ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 10 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $219.00 at 10% confidence. Settled at $349.16: no directional call. Score 1.0.
(1) Data Access & Market Regime: Operating with stale data due to system restrictions on live web search. The baseline price of $215.50 is an estimation based on historical growth trajectories from 2024 through late 2026 for the mega-cap tech sector, rather than a live quote. (2)…
Forecast made : expected range $343.50 to $352.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $349.16: direction called incorrectly. Score 57.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Current quote retrieved live on Oct 8 2026: $347.37 previous close and $349.225 intraday current price from Finnhub market data page, with open $349.645 high $353.53 low $347.335. Second source midforex.com dated Oct 8 2026 7:00 AM ET confirms…
Forecast made : expected range $341.00 to $356.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $349.16: direction called incorrectly. Score 58.3.
(1) Market data and sources: Stock Analysis reported GOOG at $348.04 as of October 8, 2026, 10:02 AM EDT (14:02 UTC), up 0.19% from its October 7 close of $347.37. The source reported an October 8 opening price of $349.65 and approximately 3.34 million shares traded. This is a…
Forecast made : expected range $80,300.00 to $84,300.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $82,999.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) What I found: BTC is trading near $82,600 on Oct 8, 2026, after a sharp selloff from the mid-$85,000s. Sources across the day put the spot price between $82,323 (Bitfinex) and $83,321 (KuCoin's daily report), with Fortune quoting $82,622 at 7 a.m. ET, 99bitcoins reporting…
Forecast made : expected range $80,300.00 to $84,600.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $82,999.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.8.
(1) What I found: Quotes dated October 7 and early October 8 put BTC in a narrow band. Fortune showed $83,759 at 7:15 a.m. ET on Oct 7 versus $86,281 a day earlier. Bloomberg reported a low of $83,248 on Oct 7, with roughly $550-650 million of leveraged positions liquidated.…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $84,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $82,999.78: no directional call. Score 52.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (as of ~14:20 UTC 8 Oct 2026) show BTC at $82,524.52, with day range $81,981-$83,427. Corroborating sources (CoinGecko-linked reports, OKX history, GuruFocus, Investing.com) place the print in the low-to-mid $82k zone…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $85,400.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $82,999.78: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is trading near $82,950 as of midday UTC on October 8, 2026, after failing three attempts to break above the $87,000-$87,700 zone and slipping below $84,000 amid a $550-$700 million liquidation wave and a spike in oil, yields, and the dollar [2][5][8].…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $84,200.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $82,999.78: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) What I found and where: According to live Google Finance market data, BTC is trading at $82,481 as of 14:20 UTC on October 8, 2026. Recent reports from Bitcoinfoundation.org indicate a crypto sell-off wiping out $550 million in leveraged bets, pushing prices below the $83,000…
Forecast made : expected range $80,200.00 to $84,100.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $82,999.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Current price from Finnhub via search shows BTC $82,506.45 with open $83,048.01, high $83,681.91, low $81,773.43, down 0.65% on day. CoinDesk Oct 8 2026 12:00am EDT reports BTC broke below $83,000 to $82,800, breach of recent low, with $550M in long…
Forecast made : expected range $79,800.00 to $84,500.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $82,999.78: direction called incorrectly. Score 42.9.
(1) Data and sources: October 8, 2026 market data from Investing.com Coinbase BTC/USD shows approximately $82,783, with an intraday low near $82,256 and high near $83,459. The precise executable quote at 14:21 UTC could not be independently verified, so $82,783 is the closest…
Forecast made : expected range $521.00 to $538.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $530.38: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) What I found and where: Per Yahoo Finance historical data, MSFT closed at $529.30 on Oct 6, 2026 (open $531.68, high $535.69, low $528.78) on 21.09M shares. Intraday prints on Oct 7 from eToro ($529.27), Schwab ($527.095 as of 9:52am ET), and blockchain.news ($530.38) bracket…
Forecast made : expected range $515.00 to $533.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $530.38: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub market data retrieved Oct 7 shows Current Price 525.38, Open 530.725, High 531.66, Low 524.69, Prev Close 529.30, down -0.74% on day【8663200447769784709†L17-L23】. Blockchain.News Oct 6 12:29 UTC notes tokenized MSFT pinned at 528.30 with RSI…
Forecast made : expected range $521.00 to $536.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $530.38: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) What I found, and where: The closest verifiable intraday NASDAQ quote I retrieved was $527.06 at 9:50 AM EDT on October 7, down 0.42%, after opening at $530.73 and reaching $531.66. The prior session closed at $529.30 after gains of 0.78% on October 6 and 1.48% on October 5.…
Forecast made : expected range $515.00 to $535.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $530.38: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com show MSFT at $525.34 (-0.75%) as of 11:00 AM EDT on 2026-10-07, with previous close $529.30, open $530.73, day range $525.68-$531.66, and 52-week range $349.20-$553.72. ATR is approximately $11.7 (Aiolux and…
Forecast made : expected range $516.00 to $536.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $530.38: no directional call. Score 52.7.
(1) What I found: Investing.com historical data shows MSFT closed at 529.30 on Oct 6, 2026 (+0.78%), after 525.18 on Oct 5 (+1.48%, Melius upgrade to Buy with a $665 target, per stockanalysis.com). A Yahoo Finance item timestamped 8:41 AM EDT on Oct 7 showed MSFT down 0.76% in…
Forecast made : expected range $519.00 to $532.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $530.38: no directional call. Score 54.0.
(1) I retrieved live pricing and news for MSFT as of October 7, 2026, finding the stock trading near $525.13. Key recent developments include a Melius Research upgrade to a Buy rating with a $665 projected level, and reports from Investing.com highlighting fiscal 2026 revenue of…
Forecast made : expected range $233.50 to $241.50 at 62% confidence. Settled at $236.50: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
(1) What I found: NVDA closed at $239.24 on Oct 6, 2026, after printing a record intraday high of $243.37, according to Yahoo Finance and stockanalysis.com. Pre-market on Oct 7 shows weakness around $237.45-$237.70 (TipRanks, TradingView). Key news includes SpaceX seeking $40…
Forecast made : expected range $233.50 to $243.50 at 61% confidence. Settled at $236.50: direction called incorrectly. Score 38.7.
(1) What I found: NVDA closed October 6 at $239.24 after reaching an intraday record of $243.37, according to StockAnalysis and Wall Street Journal market data. Reuters reported at 9:43 a.m. ET on October 7 that Nvidia was down about 0.7%; applying that move to the prior $239.24…
Forecast made : expected range $234.00 to $241.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $236.50: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance, CNBC, StockAnalysis and Motley Fool show NVDA trading near $237.90 (down ~0.5-0.7% from the prior close of $239.24) as of mid-morning EDT on 7 Oct 2026, with the day’s range so far $237.06-$239.08. The stock set a new…
Forecast made : expected range $232.00 to $245.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $236.50: direction called correctly. Score 68.2.
(1) What I found: NVDA was quoted at $239.94 on October 7, 2026, with an intraday range of $238.93-$243.37 and a 52-week high of $243.37, according to Robinhood’s stock page. The prior close was $239.24, and the stock had reached a fresh all-time intraday high the day before.…
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $348.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $348.35: direction called correctly. Score 79.7.
(1) What I found: GOOG (Class C) closed on Oct 6, 2026, at $344.59, up 0.22%, per Yahoo Finance and stockanalysis.com; GOOGL (Class A) closed at $347.68. Pre-market indications on Oct 7 showed GOOG around $343.25 (stockanalysis.com), a modest pullback. Analyst consensus is Strong…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $347.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $348.35: no directional call. Score 51.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub market data as of Oct 7 2026 shows GOOG trading at $342.525, open $343.68, day high $344.01, low $340.28, previous close $344.59, down -0.59%【5348848831653129058†L34-L44】. MidForex snapshot as of Oct 7 2026 ET reports GOOG at $344.59 and up…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $350.00 at 61% confidence. Settled at $348.35: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.5.
(1) What I found, and where: Yahoo Finance showed GOOG at $344.57 at 10:53:41 AM EDT on October 7, approximately two minutes after the requested 14:51 UTC baseline, so I use $344.57 as the closest retrieved live anchor. GOOG closed October 6 at $344.59 after trading between…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $353.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $348.35: no directional call. Score 51.7.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve any quote dated at or after the 2026-10-07 14:51 UTC window start. The newest dated data was from August 2026. GOOGL closed at $344.20 on 2026-08-18 (stockanalysis.com/stocks/googl/history), and GOOG closed at $343.94 on 2026-08-14…
Forecast made : expected range $338.50 to $346.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $348.35: no directional call. Score 50.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (as of 10:48 AM EDT / ~14:48 UTC on 2026-10-07) show GOOG at $342.77, down 0.53% from prior close of $344.59, with day's range $340.28-$344.00. StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat corroborate prior close $344.59 and…
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