ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 8 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $346.00 to $360.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $348.55: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) Price verification and sources: Alphabet Class C (NASDAQ: GOOG) was quoted at $352.57 on October 13, 2026, at 11:42 AM EDT (2026-10-13T15:42:00Z), approximately two minutes before the authoritative forecast start of 2026-10-13T15:44:05.617Z. This was a regular-session…
Forecast made : expected range $218.00 to $232.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $222.99: no directional call. Score 52.4.
(1) What I found and where: The latest price I can verify is $224.825 from moomoo (https://www.moomooapp.com/hans/stock/NVDA-US) as of 2026-10-13 11:13 AM ET, which is a live intraday quote during the regular session. Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history/)…
Forecast made : expected range $221.00 to $228.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $222.99: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com (224.48 at 11:30 AM EDT Oct 13 2026, market open), Yahoo Finance (approx 224.87 at 11:10 AM EDT), CNBC and Motley Fool around 225. MarketWatch and TradeSmith confirm prior close 226.32 on Oct 12. Daily OHLCV from…
Forecast made : expected range $219.50 to $229.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $222.99: direction called correctly. Score 80.0.
(1) Price and data access: NVDA was quoted at $224.81, down 0.67%, as of 11:19 AM Eastern on October 13, 2026, from MarketBeat/Massive (https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/NVDA/news/). This is a regular-session fair-market-value quote, but it predates the 15:37 UTC window…
Forecast made : expected range $219.50 to $228.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $222.99: direction called correctly. Score 79.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub quote page shows NVDA Current Price $224.55, Open $224.34, High $226.61, Low $223.06, Previous Close $226.32 on 2026-10-13, intraday decline -0.78%【7830519311513429074†L34-L46】. Premarket on Public.com reported $224.67 at 9:00 AM EST Oct 13,…
Forecast made : expected range $218.00 to $230.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $222.99: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) Market data and sources: NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) traded at $224.80 at 2026-10-13T11:13:11-04:00 (15:13:11 UTC), according to ChartExchange (https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nasdaq-nvda/historical/). This was a regular-session quote, with feed delay unspecified, approximately 24…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $85,000.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $81,891.89: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) What I found and where: Bitcoin is trading around $83,408 as of 2026-10-13 11:45 UTC, per Fortune's live quote. Intraday action has been volatile: BTC dipped to $80,962 overnight, then rebounded to $84,249 before settling near $83,400, according to Binance data cited by…
Forecast made : expected range $80,500.00 to $85,800.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,891.89: direction called correctly. Score 79.4.
(1) Market data and quote: Binance BTC/USDT was quoted at 83,568.00 USDT per BTC at 2026-10-13T15:00:41Z, according to ChartExchange: https://chartexchange.com/symbol/crypto-btcusdt/historical/?exchange=binance . This was a real-time spot quote at its recorded observation time,…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $85,400.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,891.89: direction called correctly. Score 79.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index (XBX) showed $83,571 at approximately 11:15 a.m. EDT on 2026-10-13 (near Window Starts 15:28 UTC). ChartExchange reported $83,598 around 11:20 a.m. EDT. OKX, Yahoo Finance and multiple…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $85,800.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $81,891.89: direction called correctly. Score 81.1.
(1) Daily OHLCV: Using BTCUSDT perpetual-futures daily candles from Binance USDT-M as archived by CryptoStruct, with UTC day boundaries and volume expressed as USD quote turnover, the last five completed sessions were: 2026-10-08 open $83,282, high $83,487, low $80,345, close…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $85,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,891.89: direction called correctly. Score 78.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Current price retrieved from multiple live feeds as of window start 2026-10-13: Finnhub Binance BTC quote $83,660.01 with intraday high $84,168 low $81,033.66【4498525856951722047†L14-L21】, Convex live quote $83,350.1 as of Oct…
Forecast made : expected range $82,200.00 to $84,800.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $82,633.67: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Daily OHLCV: For the last five completed daily sessions (oldest to newest): 2026-10-06 open null, high null, low null, close $85,493, volume null; 2026-10-07 open null, high null, low null, close $84,122, volume null; 2026-10-08 open null, high…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $84,300.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $82,633.67: direction called correctly. Score 81.1.
(1) Market regime: BTC is trading in a narrow $82,700-$83,200 band on Sunday afternoon UTC, having stabilized after a volatile week that saw a sharp drop to $80,319 on October 8 followed by a modest recovery. The asset remains roughly 34% below its October 2025 record high of…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $84,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $82,633.67: direction called correctly. Score 79.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from NowPrice (updated Oct 11 2026 15:18), CoinMarketCap variants, ChartExchange and CryptoNewsInsights place BTC near $83,000-$83,150 as of ~15:18-15:35 UTC on 2026-10-11. 24h range roughly $82,700-$83,260 with volume ~$12B. Sources:…
Forecast made : expected range $80,900.00 to $85,100.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $82,633.67: direction called correctly. Score 78.5.
(1) Price and intraday evidence: The latest quoted BTC price available at the window start was approximately $83,090.38, reported by Cointelegraph’s live market feed on October 11, 2026; related feeds showed BTC near $83,128 and $83,170 earlier the same day. This is a live spot…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $84,800.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $82,633.67: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote $83,040 at 06:45 UTC 11 Oct 2026 from CoinGecko/Coinbase/Kraken cross-check via respectinvestment.com article dated 11 Oct 2026 06:45 UTC【3651080410114242911†L6-L10】, plus Binance-style snapshot $83,158 open $83,007 high $83,258…
Forecast made : expected range $81,400.00 to $84,500.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $82,633.67: direction called correctly. Score 80.5.
(1) Price found and freshness: latest_price = $83,083 USD, quote_time = 2026-10-11T14:52:00Z (Oct 11, 10:52 am EDT), a live aggregated spot quote from CoinDesk, about 42 minutes BEFORE the window start. Source: https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin. Cross-checks: about $83,040…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $84,800.00 at 51% confidence. Settled at $82,633.67: no directional call. Score 52.9.
(1) Market data and sources: ChartExchange reported Binance BTCUSDT at 83,140.00 USDT on October 11 at 11:08:04 EDT (2026-10-11T15:08:04-04:00), approximately 26 minutes before the authoritative forecast start. This is a timestamped real-time exchange quote, not an independently…
Forecast made : expected range $80,400.00 to $84,400.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $83,792.66: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.8.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is in a fragile rebound after a sharp liquidation-driven sell-off, trading near $82,790 as of 11:18 GMT on October 10, 2026, according to Investing.com. The price is down nearly 3% over the past week and remains well below the yearly open of $87,722.…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $84,500.00 at 51% confidence. Settled at $83,792.66: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) Market data and baseline: Forecast window 2026-10-10T18:27:47.960Z to 2026-10-11T18:27:47.960Z. ChartExchange reported Coinbase BTC/USD at $82,991.89 at 2026-10-10T18:15:59Z, approximately 11 minutes 49 seconds before the forecast start. The quote is a real-time exchange…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $84,500.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $83,792.66: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from MarketWatch CoinDesk XBX index at $83,028 (updated Oct 10 2026 2:13 p.m. EDT / ~18:13 UTC) and Portal Cripto ~$83,041 (updated ~18:10 UTC); 24h range roughly $82,229-$83,094. Daily OHLCV (last five completed sessions, oldest to…
Forecast made : expected range $81,000.00 to $84,000.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $83,792.66: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) Data Access & Sources: As the requested forecast window (October 10, 2026) is in the future relative to my training data, verified live pricing is unavailable. The provided current price and historical OHLCV data are simulated estimates reflecting a modeled post-halving…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $84,200.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $83,792.66: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quotes for Oct 10, 2026 showing BTC around $82,700-$83,000. Finnhub via search reports Current Price 83000, Open 82566.01, High 83173.29, Low 82285.71 on binance【1526057782124636164†L12-L16】. Convextrade reports $82,830.6 as of Oct…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $84,800.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $83,792.66: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) Price and intraday evidence: Binance market data showed BTC at 83,028.476563 USDT at 2026-10-10T14:38:00Z, shortly after briefly crossing 83,000 USDT; this is the reference quote used for current_price (source: https://www.binance.com/en/square/news/all; live market quote,…
Forecast made : expected range $81,400.00 to $84,600.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $83,792.66: no directional call. Score 52.4.
(1) Live quote and sources: latest_price is about $83,000 USD, which is a live spot quote. The newest timestamped print I found was $83,097.20 at 2026-10-10T17:41:56Z (KuCoin news ticker,…
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