ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 7 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $355.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $346.38: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) Market regime: U.S. equities are under pressure on October 14 after September CPI accelerated to 3.7% year-over-year versus 3.6% expected, with core inflation rising to 2.6% from 2.4%. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to approximately 5.29%, compressing valuations for…
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $350.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $346.38: direction called correctly. Score 81.8.
(1) Data sources and conventions: Intraday market data retrieved from NASDAQ real-time feed via standard market data endpoints at https://www.nasdaq.com. All prices in USD and stock split-adjusted where applicable; volume reported in base equity share units. Completed daily…
Forecast made : expected range $336.00 to $350.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $346.38: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) Market data and quote: Alphabet Class C (NASDAQ: GOOG) was quoted at $344.01 at 2026-10-14T13:38:57-04:00, equivalent to 17:38:57 UTC, according to ChartExchange (https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nasdaq-goog/historical/). This was a regular-session observation approximately…
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $350.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $346.38: direction called correctly. Score 79.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOG/) showed GOOG at $344.04 as of 1:39 PM EDT on 2026-10-14 (market open), with day's range $343.72-$355.25, open near $351.55, previous close $349.52. StockAnalysis and MarketWatch confirmed…
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $350.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $346.38: direction called correctly. Score 80.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live intraday quote for GOOG on Oct 14 2026 at 1:48 PM EDT was $344.73 down -1.37% from prior close on Nasdaq, per MarketMinute historical page【8652140121872314622†L2-L7】. Finnhub shows Current Price $344.185 with Open $351.43 High $355.25 Low…
Forecast made : expected range $215.00 to $228.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $218.04: no directional call. Score 52.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com (220.81 at ~2:07 PM EDT Oct 14 2026), CNBC (~221.32), Motley Fool (~222.63), MarketWatch and others show NVDA trading near 221-222 after opening ~225.53, day range approx 220.6-226.0, prior close 228.52. NASDAQ…
Forecast made : expected range $214.00 to $230.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $218.04: direction called correctly. Score 80.4.
(1) Latest quote and intraday path: NVDA was $222.96 at 11:33 AM EDT on 2026-10-14, a real-time NASDAQ quote, according to MarketWatch (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/nvda). This is the closest verified observation available at or before the 1:40 PM EDT window start;…
Forecast made : expected range $220.00 to $228.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $218.04: direction called incorrectly. Score 47.4.
(1) Market regime as of the window start: NVDA is trading at $224.81, down 1.6% from the previous close of $228.52, according to a GuruFocus article dated 2026-10-14 (https://www.gurufocus.com/news/9122087). The quote is delayed and reflects the early-afternoon session. The…
Forecast made : expected range $213.00 to $226.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $218.04: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) Market evidence and baseline: Google Finance reported NVDA at $221.22 at 2026-10-14T13:39:10-04:00 (17:39:10 UTC), approximately 98 seconds before the authoritative window start of 2026-10-14T17:40:48.272Z. This was a timestamped regular-session quote, although the provider…
Forecast made : expected range $217.50 to $225.50 at 62% confidence. Settled at $218.04: no directional call. Score 53.5.
(1) Data sources and intraday evidence: Quote retrieved from Morningstar (https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/nvda/quote) at 2026-10-14T17:40:00Z (13:40 EDT). Live regular-session price is $221.62 USD. PARTIAL SESSION statistics as of 13:40 EDT: open $225.53, high_so_far…
Forecast made : expected range $217.00 to $227.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $218.04: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Intraday quote at window start 2026-10-14 17:40 UTC from Finnhub shows NVDA 221.51, open 225.53 high 226 low 221.11 previous close 228.52 down -3.07%【705952745873140672†L17-L23】. Completed daily closes from stocknear.com history show Oct 13 close…
Forecast made : expected range $79,300.00 to $83,400.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $82,325.43: direction called incorrectly. Score 33.7.
(1) Price evidence and sources: Binance BTC/USDT spot data show a completed 15-minute candle closing at 81,955.38 USDT at 2026-10-14T17:15:00Z. This is the latest verified pre-window candle close used as the reference price, approximately 10 minutes before the authoritative start…
Forecast made : expected range $79,500.00 to $84,000.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $82,325.43: no directional call. Score 51.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from CoinGecko, Zacks, Bitcoin.com, MarketWatch and others show BTC trading near 81,500-82,000 USD as of mid-afternoon Oct 14 2026 UTC, down ~1.5-2% on the day after opening near 83,000-83,400. 24h range roughly 81,500-84,100. Sources:…
Forecast made : expected range $79,500.00 to $85,500.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $82,325.43: direction called incorrectly. Score 24.0.
(1) Latest quote and intraday path: BTC was $82,840.78 at 13:45:08 UTC on 2026-10-14, a live BTC-USD quote from Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/chart/). This is the closest verified observation at or before the 17:25:35 UTC window start; it is roughly 3…
Forecast made : expected range $81,800.00 to $84,400.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $82,325.43: direction called incorrectly. Score 17.7.
(1) Daily OHLCV (Yahoo Finance, BTC-USD, UTC boundary, volume in USD): 2026-10-09 open 82,742.37 high 83,244.10 low 82,707.50 close 82,991.80 volume 38,177,271,808; 2026-10-10 open 82,991.80 high 83,500.00 low 82,800.00 close 83,300.00 volume 25,245,965,925; 2026-10-11 open…
Forecast made : expected range $81,500.00 to $84,800.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $82,325.43: direction called incorrectly. Score 15.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Current price at window start 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC gathered from live sources: blockchain.news reports Bitcoin at $83,400.01 on Binance spot Oct 14 with 24h range $82,972.74-$84,168.00; theagenttimes reports $83,524.99 close at 05:30 UTC Oct 14;…
Forecast made : expected range $535.00 to $553.00 at 46% confidence. Settled at $537.25: direction called correctly. Score 79.7.
(1) Price discovery and sources: MSFT traded at $545.27 at 11:57 AM EDT on October 13, 2026, according to Stock Analysis, which labels its quote real-time. This is the latest timestamped quote I verified before the authoritative window start of 2026-10-13T16:02:09.499Z.…
Forecast made : expected range $542.00 to $558.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $537.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.1.
(1) Daily OHLCV: Last five completed sessions (oldest to newest, split-adjusted, NasdaqGS, USD, volume in shares, source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history/): 2026-10-06: open 531.68, high 535.69, low 528.78, close 529.30, volume 21,107,500; 2026-10-07: open 530.73,…
Forecast made : expected range $542.00 to $553.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $537.25: no directional call. Score 49.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com, Morningstar/Dow Jones Market Data, TECHi, TradeSmith and others show MSFT trading near $545-$549 on 2026-10-13 during regular session (NASDAQ), with prior close $541.15. Intraday high reached ~$551.13-$551.15,…
Forecast made : expected range $538.00 to $558.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $537.25: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) Price and intraday evidence: MSFT was quoted at $546.44 at 11:32 AM EDT on 2026-10-13, up 0.98% from the prior close, according to CNBC's real-time Nasdaq quote (https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/MSFT). The verified partial session showed an open of $544.64, a high so far of…
Forecast made : expected range $538.00 to $553.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $537.25: no directional call. Score 53.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote from Finnhub.io as of Oct 13 2026: MSFT current 545.39, open 544.64, high 551.15, low 544.28, previous close 541.15, up 0.78% intraday. Source URL https://finnhub.io/?q=%22MSFT%22 . Historical daily bars from StockNear.com…
Forecast made : expected range $348.00 to $359.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $348.55: direction called incorrectly. Score 33.0.
(1) Market regime: Alphabet is trading in a moderate uptrend, above both its 50-day moving average ($343.24) and 200-day moving average ($338.55), with the 50-day above the 200-day. RSI is 56.91, neutral-to-bullish. The stock sits in the upper half of its 20-session range…
Forecast made : expected range $347.50 to $356.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $348.55: direction called correctly. Score 79.1.
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Forecast made : expected range $344.00 to $356.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $348.55: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.6.
(1) Price and data: GOOG was indicated around $349.61 during the October 13 regular session, according to Robinhood’s quote page (https://robinhood.com/us/en/stocks/GOOG/), which reported a $346.14-$352.66 intraday range for the day; this is treated as a live regular-session…
Forecast made : expected range $346.50 to $357.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $348.55: direction called correctly. Score 80.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Intraday quote on Oct 13, 2026 shows GOOG trading at $352.27 with open $352.415 high $354.50 low $347.57 previous close $348.97 from finnhub.io listing. Previous close confirmed as $348.97 by Motley Fool Australia and midforex.com as of Oct 13, 2026…
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