ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 9 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $84,000.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $83,839.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) What I found and where: Multiple sources dated October 10, 2026 show BTC trading in a narrow band around $82,700-$82,900. CoinGecko reported $82,726, Investing.com quoted $82,790.9 at 11:18 GMT, and KuCoin showed $82,630.7. The price recovered from a Thursday low of $80,350…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $84,500.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $83,839.25: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) Data retrieval: Live market data as of October 10, 2026, 16:45 UTC, shows Bitcoin trading at approximately $82,985. Recent news from earlier in the day highlights Bitcoin's recovery above the $83,000 mark after testing lower support levels near $80,400 earlier in the week.…
Forecast made : expected range $80,900.00 to $84,300.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $83,839.25: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What I found: Quotes retrieved on 2026-10-10 cluster tightly around $82,500-$82,950. Bybit shows $82,567 with a 24h range of $82,004-$83,398. Coinbase shows $82,567.49, CoinGecko shows $82,954.53 (24h low $82,229), and Bitget shows $82,583 (24h range $81,557-$83,418). I use…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $84,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $83,839.25: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch (CoinDesk XBX at ~$82,952 as of 12:15 p.m. EDT), Bitcoin.com News ($82,816 earlier Saturday), NowPrice ($83,048), Binance.US (~$82,978), GuruFocus daily close 82,499.98 for 2026-10-10, and multiple OHLC tables (OKX,…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $84,800.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $83,839.25: no directional call. Score 53.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub via search result 8278616083123936331 reports BTC at $83,050 on Binance with intraday high $83,080.98 low $82,285.71 on Oct 10 2026; StatMuse [8278616083123936331†L55-L57] quotes $82,987.14 up 0.5% and Convex [8278616083123936331†L22-L25]…
Forecast made : expected range $80,600.00 to $84,500.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $83,839.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What I found: Multiple same-day sources place BTC near $82,700-$82,800 on October 10, 2026, after a rebound from roughly $80,400 earlier in the week. CoinGecko-based reporting cited $82,726, while Perplexity Finance showed $82,754.92 at 9:50 AM ET; I use $82,750 as the…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $84,400.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $83,839.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) Market data: CoinGecko displayed BTC at $82,985.93, with a reported 24-hour range of $82,229.11-$83,000.33 (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin). ChartExchange reported $82,908.07 at 15:19:43 UTC on October 10, with today's high at $83,160…
Forecast made : expected range $520.00 to $535.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $531.47: direction called incorrectly. Score 50.0.
(1) What I found: MSFT closed Wednesday Oct 7 at $529.76, up 0.09%, on 16.8M shares, with an intraday range of $524.69-$531.73, per Yahoo Finance and stockanalysis.com. Pre-market on Oct 8 was quoted around $529.58-$530.05 (Motley Fool, Kabutan). The broad tape is under pressure:…
Forecast made : expected range $523.00 to $542.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $531.47: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) Price discovery and sources: StockAnalysis reported MSFT at $532.26 as of October 8, 2026, 09:59 EDT (13:59 UTC), up 0.47% from its $529.76 previous close, with an intraday range of $528.52-$533.51. Source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/. The quote is approximately 24…
Forecast made : expected range $524.00 to $538.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $531.47: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
(1) Market regime: Microsoft closed Wednesday at $529.76, essentially flat in pre-market around $530 on October 8, 2026. The stock has rallied more than 50% from its June lows and now trades within about 5% of its all-time high of $555.45, with technical indicators (expanding…
Forecast made : expected range $525.00 to $534.50 at 54% confidence. Settled at $531.47: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote data dated Oct 8, 2026. Finnhub data shows Current Price 530.1, Open 529.805, High 533.51, Low 528.5201, Previous Close 529.76 [6094019188730965210†L17-L22]. Multiple aggregators confirm $529.76 close as of Oct 8 ET…
Forecast made : expected range $521.00 to $539.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $531.47: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What I found, and where: The most recent verified quote I could retrieve is the Oct 7, 2026 close of $529.76 (up 0.09%, previous close $529.30). Yahoo Finance and stockanalysis.com both show that figure, with a day range of $524.69-$531.73. I found nothing dated Oct 8, so I…
Forecast made : expected range $524.00 to $538.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $531.47: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance at approximately 10:24 AM EDT on 2026-10-08 showed MSFT at $530.47 (+0.13% from prior close of $529.76), with day's range $528.52-$533.51 and volume still building. Stockanalysis.com and other sources confirmed similar…
Forecast made : expected range $526.00 to $535.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $531.47: no directional call. Score 54.9.
(1) Sources and findings: Live market data via Google Search shows MSFT trading at $530.23 as of 10:25 AM ET on October 8, 2026. Recent Zacks reporting notes a 41% 6-month gain driven by strong Azure and AI demand, while MarketBeat data reflects an ongoing 'Buy' consensus with an…
Forecast made : expected range $229.50 to $240.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $230.77: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) What I found: NVDA closed Wednesday Oct 7 at $237.47 (-0.74%) on an intraday range of $236.38-$239.08, after a string of record closing highs this week that peaked at $239.24 on Tuesday Oct 6 (Barron's, Oct 8). In Thursday's premarket the stock is lower, around $235.30, down…
Forecast made : expected range $231.00 to $246.00 at 35% confidence. Settled at $230.77: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.6.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a live quote dated at or after the window start. The latest verified datapoint is a Korea Economic Daily report (via stockhub.kr, dated Oct 6, 2026) that NVDA closed at $238.9 on Oct 5, up 2.1%, after an intraday high of $240.1 and a second…
Forecast made : expected range $231.00 to $242.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $230.77: no directional call. Score 52.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance as of ~10:24 AM EDT on 2026-10-08 show NVDA at $236.70 (down 0.32% on the day from prior close $237.47), with intraday range $233.71-$236.81 and volume already ~22M. StockAnalysis and Investing.com corroborate prices…
Forecast made : expected range $231.50 to $240.50 at 54% confidence. Settled at $230.77: no directional call. Score 52.1.
(1) Market regime: The latest available pre-market quote was $235.86 on October 8, 2026, after NVDA closed at $237.47 on October 7, according to CNN Markets. The stock remains near its 52-week high and above its 200-day moving average, but broader pre-market conditions were…
Forecast made : expected range $232.00 to $240.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $230.77: no directional call. Score 52.2.
(1) What I found and where: According to live Google Search finance data as of October 8, 2026, NVDA is trading at $236.00. Recent news highlights a new partnership with Microsoft for RTX Spark and AI agents announced on October 7, alongside continued strong AI infrastructure…
Forecast made : expected range $232.50 to $239.80 at 48% confidence. Settled at $230.77: no directional call. Score 50.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Current quote retrieved from Finnhub live data snapshot showing NVDA at $235.98, open $234.92, high $236.16, low $233.71, previous close $237.47, down -0.63% on the day【2297997199845770561†L17-L24】. StockAnalysis real-time feed corroborates $234.36…
Forecast made : expected range $229.50 to $238.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $230.77: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) Market data and sources: StockAnalysis reported NVDA at $234.14 as of 10:00 AM EDT (14:00 UTC) on October 8, 2026, down 1.40% from the October 7 close of $237.47. The October 8 opening price was $234.92, with a reported intraday high of $235.20 and low of $233.87. This is the…
Forecast made : expected range $345.00 to $358.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $349.16: direction called incorrectly. Score 59.2.
(1) What I found and where: Alphabet's Class C shares (GOOG) closed at $347.37 on Oct 7, 2026, up 0.81% on the day, per stockanalysis.com and Yahoo Finance; Class A (GOOGL) closed at $350.50, up 0.81%, per Fidelity and Gotrade. The Oct 7 intraday range was $340.28-$347.61 with an…
Forecast made : expected range $341.00 to $353.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $349.16: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) What I found: GOOG (Class C) closed at $347.37 on Oct 7, 2026, up 0.81% on the day, with a range of $340.28 to $347.57 (Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, stockanalysis.com). Pre-market quotes on Oct 8 were about $346.54 to $348.10. I could not retrieve a quote timestamped at the…
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $356.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $349.16: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote from Yahoo Finance at approximately 10:25 AM EDT on 2026-10-08 shows GOOG at $348.67 (+0.37% on the day, previous close $347.37). Day's range so far $347.33-$353.53. Stockanalysis.com and other feeds corroborate intraday prints near…
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $356.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $349.16: direction called incorrectly. Score 59.3.
(1) What I found, and where: GOOG (Alphabet Class C) closed at $347.37 on Oct 7, 2026, and is trading around $347.80-$350 in premarket/early session on Oct 8 according to multiple live quote sources (Webull, Robinhood, Public.com premarket ~$350). [3][12][15][18][19][32] The…
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