52-week high is $553.72 and the all-time high is roughly $556.26…
Forecast made : expected range $516.00 to $539.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $526.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 20.8.
(1) What I found: MSFT closed the Oct 5, 2026 session at $525.18 (+1.48%), with a day range of $521.47-$532.35 and volume near 27M, per stockanalysis.com and Morningstar. Pre-market on Oct 6 was quoted at $529.99 (stockanalysis.com). I could not retrieve a quote stamped at the…
Forecast made : expected range $526.00 to $545.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $526.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com, Yahoo Finance, CNBC, Motley Fool and others show MSFT trading near $533.5-$534.4 as of ~11:00-11:10 AM EDT on 2026-10-06 (matching the 15:09 UTC window start), up roughly 1.6-1.7% on the day from the prior close…
Forecast made : expected range $525.00 to $545.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $526.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) Market regime: Microsoft is trading at $534.11 as of 10:52 a.m. EDT on October 6, 2026, up 1.70% on the session after closing at $525.18 on October 5 [17]. The stock has recovered from a multi-month slump that left it with a negative one-year return through early October, and…
Forecast made : expected range $528.00 to $542.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $526.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.0.
(1) Data retrieved live across financial portals (Nasdaq, TradingView, Fidelity) prices MSFT at $534.25. Recent news from MarketBeat and GuruFocus highlights a heavy $1.74 billion ETF inflow on October 2 and a fresh upgrade from Melius Research raising its target to $665. (2) The…
Forecast made : expected range $527.50 to $542.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $526.32: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub quote shows Current Price 534.045, Open 531.68, High 535.69, Low 528.78, Previous Close 525.18, +1.688% on day【2867675635092476090†L17-L24】. StockAnalysis confirms Real-Time Price $534.67 on Oct 6, 2026 10:16 AM…
Forecast made : expected range $523.00 to $538.00 at 61% confidence. Settled at $526.32: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) What I found, and where: The freshest directly timestamped MSFT quote I could verify was $530.14 at 08:53 ET on October 6 from Investing.com, versus the October 5 Nasdaq close of $525.18. Finviz independently showed $530.35 at 08:38 ET. Because those quotes precede the…
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $351.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $342.27: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What I found: GOOG closed Oct 5, 2026 at $343.83, up 1.02%, with pre-market indications near $345.35 and GOOGL trading around $345.76 shortly after the open (Yahoo Finance, moomoo). The stock has recovered from an Oct 1 low of $334.93 and is coiling in a well-defined…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $351.50 at 45% confidence. Settled at $342.27: no directional call. Score 52.6.
(1) What I found: stockanalysis.com history (S&P Global data) shows GOOG closing at $343.21 on Oct 5, after $340.35 on Oct 2 and $334.93 on Oct 1. The Oct 1 session was volatile, with a range of $332.65 to $350.09. A Yahoo Finance page for GOOGL, dated 10/6/2026, showed $348.04,…
Forecast made : expected range $339.00 to $351.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $342.27: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance showed GOOG at $344.82 (+0.29%) as of approximately 10:45 AM EDT on 2026-10-06, with previous close $343.83, open $344.64, and intraday range $341.70-$345.20. StockAnalysis and other sources corroborated prices in the…
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $351.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $342.27: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) Market regime: GOOG entered October with elevated volatility after falling from a 2026 high of $404.47 to a recent low of $332.65, but the latest session recovered to $344.14 and pre-market trading showed $345.74. The short-term regime is therefore a volatile rebound rather…
Forecast made : expected range $341.00 to $348.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $342.27: no directional call. Score 54.9.
(1) Search results from Google Finance and Morningstar show GOOG trading at $344.32 as of 11:05 AM EDT on October 6, 2026. News today highlights a newly filed securities fraud class action regarding development delays in the Gemini 3.5 Pro model, though the underlying stock drop…
Forecast made : expected range $340.50 to $347.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $342.27: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What you found, and where: GOOG was trading at $344.29 as of 2026-10-06 14:45:00 ET, up 0.13% from prior close $343.83 on 【entity-NASDAQ¦canonical_name=Nasdaq】 per MEXC live quote feed. Finnhub snapshot same day shows Current Price $344.31, Open $344.64, High $345.20, Low…
Forecast made : expected range $339.00 to $350.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $342.27: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What I found: The closest directly timestamped GOOG quote I retrieved was $343.89 at 10:32:03 AM EDT on October 6, about 32 minutes before the requested 15:04 UTC baseline, so I classify data access as partial rather than live. ChartExchange showed GOOG near its 50-day SMA of…
Forecast made : expected range $237.00 to $246.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $237.19: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) What I found: NVDA closed at a record $238.90 on October 5, 2026, then opened October 6 at $242.10 and printed an intraday all-time high of $243.37 before easing to around $241.50 by the window start, per Yahoo Finance historical data, Sina Finance's 09:45 ET quote of…
Forecast made : expected range $237.00 to $248.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $237.19: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance showed NVDA at $242.13 (+1.35%) at 10:36 AM EDT on Oct 6 (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/). The day range at that point was $240.76-$243.37, and Google Finance and Investing.com showed similar prints near $241.5-$242. The Oct 5 close was…
Forecast made : expected range $238.00 to $248.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $237.19: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance as of ~11:00 AM EDT on 2026-10-06 show NVDA at $242.42 (+1.47% from prior close of $238.90), with intraday range $240.76-$243.37 and new 52-week high at $243.37. Multiple sources (CNBC, StockAnalysis, TradeSmith)…
Forecast made : expected range $238.50 to $246.80 at 62% confidence. Settled at $237.19: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.0.
(1) Market regime and price discovery: NVDA is trading near all-time highs around $242 as of the 14:59 UTC window start on October 6, 2026, having closed at $238.90 on October 5 and gapped higher into the open. Intraday data from multiple sources (CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketBeat)…
Forecast made : expected range $238.00 to $248.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $237.19: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.1.
(1) Data sources: Retrieved live pricing data via Google Finance showing NVDA trading at $242.42 as of 15:00 UTC on October 6, 2026. Additional market context from GuruFocus and Kalkine Media highlighted the previous day's record close of $238.90 and the narrative of an…
Forecast made : expected range $238.50 to $246.50 at 56% confidence. Settled at $237.19: no directional call. Score 51.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Current quote retrieved via web search: Finnhub live data shows NVDA Current Price $242.29, Open $242.10, High $243.37, Low $240.76 vs Previous Close $238.90【5671616365664112707†L17-L23】. StockAnalysis confirms prior close $238.90 at Oct 5 2026 4:00…
Forecast made : expected range $236.00 to $250.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $237.19: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.6.
(1) What I found: NVDA closed October 5 at $238.90 after gaining 2.12%, with the prior session range at $235.15-$240.10. A delayed intraday quote showed $241.94 at 09:52 ET on October 6, up 1.27%, with an intraday range of $240.76-$243.37; Reuters subsequently described Nvidia as…
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